How Aris validates its thermal engine
ArisAugust 29, 2026Engine validation

Aris Thermal Engine · public validation

How we test the physics behind every Aris design.

Almost every heating and cooling system in North America is sized with a worksheet: look the house up in a set of tables, add the numbers, buy whatever the total points to. Talos, our thermal engine, simulates the home instead. The actual rooms, materials, windows, and shading, run through a year of weather at that address, fast enough that you can move a wall and watch the answer change. The physics is where the design happens, not a report you order at the end.

None of which is worth anything if the physics is wrong. So we test it against everyone else's, in public: research-grade simulators, the sizing procedure the industry actually uses, and whole-home energy ratings. The numbers are whatever came back, including the ones we'd rather not print. And because physics you cannot afford to run is physics you will not use, the last chapter publishes what the engine costs to run, measured while this page was built.

A real model of the home

Every project carries its actual 3D rooms, adjacencies, assemblies, openings, shade, and site conditions, not a generic box standing in for the house.

Built to keep learning

Every Aris system ships with a sensor suite, so the model's predictions get checked against real homes: measured comfort and energy use, compared to what we said would happen. The gaps feed back into the physics.

A three-dimensional thermal model of a home A cutaway axonometric model with four named room volumes, shared interior boundaries, a layered exterior wall, shaded glazing, and hourly sun and weather input. LAYERED WALL HOUR 15 SUN + WEATHER LIVING ROOM VOLUME KITCHEN SHARED BOUNDARIES BEDROOM ROOM VOLUME DINING GLASS + SHADE
The house, represented room by roomVolumes · shared boundaries · assemblies · glass and shade · hourly weather

Five questions we put to the engine.

Every benchmark tests a slice of the engine, so we run three that catch different kinds of mistake: physics against research simulators, arithmetic against the sizing procedure, and whole-home scores against a reference implementation. The fourth question is different in kind: not whether the model is right, but whether it answers fast enough to sit inside the design loop, because a right answer that arrives after the decision fails in its own way. And the fifth is yours to ask: the same engine runs in this page, on your machine, on your file. Each chapter says what it tests, and what it leaves out.

IBESTEST · Std 140

Does the thermal physics agree with research-grade models?

IIManual J sizing

Does our Manual J engine follow the sizing procedure?

IIIRESNET ratings

Does our score match the score the industry would issue?

IVSpeed

Is the physics fast enough to sit inside the design loop?

VRun it yourself

Do you have to take our word for any of this?

Chapter · Iall chapters

BESTEST: ASHRAE Standard 140 thermal fabric tests

How do you check a physics engine when nobody can see inside a wall?

In the 1990s the people who build building simulators settled on a clever trick: define a set of imaginary buildings so precisely that anyone can model them, then have every major simulator in the world run the same ones. Nobody knows the “true” answer. But if your engine says the little box in Denver needs about 4 MWh of heating a year and six research simulators say 4.0 to 4.5, you're doing physics. If it says 9, you've got a bug.

That suite became ANSI/ASHRAE Standard 140; everyone still calls it BESTEST. This chapter runs its thermal-fabric sections, the ones about how heat moves through a building. Each case changes exactly one thing (window direction, shade, mass, schedules, ventilation), so a disagreement with the reference programs points straight at the piece of physics responsible. Every miss prints alongside everything else.

The verdict · Normative Annex A3 acceptance criteria

Both acceptance groups pass the Standard's own rule

Each building group has a list of ranges to land, and the Standard sets the pass mark at 90 percent of them. Both groups clear it. Every range we missed is named below, with what went wrong in it.

The fine print: which standard, which annex, what the rule does and does not cover

BESTEST is the nickname that stuck to the NREL/IEA test suite from 1995; ASHRAE adopted it as Standard 140 in 2001. This chapter runs the 2023 edition's Section 7 against the acceptance criteria in Normative Annex A3, as amended by Addendum a (2025). Addendum b (2026) adds empirical-validation tests but no new Section 7 criteria, so there is nothing from it to score yet. Passing A3 is exactly the claim a submission to the IBPSA-USA “Standard 140 Acceptance Criteria Public Software List” makes, no more and no less.

A “range” is either a single value bounding an annual heating or cooling load, mostly as case-to-case differences (add a west window, the load should move by roughly this much), or, new in Addendum a, a full hourly day (February 1 or July 14) whose 24 loads have to match the Standard's curve in shape (Pearson correlation) and magnitude (RMSE). Missing either fails the range. That is the whole scoreboard: annual loads plus two hourly days. Peak loads, free-floating temperatures, and the diagnostic series carry no pass/fail in A3; they answer to the reference-program spreads of informative Annex B8, which anchor the deep-dive further down and are harder to satisfy and more interesting to read.

One scope note: we run the thermal-fabric sections only. Standard 140 also tests generic air conditioners, furnaces, and heat pumps (the CE and HE families), and Aris has no generic furnace to hand it, on purpose. The engine models one equipment platform, Aris's own hydronic hardware, and that gets checked against installed systems, not the Standard's paper appliances.

Thermal Fabric Low Mass

34 of 34 ranges within limits. The Standard's pass mark for this group is 30.

Passes

Every range inside limits.

All 34 ranges, single-value and time-series
Single-value ranges · annual loads, MWh/yr21/21
RangeModeArisAcceptance rangeVerdict
Case 600Heating+4.310+3.75 to +4.98In
Case 600Cooling+5.919+5.00 to +6.83In
Case 610 – Case 600Heating+0.077-0.14 to +0.29In
Case 610 – Case 600Cooling-1.606-2.26 to -0.80In
Case 620 – Case 600Heating+0.140-0.08 to +0.40In
Case 620 – Case 600Cooling-1.839-2.24 to -1.64In
Case 630 – Case 620Heating+0.337+0.02 to +0.74In
Case 630 – Case 620Cooling-1.210-1.68 to -0.77In
Case 640 – Case 600Heating-1.663-2.17 to -1.22In
Case 640 – Case 600Cooling-0.237-0.56 to +0.03In
Case 650 – Case 600Cooling-1.132-1.54 to -0.95In
Case 660 – Case 600Heating-0.476-1.07 to -0.16In
Case 660 – Case 600Cooling-2.945-3.09 to -2.50In
Case 670 – Case 600Heating+1.340+0.25 to +2.98In
Case 670 – Case 600Cooling+0.483+0.05 to +0.84In
Case 680 – Case 600Heating-2.154-2.54 to -1.90In
Case 680 – Case 600Cooling+0.545+0.13 to +0.87In
Case 685 – Case 600Heating+0.533+0.33 to +0.77In
Case 685 – Case 600Cooling+2.970+2.70 to +3.31In
Case 695 – Case 685Heating-2.094-2.38 to -1.94In
Case 695 – Case 685Cooling+0.168-0.21 to +0.44In
Time-series ranges · hourly zone loads vs the printed representative curve13/13
CaseDayPearson correlationRMSE, kWhVerdict
Case 600February 11.000 min 0.8790.1108 max 0.4194In
Case 600July 140.999 min 0.8790.0468 max 0.1921In
Case 640February 10.999 min 0.8790.1530 max 0.6559In
Case 660February 11.000 min 0.8790.0691 max 0.3087In
Case 660July 140.999 min 0.8790.0488 max 0.1697In
Case 670February 10.999 min 0.8790.1134 max 0.7881In
Case 670July 140.999 min 0.8790.0664 max 0.3018In
Case 680February 11.000 min 0.8790.1449 max 0.3990In
Case 680July 140.999 min 0.8790.0444 max 0.2097In
Case 685February 11.000 min 0.8790.1122 max 0.4643In
Case 685July 140.999 min 0.8790.0559 max 0.3218In
Case 695February 11.000 min 0.8790.1454 max 0.2069In
Case 695July 140.999 min 0.8790.0439 max 0.2001In

Thermal Fabric High Mass

26 of 28 ranges within limits. The Standard's pass mark for this group is 25.

Passes

The 2 ranges outside limits:

  • Case 900, cooling: +2.328 MWh against +2.35 to +2.60, out below the range by 0.022 MWh.
  • Case 960 – Case 900, heating: +1.211 MWh against +0.96 to +1.12, out above the range by 0.091 MWh.
All 28 ranges, single-value and time-series
Single-value ranges · annual loads, MWh/yr17/19
RangeModeArisAcceptance rangeVerdict
Case 900Heating+1.608+1.04 to +2.28In
Case 900Cooling+2.328+2.35 to +2.60Out
Case 900 – Case 910Heating-0.296-0.52 to -0.02In
Case 900 – Case 910Cooling+1.044+0.35 to +1.74In
Case 920 – Case 900Heating+1.669+1.51 to +1.92In
Case 920 – Case 900Cooling+0.400+0.08 to +0.48In
Case 930 – Case 920Heating+0.680+0.20 to +1.15In
Case 930 – Case 920Cooling-0.815-1.19 to -0.44In
Case 940 – Case 900Heating-0.529-0.82 to -0.37In
Case 940 – Case 900Cooling-0.053-0.19 to +0.06In
Case 950 – Case 900Cooling-1.763-2.00 to -1.56In
Case 960 – Case 900Heating+1.211+0.96 to +1.12Out
Case 960 – Case 900Cooling-1.498-1.81 to -1.27In
Case 980 – Case 900Heating-1.226-1.65 to -1.00In
Case 980 – Case 900Cooling+1.368+1.09 to +1.41In
Case 985 – Case 900Heating+0.682+0.64 to +0.81In
Case 985 – Case 900Cooling+3.777+3.52 to +4.18In
Case 995 – Case 985Heating-1.361-1.83 to -1.07In
Case 995 – Case 985Cooling+0.969+0.63 to +1.15In
Time-series ranges · hourly zone loads vs the printed representative curve9/9
CaseDayPearson correlationRMSE, kWhVerdict
Case 900February 10.998 min 0.8790.0481 max 0.3716In
Case 900July 140.999 min 0.8790.0222 max 0.0967In
Case 940February 10.991 min 0.8790.0623 max 0.4298In
Case 980February 10.992 min 0.8790.0646 max 0.2969In
Case 980July 140.998 min 0.8790.0373 max 0.0986In
Case 985February 10.996 min 0.8790.1208 max 0.4166In
Case 985July 140.996 min 0.8790.0579 max 0.2053In
Case 995February 10.995 min 0.8790.1351 max 0.2944In
Case 995July 140.995 min 0.8790.0616 max 0.2468In

Normative Annex A3 software acceptance criteria (thermal fabric), ANSI/ASHRAE Standard 140-2023 as amended by Addendum a (approved 2025-08-29). Self-scored against the criteria as printed. This is not an ASHRAE or IBPSA certification.

How can a made-up building have a “right” answer?

Synthetic by design

It can't, and that's the point. There's no real building here, no utility bill, no sensor record. These are laboratory specimens, built to isolate physics effects that would vanish into the noise of an actual house.

A lot of physics still shows up

Even a simple box asks a model to combine:

  • room shape and direction
  • insulation and materials
  • heat stored in walls and floors
  • sun angle
  • window glass and shade
  • air leakage and ventilation
  • people and appliances
  • thermostat schedules
  • hourly weather
Six established simulators

Built on decades of building-simulation research, Annex B8 publishes example results from BSIMAC, CSE, DeST, EnergyPlus, ESP-r, and TRNSYS. This report plots their lowest-to-highest result for each metric. Inside means Aris falls within the range those programs produced; the midpoint is not a bullseye.

Building loads, not equipment

The conditioned cases use a 100%-efficient, effectively unlimited ideal system only to add or remove enough sensible heat to hold the air-temperature setpoints. Free-float cases remove heating and cooling entirely. This chapter tests the building's thermal response, not heat-pump, furnace, coil, duct, fan-power, cycling, capacity, or part-load performance.

Diagnostic depth · Informative Annex B8

Every measurement against the reference-program spread

The verdict above is where Standard 140 stops. We kept going: all 260 of our measurements, placed case by case against the spread of the six research programs the Standard publishes as background. Nothing here is a pass or a fail — it is the detailed view of where we sit among the research models, on a separate yardstick from the verdict above (built from a different nine programs, so a result can land outside one and inside the other).

EnergyPlus is marked individually because later chapters compare against it house by house. The published spread ran version 9.0.1; this report runs a current release.

52/ 52
standard cases executed
220/ 260
inside the reference range · 84.6%
Annual loads79/92
Annual hourly peaks80/90
Free-float temperatures19/21
Case sensitivities42/57

Each cell counts measurements in range over measurements reported; segments sit above the line where we overshoot the range, below it where we undershoot. Click a card for its measurements.

Basic cases27/27 run
600900610910620920630930640940650950660670960680980685985695995600FF900FF650FF950FF680FF980FF
Annex B8 reference-program range Each rail rescales its own reference range into the same central bracket. Hover, focus, or tap for exact values. Aris EnergyPlus reference result
ChallengeApplicable measurements · Aris / reference range / EnergyPlusCase result
Case 600 The control specimen

A lightweight room with south glass. It establishes the basic heat balance (conduction, solar gain, internal gains, thermostat control) before the suite changes one ingredient at a time.

4/4in range
Case 900 The heat battery

Case 600 rebuilt with heavy thermal mass. The room should bank heat and release it later instead of reacting immediately to every outdoor and solar change.

4/4in range
Case 610 One overhang, no excuses

Case 600 with a south overhang. It isolates exterior shading and asks whether the moving shadow lands where the sun actually is.

4/4in range
Case 910 Shade it, then store it

Heavy mass plus the south overhang. The shade changes the solar pulse; the mass decides what happens to the heat that remains.

4/4in range
Case 620 The solar clock

The glass moves from south to east and west. Morning and afternoon gains should arrive on time, making orientation and hourly solar geometry do the work.

4/4in range
Case 920 Timing meets thermal mass

Heavy construction with east/west glass. Solar timing and heat storage have to cooperate across the whole day.

4/4in range
Case 630 Shadows from two directions

East/west windows gain overhangs and side fins. It pushes compound shadow geometry without changing the lightweight room beneath it.

4/4in range
Case 930 The obstacle course

Heavy mass, east/west sun, overhangs, and fins must all compose correctly; no single mechanism gets to hide behind the others.

4/4in range
Case 640 The morning-ramp ambush

The heating setpoint drops overnight, then ramps back to 20°C in the morning. With unlimited ideal heat, the case exposes schedule timing and the building's peak heat demand.

4/4in range
Case 940 Stored heat meets a setback

A heavy building follows the same overnight setback and morning setpoint ramp. The ideal heat needed to hold that schedule interacts with yesterday's stored heat, making this a subtle coupled test.

4/4in range
Case 650 Night air takes the controls

A fixed mechanical ventilation flow runs overnight, heating is disabled, and ideal cooling is available only by day. The case isolates airflow, schedule timing, and the resulting sensible cooling load.

4/4in range
Case 950 The heavyweight night purge

The same scheduled mechanical ventilation meets heavy construction. The model must track how the night airflow removes stored heat and changes the next day's ideal cooling load.

3/4in range
Case 660 Give the glass a winter coat

Only the window system changes. The result tests whether lower emissivity, gas fill, conductance, and solar optics stay internally consistent.

3/4in range
Case 670 Take one pane away

The deliberately weak window makes film coefficients, glass conductance, and solar transmission much harder to blur together.

4/4in range
Case 960 A two-room solar handshake

A free-floating sunspace shares heat with a conditioned back room. Solar capture, storage, and interzone transfer must cross the common wall at the right time.

5/5in range
Case 680 Turn down the envelope leak

The same lightweight room receives much stronger insulation, isolating whether envelope conductance changes by the amount the assemblies promise.

4/4in range
Case 980 A thermos with a flywheel

High insulation and high mass work together. The model must separate reduced heat flow from the delayed heat flow caused by storage.

4/4in range
Case 685 No room between heat and cool

Ideal heating and cooling loads meet at the same 20°C setpoint. It exposes threshold logic and any hidden deadband assumptions.

4/4in range
Case 985 The heavyweight handoff

A zero-deadband ideal-load control holds a massive room at 20°C, testing whether stored heat and the heating/cooling thresholds interact cleanly.

4/4in range
Case 695 Tight envelope, tight controls

Strong insulation and a zero-deadband thermostat combine two otherwise simple changes and reveal whether their effects compose.

4/4in range
Case 995 Everything stores, nothing leaks

The most buffered basic case combines insulation, mass, and tight thermostat control into one coupled response.

4/4in range
Case 600FF Let the lightweight room float

With mechanical heating and cooling removed, the hottest, coldest, and average temperatures reveal whether solar and envelope heat are stored or spike directly into the air.

3/3in range
Case 900FF The heavy room, left alone

A free-floating high-mass room should damp temperature swings through real storage, making this a clean test of thermal inertia.

3/3in range
Case 650FF Free-float with a night breeze

With heating and cooling removed, a fixed mechanical ventilation flow runs overnight. The free-floating temperature exposes airflow timing and passive heat storage directly.

2/3in range
Case 950FF Mass plus a night purge

The high-mass room floats while night air can cool it. Storage and ventilation must work together without a thermostat covering their tracks.

2/3in range
Case 680FF A lightweight thermos, unplugged

With heating and cooling removed and envelope losses suppressed, small errors in gains, solar, and air heat capacity become much easier to see.

3/3in range
Case 980FF The slowest room in the suite

High insulation and heavy mass remove most fast responses. Temperature drift should be slow, damped, and physically earned.

3/3in range
In-depth diagnostics25/25 run
220210215200195230240250270280290300310320400395410420430800440810450460470
Annex B8 reference-program range Each rail rescales its own reference range into the same central bracket. Hover, focus, or tap for exact values. Aris EnergyPlus reference result
ChallengeApplicable measurements · Aris / reference range / EnergyPlusCase result
Case 220 Strip the room to its bones

Internal gains and infiltration disappear while high-conductance elements dominate, creating a clean baseline for the diagnostic cases around it.

4/4in range
Case 210 Let the surfaces see each other

This case isolates longwave radiation among interior surfaces so convective and radiant heat exchange cannot quietly trade places.

4/4in range
Case 215 The roof meets the night sky

Exterior longwave exchange is isolated to test how surfaces radiate toward the sky and surroundings.

3/4in range
Case 200 Radiation on both sides

Interior and exterior longwave mechanisms run together, checking that two individually sound radiation models still conserve energy when composed.

3/4in range
Case 195 Nothing but the wall

Windows and special conductors are removed so opaque-envelope conduction has nowhere to hide.

3/4in range
Case 230 Make the invisible air visible

Add infiltration to the stripped-down base case and observe the load it creates without other mechanisms muddying the result.

3/4in range
Case 240 Put the watts back inside

A controlled internal gain tests how heat is split, stored, and delivered to the zone.

4/4in range
Case 250 Paint the outside darker

Changing exterior absorptance isolates sol-air response on opaque surfaces without changing their underlying conductance.

3/4in range
Case 270 Open one clean solar aperture

South glass is introduced into a deliberately simple room so transmitted solar can be measured with minimal interference.

4/4in range
Case 280 Where does the sunshine land?

The interior's reflectance changes, testing whether admitted solar is distributed, reflected, absorbed, and stored by the right surfaces.

1/4in range
Case 290 The diagnostic overhang

A simple south aperture gains an overhang, separating shadow geometry from the complexity of the full basic building.

4/4in range
Case 300 Move the solar pulse

East and west apertures test morning and afternoon timing in a room designed to suppress competing signals.

3/4in range
Case 310 Fins under the microscope

Overhangs and fins shade east/west glass in the simplified diagnostic building, making geometric errors easier to localize.

4/4in range
Case 320 Give the thermostat room to breathe

A heating/cooling deadband is added to the window diagnostic, isolating the effect of control thresholds on solar-driven loads.

3/4in range
Case 400 The second diagnostic baseline

This is the deadband-controlled reference point for another family of one-change-at-a-time tests.

4/4in range
Case 395 Conduction, now with controls

Opaque solid conduction is tested again under a heating/cooling deadband to expose interactions with control logic.

4/4in range
Case 410 Air leakage meets the thermostat

Infiltration is added to the deadband base case, showing how air exchange changes both heating and cooling demand.

4/4in range
Case 420 Internal heat meets the thermostat

Controlled internal gains interact with the deadband, testing whether useful heat and cooling penalties appear in the right seasons.

4/4in range
Case 430 A darker shell with consequences

Exterior absorptance changes while thermostat controls remain active, connecting opaque solar heating to annual loads.

4/4in range
Case 800 Mass without sunshine

Solar gains are removed so thermal storage can be judged from envelope and internal heat flows alone.

4/4in range
Case 440 Change where the sun sticks

Interior reflectance changes under active controls, testing solar redistribution without changing the amount entering the room.

3/4in range
Case 810 Where sunlight meets the flywheel

Solar distribution and heavy thermal storage combine, revealing whether the model puts radiant heat into the surfaces that can actually bank it.

4/4in range
Case 450 Freeze both surface films

Interior and exterior surface coefficients are prescribed constants, turning off dynamic-film differences to expose the remaining heat balance.

0/4in range
Case 460 Freeze the inside film

Only the interior surface coefficient is prescribed, isolating room-side convection and radiation assumptions.

1/4in range
Case 470 Freeze the outside film

Only the exterior coefficient is prescribed, isolating wind, convection, and exterior longwave treatment.

1/4in range
Differences29 pinned

Subtractions between two cases above, each against its own published Annex B8 band. Cancelling the shared model is how the suite isolates one physical change.

900−600920−900960−900270−220280−270300−270290−270310−300320−270400−395410−400420−410440−600430−420600−430660−600670−600900−800800−430900−810200−195210−200215−200220−215230−220240−220250−220610−600910−610
Annex B8 reference-program range Each rail rescales its own reference range into the same central bracket. Hover, focus, or tap for exact values. Aris EnergyPlus reference result
ChallengeApplicable measurements · Aris / reference range / EnergyPlusCase result
Case 900−600 Subtract the box; keep the mass

This difference cancels much of the shared model and isolates what changing from lightweight to heavyweight construction actually did.

2/2in range
Case 920−900 Subtract the mass; keep the solar timing

Both cases are heavy. Their difference isolates the response to moving glass from south to east and west.

1/1in range
Case 960−900 What did the sunspace add?

Subtract the ordinary heavy room from the two-zone sunspace case. What remains is a focused test of interzone coupling and sunspace physics.

1/2in range
Case 270−220 What the windows let in

Add south glass to a blank high-conductance box. The difference is the purest measure the suite has of how much solar crosses the glazing in the first place.

1/2in range
Case 280−270 Once it is inside, where does it go?

Interior shortwave absorptance drops from 0.9 to 0.1, so the room stops soaking up sun and starts bouncing it back out. The only isolated test of interior re-loss in the Standard.

2/2in range
Case 300−270 Same glass, turned to face the sun differently

Move the windows from south to east and west. The annual totals shift because the gain now arrives morning and evening rather than midday.

2/2in range
Case 290−270 An overhang should cut summer, not winter

A south overhang blocks the high summer sun and lets the low winter sun through. The difference should be nearly all cooling, with heating barely moved.

2/2in range
Case 310−300 Shading glass that faces the low sun

Overhangs and fins on east and west windows. Harder than shading the south, because the sun these windows see is low in the sky.

2/2in range
Case 320−270 Let the room drift before reacting

Swap a fixed setpoint for a deadband. What the difference isolates is how much of the load was the thermostat chasing small excursions.

1/2in range
Case 400−395 Reopen the walls under a deadband

Case 395 conducts through solid walls; 400 restores the high-conductance elements. The difference is that element on its own, with the deadband held constant.

2/2in range
Case 410−400 Air leakage, and nothing else

Add infiltration to the deadband base case. The two cases are otherwise identical, so the difference is the ventilation path alone.

2/2in range
Case 420−410 Add people and appliances

Internal gains switch on. Heating should fall by roughly what the gains supply, and cooling should rise by the part the building cannot shed.

1/2in range
Case 440−600 A bright room versus an absorbing one

Interior absorptance again, but under deadband control and against the low-mass base case. A second, independent read on the same interior mechanism.

2/2in range
Case 430−420 Darken the outside walls

Exterior solar absorptance rises, so the opaque envelope starts collecting sun. Tests the shortwave path on walls rather than through glass.

0/2in range
Case 600−430 Windows, with the deadband removed

Isolates the aperture a second time, in a different cell than 270−220. Two routes to the same physics should agree.

2/2in range
Case 660−600 Better glass, less sun

Swap clear double-pane for low-emissivity argon. Cooling should fall sharply and heating should rise as the same coating keeps winter sun out too.

1/2in range
Case 670−600 Cheaper glass, more of everything

Single pane instead of double. Conduction and solar both increase, and the difference tests whether they scale together correctly.

2/2in range
Case 900−800 Give the mass something to store

Add south glass to the heavy box. This is the pairing that shows whether mass and aperture work together rather than merely coexisting.

2/2in range
Case 800−430 Heavy walls with no sun to store

Mass without an aperture. With no solar to bank, thermal mass should do very little, which makes this the cleanest test of mass acting alone.

1/2in range
Case 900−810 Interior absorptance, on a heavy floor

The cavity-albedo change once more, this time where the surfaces absorbing it have real heat capacity behind them.

2/2in range
Case 200−195 Let the surfaces see each other

Every surface in a room is quietly trading heat with every other one by infrared, and with the sky outside. Case 195 switches all of that off. Turning it back on is this difference, and the next three take it apart again one face at a time.

2/2in range
Case 210−200 The room radiating to itself

Only the inside faces are allowed to trade infrared: warm ceiling to cool floor, wall to wall. The exterior mechanism is held still so nothing else can claim the credit.

2/2in range
Case 215−200 The walls radiating to the sky

Now the outside faces only. A clear night sky is far colder than the air beneath it, so a building radiates to it and loses heat no thermometer outdoors would predict.

1/2in range
Case 220−215 Do the halves add up?

The last rung back to the full base case. Take the inside step and the outside step, add them, and they should land on the both-at-once step — which is the real point of the quartet: not four numbers, one closure test.

2/2in range
Case 230−220 Leave it leaky

Outdoor air, and nothing else changed. The six reference programs agree here to within a third of a percent — the tightest band in the whole suite — so there is no room to be approximately right about it.

1/2in range
Case 240−220 Bodies, lamps and a warm refrigerator

Switch on the heat a household makes just by being occupied. Heating should fall by close to what those gains supply; cooling should rise by whatever the envelope cannot quietly shed.

1/2in range
Case 250−220 Paint the box dark

Sun on an opaque wall still gets in, just slowly and through the material rather than instantly through glass. With no window anywhere on this cell, nothing else can be blamed for the difference.

0/2in range
Case 610−600 Give the south face a brim

An overhang, sized the way a good designer sizes one: deep enough to cut the high summer sun, shallow enough to let the low winter sun underneath. Cooling should drop hard while heating barely notices.

2/2in range
Case 910−610 The same brim, on a heavier building

Shade and mass at once. Read it against 610−600 and it answers a question a designer actually asks: is an overhang worth more, or less, once the building can hold heat?

0/2in range

Ground coupling · ASHRAE 140 Section 8

The slowest physics in the building

Soil stores so much heat, and forgets it so slowly, that it is the hardest material a simulator touches — on the houses in Chapter II it moves annual heating energy by roughly a third. So the ground solver sits its own exam: the steady-state BESTEST ground-coupling cases.

The standard publishes no agreement criteria for this suite, so every threshold here is self-chosen — position, not a pass rate. The bar is the per-case spread of the three verified models (TRNSYS/TESS, FLUENT/PAAET, MATLAB/DIT). All 6 sit above it, by 0.31% to 2.71%. Green: a miss smaller than the envelope's own width. Amber: larger. Red: past the conventional ±5% line.

Why the envelope and not a tolerance, and what these six cases do and do not exercise

Section 4.4.1 of NREL/TP-550-43388 states the ground-coupling suite has no formal agreement criteria, and Normative Annex A3 of ASHRAE 140 excludes it. Every threshold applied here is one we chose. Nothing rendered from this ledger may read as a published-standard pass.

The friendlier number is available and we are not leading with it: against a flat ±5% of the reference mean — the conventional line for this suite — all 6 cases clear, and the table's bar uses that line only as its scale while the vs-mean figure sits in small type beside each reference. Both are secondary because ±5% is a tolerance we picked, while the envelope is the standard's own published disagreement between models that were checked against each other. Running a self-chosen tolerance in one half of a suite and a published spread in the other would let the choice of yardstick do the work the physics is supposed to do.

One case is stronger evidence than the rest. GC10a has an exact closed-form reference — Delsante, Stokes and Walsh's three-dimensional solution, the only exact answer anywhere in the suite, with no model spread at all. Against a known answer rather than a consensus we land +1.16%. It is also the one case the standard poses on a semi-infinite solid, so its domain extent is ours to choose and its truncation is our artifact rather than the problem's; the table marks which domains are specified and which are ours.

That case is also the one place the two yardsticks visibly disagree, and it is worth not smoothing over: the exact answer is 2432.6 W, which sits just above the three models' own envelope of 2425–2432 W. All three undershoot the closed form slightly. So our +1.19% against that envelope and +1.16% against the exact answer are measuring different things, and the smaller of the two is the one taken against truth. It is a useful reminder of what a verified-model envelope is: the spread of careful implementations, not the answer.

Scope. Exercises the mesh policy, the finite-volume operator and the kernel steady solve. NOT the shipped foundation model: the lane bypasses HPXML, annual initialization, room coupling, the cyclic initializer and every production foundation default, because a validation case states its boundaries literally. Read this as evidence about the mesh policy and the finite-volume operator, not about the foundation model that ships.

Each case converges up an adaptive mesh ladder until two consecutive refinements move the answer by less than 0.1%, so the number reported is the one the mesh stopped changing, not the one the first mesh produced. The six together took 2,712,490 nodes at their converged levels and 109 minutes of compute, which is why this section reads from a committed ledger while the rest of Chapter I re-runs live on every build.

Steady-state floor heat loss, watts · Aris vs the three verified models, per case6 cases
CaseAris, WVerified envelope · reference, vs meanPosition · beyond the envelope, bar to the ±5% line
GC10a L3 · 240 × 240 m ours 2460.9 2425–2432 exact 2432.6 · +1.16% +1.19% above
GC30a L5 · 30 × 20 m specified 2703.5 2585–2695 mean 2640.7 · +2.38% +0.31% above
GC30b L4 · 15 × 15 m specified 2588.8 2504–2570 mean 2535.7 · +2.09% +0.73% above
GC30c L4 · 15 × 8 m specified 2212.5 2123–2154 mean 2138.0 · +3.48% +2.71% above
GC60b L4 · 15 × 15 m specified 2182.5 2104–2128 mean 2115.0 · +3.19% +2.56% above
GC65b L3 · 15 × 15 m specified 2040.2 1991–2004 mean 1996.3 · +2.20% +1.81% above
Case-to-case differences, where the individual models disagree most

The suite's sensitivity tests: change one thing and the load should move by roughly this much. Percentage error is the wrong thing to read first here. Where the three models disagree widely a large percentage can still sit inside their range; where they agree tightly a small one can fall outside it. The last column is the one that matters: 3 of 4 of our differences land within the models' own disagreement.

The exception. GC65b-GC60b is the tightest agreement in the set — the three models fall within 11 W of each other — and our -142.3 W sits outside that band at -19.9%. That is the strongest disagreement this suite records against us, and a tight consensus is the worst place to have one. We have not attributed it to a mechanism yet, so it is reported rather than explained.

DifferenceArisVerified modelsMeanvs meanvs spread
GC30a-GC10a242.6215 / 160 / 263212.7+14.1%inside
GC30b-GC30a-114.7-109 / -81 / -125-105.0-9.2%inside
GC60b-GC30b-406.3-420 / -400 / -442-420.7+3.4%inside
GC65b-GC60b-142.3-119 / -113 / -124-118.7-19.9%outside

Gates on this section are self-registered. BESTEST ground-coupling (NREL/TP-550-43388), steady-state lane, recorded 2026-08-29 at lane 04d3cbe693fc.

The fine print: what this score means, and the run record

Each mark comes from the same 8,760-hour room-level solver as the BESTEST battery above. “Inside” means the raw Aris result lies between the minimum and maximum reference-program results; no tolerance widens the range, sitting inside it is not an ASHRAE certification, and every figure rebuilds from the repository.

Edition boundary: Scored against the Informative Annex B8 reference-program spread (raw min/max, six programs). This is NOT a conformance claim: the Standard’s own acceptance criteria live in Normative Annex A3 over a different nine-program reference set, and the two are not nested. The Annex A3 criteria, including the daily hourly time-series ranges Addendum a (2025-08-29) added, are scored separately in the acceptance section of this report. Addendum b (2026-04-24) adds Section 13 empirical validation tests and is out of scope for this chapter.

Engine
e7873587baa7
Generated
2026-08-29T19:22:41.406Z
Weather
Denver TMY3 (WMO 725650)
EnergyPlus reference
EnergyPlus 9.0.1 · LBNL Modelica Buildings BESTEST validation tables
Chapter · IIall chapters

Manual J sizing

Does the Aris Manual J engine follow the 8th-edition sizing procedure? Its arithmetic is compared line by line against the reference worksheets shipped with OpenStudio-HPXML, and the physics solver's sizing runs against EnergyPlus on the same 44 homes.

Nearly every furnace and heat pump in North America is sized by one document: ACCA's Manual J, a worksheet of lookup tables and steady-state arithmetic. It's a procedure, not a simulation — a physics model is right when it matches the building, a Manual J implementation when it matches the book. Being more accurate than the book is a bug.

So we built both, and kept them apart. This chapter runs each against the 44 reference homes that ship with OpenStudio-HPXML: 37 published worked examples with per-component worksheets, and 7 HERS HVAC test homes without one.

44/ 44
reference homes run · 37 with worksheets
946/ 946
worksheet rows in tolerance · 7 set aside where the reference hard-codes values
0.0%
median deviation, worse of heating and cooling · 72 of 72 totals in tolerance

Procedural lane · primary evidence

The worksheet, line by line

Nothing here is a physics judgment, so the right answer is the worksheet's answer, almost exactly. We parse each house from its published HPXML file, run it through the Aris Manual J calculator, and check it line by line against the OS-HPXML reference worksheet for the same house. The bar is max(2 Btu/h, 2%) on every component row and every total.

37 of the 44 houses ship a reference worksheet · totals vs it, ducts excluded
iThe worksheet’s duct gain/loss line is a distribution-system penalty (often 10–30% for ducts in unconditioned attics), not a property of the building itself. The Aris sizing run and the EnergyPlus ideal-loads reference both compute zone loads with no air-distribution system (Aris installations are hydronic), so the duct-free worksheet total is the one quantity all three columns share. Both values, with and without ducts, are recorded in the chapter’s raw ledger.
all 37 match

Physics lane · supporting evidence

The same houses, through the room solver

The lane above asks whether we reproduce a worksheet. With the whole corpus already parsed and running, we took the chance to ask something harder: what these buildings do when they are simulated hour by hour instead of totalled by a procedure.

Against EnergyPlus that is physics against physics, so a gap is two models disagreeing. Against the Manual J worksheet it is physics against a prescribed procedure, so a gap is what the worksheet leaves out to stay doable by hand. Neither is a pass bar.

The fine print: the exact EnergyPlus setup

EnergyPlus 25.2.0-cf7368216c; OpenStudio-HPXML's own ideal-loads model, built from the reference HPXML with no Aris involvement; 6 zone timesteps an hour (EnergyPlus's documented HVAC recommendation) and, on ground-coupled cases, timestep Foundation:Kiva updates on EnergyPlus's native 0.02 m / 1.5 growth mesh, replacing OS-HPXML's speed profile (one zone step an hour, every-zone-step Kiva, 0.2 m / 3 mesh); foundation-free cases run one ordinary weather year, and every founded case reports the final year of an independently simulated 29-year Kiva prefix whose measured year preserves the source RunPeriod's pinned weekday. The independent 28→29-year convergence report records 6 founded cases converged and 30 capped without convergence; hourly output. The Aris side runs the same 8,760 EPW hours after the production 30-day cyclic weather warm-up. Exported models carry these same settings, so a result here is reproducible outside this report. Two things this setup is not: a fully converged ground history, and a pure solver comparison. EnergyPlus reads OS-HPXML's model while Aris reads our own importer's reading of the same file, so surface enumeration and geometry are ours.

First question · one hour of the year

Peak loads

Peak load is the single worst hour of the year, the number equipment gets sized from. Both models report their own worst hour for every house; the median gap is heating 1.58% over 43 comparable houses, cooling 3.18% over 44. In the charts below, bars right of the zero line sized above EnergyPlus and bars left sized below.

The models mostly agree on when, too: the worst day matches on 37 of 44 houses, and within a matched day the hour differs by a median of two, thermal mass releasing the day's heat on slightly different schedules. The hovercards print both models' timestamps, house by house.

Signed sizing divergence · Aris room solver vs EnergyPlus native annual peak44 houses
Aris room solver, % from reference Zero line = EnergyPlus native annual peak. Right of zero sizes above the reference, left below. Full records sit in the data table below.
Heating
-60%E++60%
all houses median +1.3%
35 rows · 44 houses · 5 families collapsed
Sauna country · 1A
Cobb Residence reference near zero · E+ 0 · Aris 0 Btu/h
Cobb ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
0 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
0 Btu/h · reference near zero: a percentage against it is an artifact of the denominator, so no Δ is printed
peak hour: Aris 12/31 00:00
Annual energy
0.0 / 0.0 MBtu (ref 0)
conditioning 0 h vs 0 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
6,426 Btu/h
Walker + Ceiling Options ×3 reference near zero · E+ 990–1,113 · Aris 2,522–2,587 Btu/h
Walker + Ceiling Options ×3IECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating

Every member’s reference sits under the near-zero floor, so percentages are not printed.

Walker Ceiling Option 1Aris 2,522 · E+ 1,084 (near-zero ref) · energy 0.0/0.0 MBtu (+295%) · MJ 8,726
Walker Ceiling Option 2Aris 2,539 · E+ 990 (near-zero ref) · energy 0.0/0.0 MBtu (+338%) · MJ 8,726
Walker ResidenceAris 2,587 · E+ 1,113 (near-zero ref) · energy 0.0/0.0 MBtu (+300%) · MJ 8,726
Walker Ceiling Option 1 reference near zero · E+ 1,084 · Aris 2,522 Btu/h
Walker Ceiling Option 1IECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
2,522 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
1,084 Btu/h · reference near zero: a percentage against it is an artifact of the denominator, so no Δ is printed
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00
Annual energy
0.0 / 0.0 MBtu +295%
conditioning 8 h vs 3 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
8,726 Btu/h
Walker Ceiling Option 2 reference near zero · E+ 990 · Aris 2,539 Btu/h
Walker Ceiling Option 2IECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
2,539 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
990 Btu/h · reference near zero: a percentage against it is an artifact of the denominator, so no Δ is printed
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00
Annual energy
0.0 / 0.0 MBtu +338%
conditioning 8 h vs 3 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
8,726 Btu/h
Walker Residence reference near zero · E+ 1,113 · Aris 2,587 Btu/h
Walker ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
2,587 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
1,113 Btu/h · reference near zero: a percentage against it is an artifact of the denominator, so no Δ is printed
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00
Annual energy
0.0 / 0.0 MBtu +300%
conditioning 8 h vs 3 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
8,726 Btu/h
Gulf muggy · 2A
Vatilo ± improved ducts ×2 +2.6%
Vatilo ± improved ducts ×2IECC 2A · hot · humid · heating
all 2 housesAris 12,042 · E+ 11,732 (+2.6%) · energy 4.6/4.6 MBtu (+0.8%) · MJ 19,636 (+67.4%)
Vatilo Improved Ducts +2.6%
Vatilo Improved DuctsIECC 2A · hot · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
12,042 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
11,732 Btu/h · Aris +2.6%
peak hour: Aris 02/11 06:00 · E+ 02/11 07:00
Annual energy
4.6 / 4.6 MBtu +0.8%
conditioning 1,419 h vs 1,442 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
19,636 Btu/h · vs E+ +67.4%
Vatilo Residence +2.6%
Vatilo ResidenceIECC 2A · hot · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
12,042 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
11,732 Btu/h · Aris +2.6%
peak hour: Aris 02/11 06:00 · E+ 02/11 07:00
Annual energy
4.6 / 4.6 MBtu +0.8%
conditioning 1,419 h vs 1,442 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
19,636 Btu/h · vs E+ +67.4%
The humid South · 3A
Bell Residence -2.1%
Bell ResidenceIECC 3A · warm · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
18,717 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
19,115 Btu/h · Aris -2.1%
peak hour: Aris 02/24 07:00 · E+ 02/24 06:00
Annual energy
17.8 / 20.4 MBtu -12.9%
conditioning 2,781 h vs 3,077 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
27,038 Btu/h · vs E+ +41.4%
High desert · 3B
HVAC1a–b ×2 -1.9%
HVAC1a–b ×2IECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
all 2 housesAris 21,845 · E+ 22,274 (-1.9%) · energy 14.2/15.8 MBtu (-9.7%) · MJ 33,030 (+48.3%)
HVAC1a -1.9%
HVAC1aIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Aris annual peak
21,845 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
22,274 Btu/h · Aris -1.9%
peak hour: Aris 02/16 04:00 · E+ 02/16 05:00
Annual energy
14.2 / 15.8 MBtu -9.7%
conditioning 1,860 h vs 2,032 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
33,030 Btu/h · vs E+ +48.3%
HVAC1b -1.9%
HVAC1bIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Aris annual peak
21,845 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
22,274 Btu/h · Aris -1.9%
peak hour: Aris 02/16 04:00 · E+ 02/16 05:00
Annual energy
14.2 / 15.8 MBtu -9.7%
conditioning 1,860 h vs 2,032 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
33,030 Btu/h · vs E+ +48.3%
HVAC2a–e ×5 -1.2%
HVAC2a–e ×5IECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
all 5 housesAris 35,339 · E+ 35,786 (-1.2%) · energy 49.4/52.1 MBtu (-5.2%) · MJ 54,882 (+53.4%)
HVAC2a -1.2%
HVAC2aIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Aris annual peak
35,339 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
35,786 Btu/h · Aris -1.2%
peak hour: Aris 03/04 04:00 · E+ 12/24 04:00
Annual energy
49.4 / 52.1 MBtu -5.2%
conditioning 4,032 h vs 4,287 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
54,882 Btu/h · vs E+ +53.4%
HVAC2b -1.2%
HVAC2bIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Aris annual peak
35,339 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
35,786 Btu/h · Aris -1.2%
peak hour: Aris 03/04 04:00 · E+ 12/24 04:00
Annual energy
49.4 / 52.1 MBtu -5.2%
conditioning 4,032 h vs 4,287 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
54,882 Btu/h · vs E+ +53.4%
HVAC2c -1.2%
HVAC2cIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Aris annual peak
35,339 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
35,786 Btu/h · Aris -1.2%
peak hour: Aris 03/04 04:00 · E+ 12/24 04:00
Annual energy
49.4 / 52.1 MBtu -5.2%
conditioning 4,032 h vs 4,287 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
54,882 Btu/h · vs E+ +53.4%
HVAC2d -1.2%
HVAC2dIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Aris annual peak
35,339 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
35,786 Btu/h · Aris -1.2%
peak hour: Aris 03/04 04:00 · E+ 12/24 04:00
Annual energy
49.4 / 52.1 MBtu -5.2%
conditioning 4,032 h vs 4,287 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
54,882 Btu/h · vs E+ +53.4%
HVAC2e -1.2%
HVAC2eIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Aris annual peak
35,339 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
35,786 Btu/h · Aris -1.2%
peak hour: Aris 03/04 04:00 · E+ 12/24 04:00
Annual energy
49.4 / 52.1 MBtu -5.2%
conditioning 4,032 h vs 4,287 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
54,882 Btu/h · vs E+ +53.4%
All four seasons · 4A
Bob Ross 3-1 +1.6%
Bob Ross 3-1IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
39,350 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
38,720 Btu/h · Aris +1.6%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 07:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
33.4 / 31.0 MBtu +7.7%
conditioning 3,853 h vs 3,157 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
35,980 Btu/h · vs E+ -7.1%
Bob Ross 3-10 +1.6%
Bob Ross 3-10IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
40,504 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
39,882 Btu/h · Aris +1.6%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
33.9 / 31.7 MBtu +6.9%
conditioning 3,837 h vs 3,122 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,647 Btu/h · vs E+ -5.6%
Bob Ross 3-11 +1.7%
Bob Ross 3-11IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
39,319 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
38,678 Btu/h · Aris +1.7%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 07:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
32.9 / 30.8 MBtu +7.1%
conditioning 3,827 h vs 3,097 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,647 Btu/h · vs E+ -2.7%
Bob Ross 3-12 +1.2%
Bob Ross 3-12IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
57,700 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
56,998 Btu/h · Aris +1.2%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
46.7 / 44.6 MBtu +4.6%
conditioning 4,024 h vs 3,383 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
45,463 Btu/h · vs E+ -20.2%
Bob Ross 3-13 +1.4%
Bob Ross 3-13IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
43,248 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
42,639 Btu/h · Aris +1.4%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
36.5 / 34.6 MBtu +5.6%
conditioning 3,897 h vs 3,201 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
47,634 Btu/h · vs E+ +11.7%
Bob Ross 3-14 +0.4%
Bob Ross 3-14IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
41,497 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
41,340 Btu/h · Aris +0.4%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 07:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
35.1 / 32.7 MBtu +7.2%
conditioning 3,834 h vs 3,101 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
39,875 Btu/h · vs E+ -3.5%
Bob Ross 3-15 +5.3%
Bob Ross 3-15IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
36,702 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
34,862 Btu/h · Aris +5.3%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 07:00
Annual energy
30.0 / 27.9 MBtu +7.6%
conditioning 3,770 h vs 3,148 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
34,424 Btu/h · vs E+ -1.3%
Bob Ross 3-16 +0.1%
Bob Ross 3-16IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
31,705 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
31,674 Btu/h · Aris +0.1%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
28.5 / 27.6 MBtu +3.3%
conditioning 3,399 h vs 3,359 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
46,837 Btu/h · vs E+ +47.9%
Bob Ross 3-17 +1.1%
Bob Ross 3-17IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
48,211 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
47,703 Btu/h · Aris +1.1%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
44.1 / 41.4 MBtu +6.6%
conditioning 4,054 h vs 3,399 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
43,346 Btu/h · vs E+ -9.1%
Bob Ross 3-18 +1.2%
Bob Ross 3-18IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
40,001 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
39,535 Btu/h · Aris +1.2%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
32.8 / 32.1 MBtu +2.1%
conditioning 3,808 h vs 3,167 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
39,392 Btu/h · vs E+ -0.4%
Bob Ross 3-19 +0.9%
Bob Ross 3-19IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
47,422 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
47,019 Btu/h · Aris +0.9%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
41.8 / 41.1 MBtu +1.8%
conditioning 4,011 h vs 3,427 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
43,346 Btu/h · vs E+ -7.8%
Bob Ross 3-2 +1.6%
Bob Ross 3-2IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
40,496 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
39,867 Btu/h · Aris +1.6%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
33.9 / 31.7 MBtu +6.9%
conditioning 3,837 h vs 3,120 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,647 Btu/h · vs E+ -5.6%
Bob Ross 3-20 +1.1%
Bob Ross 3-20IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
48,211 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
47,703 Btu/h · Aris +1.1%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
44.1 / 41.4 MBtu +6.6%
conditioning 4,054 h vs 3,399 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
43,346 Btu/h · vs E+ -9.1%
Bob Ross 3-21 +1.1%
Bob Ross 3-21IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
41,120 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
40,669 Btu/h · Aris +1.1%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
34.1 / 33.4 MBtu +1.9%
conditioning 3,840 h vs 3,215 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
39,624 Btu/h · vs E+ -2.6%
Bob Ross 3-22 +2.0%
Bob Ross 3-22IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
49,797 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
48,833 Btu/h · Aris +2.0%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 07:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
43.8 / 40.8 MBtu +7.4%
conditioning 3,811 h vs 3,195 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
49,223 Btu/h · vs E+ +0.8%
Bob Ross 3-23 +2.6%
Bob Ross 3-23IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
35,639 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
34,725 Btu/h · Aris +2.6%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
32.9 / 30.8 MBtu +6.7%
conditioning 3,468 h vs 3,430 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
29,337 Btu/h · vs E+ -15.5%
Bob Ross 3-3 +1.7%
Bob Ross 3-3IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
40,365 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
39,698 Btu/h · Aris +1.7%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
32.4 / 30.3 MBtu +7.0%
conditioning 3,782 h vs 3,016 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,647 Btu/h · vs E+ -5.2%
Bob Ross 3-4 +1.4%
Bob Ross 3-4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
40,697 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
40,123 Btu/h · Aris +1.4%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 07:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
36.1 / 33.8 MBtu +6.9%
conditioning 3,877 h vs 3,301 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,647 Btu/h · vs E+ -6.2%
Bob Ross 3-5 +1.8%
Bob Ross 3-5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
40,134 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
39,435 Btu/h · Aris +1.8%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
30.6 / 28.6 MBtu +7.1%
conditioning 3,717 h vs 2,867 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,647 Btu/h · vs E+ -4.5%
Bob Ross 3-6 +1.1%
Bob Ross 3-6IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
39,591 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
39,144 Btu/h · Aris +1.1%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
32.5 / 30.8 MBtu +5.3%
conditioning 3,789 h vs 3,096 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,251 Btu/h · vs E+ -4.8%
Bob Ross 3-7 +2.8%
Bob Ross 3-7IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
46,128 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
44,850 Btu/h · Aris +2.8%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
40.8 / 37.2 MBtu +9.7%
conditioning 3,958 h vs 3,215 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
42,579 Btu/h · vs E+ -5.1%
Bob Ross 3-8 +1.6%
Bob Ross 3-8IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
40,306 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
39,683 Btu/h · Aris +1.6%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
33.3 / 31.1 MBtu +7.0%
conditioning 3,812 h vs 3,092 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,647 Btu/h · vs E+ -5.1%
Bob Ross 3-9 +1.6%
Bob Ross 3-9IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
40,173 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
39,549 Btu/h · Aris +1.6%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
32.9 / 30.7 MBtu +7.1%
conditioning 3,794 h vs 3,061 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,647 Btu/h · vs E+ -4.8%
Bob Ross 4 +2.1%
Bob Ross 4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
40,762 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
39,932 Btu/h · Aris +2.1%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 07:00
Annual energy
34.3 / 32.1 MBtu +6.9%
conditioning 3,687 h vs 3,132 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,647 Btu/h · vs E+ -5.7%
Bob Ross 5 +1.9%
Bob Ross 5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
42,242 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
41,466 Btu/h · Aris +1.9%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 07:00
Annual energy
33.9 / 32.0 MBtu +5.9%
conditioning 3,669 h vs 3,028 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
39,328 Btu/h · vs E+ -5.2%
Bob Ross Residence +1.6%
Bob Ross ResidenceIECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
40,498 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
39,877 Btu/h · Aris +1.6%
peak hour: Aris 02/04 06:00 · E+ 02/04 08:00
Annual energy
33.9 / 31.7 MBtu +6.9%
conditioning 3,837 h vs 3,121 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
37,647 Btu/h · vs E+ -5.6%
Snow belt · 5A
Long Residence -1.5%
Long ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
48,547 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
49,277 Btu/h · Aris -1.5%
peak hour: Aris 01/05 04:00 · E+ 01/05 05:00
Annual energy
75.6 / 77.3 MBtu -2.3%
conditioning 5,262 h vs 4,984 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
41,746 Btu/h · vs E+ -15.3%
Smith Residence +7.3%
Smith ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
58,226 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
54,275 Btu/h · Aris +7.3%
peak hour: Aris 01/09 21:00 · E+ 01/09 23:00
Annual energy
91.5 / 87.6 MBtu +4.5%
conditioning 5,416 h vs 5,172 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
54,662 Btu/h · vs E+ +0.7%
Victor ± improved ducts ×2 -1.6%
Victor ± improved ducts ×2IECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Victor Improved DuctsAris 51,708 · E+ 52,545 (-1.6%) · energy 75.6/76.2 MBtu (-0.8%) · MJ 52,499 (-0.1%)
Victor ResidenceAris 51,708 · E+ 52,545 (-1.6%) · energy 75.6/76.2 MBtu (-0.8%) · MJ 52,500 (-0.1%)
Victor Improved Ducts -1.6%
Victor Improved DuctsIECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
51,708 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
52,545 Btu/h · Aris -1.6%
peak hour: Aris 12/25 05:00 · E+ 12/25 08:00
Annual energy
75.6 / 76.2 MBtu -0.8%
conditioning 4,887 h vs 4,857 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
52,499 Btu/h · vs E+ -0.1%
Victor Residence -1.6%
Victor ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Aris annual peak
51,708 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
52,545 Btu/h · Aris -1.6%
peak hour: Aris 12/25 05:00 · E+ 12/25 08:00
Annual energy
75.6 / 76.2 MBtu -0.8%
conditioning 4,887 h vs 4,857 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
52,500 Btu/h · vs E+ -0.1%
Cooling
-60%E++60%
all houses median -2.9%
37 rows · 44 houses · 4 families collapsed
Sauna country · 1A
Cobb Residence -11.9%
Cobb ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
12,195 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
13,835 Btu/h · Aris -11.9%
peak hour: Aris 05/02 17:00 · E+ 05/17 17:00
Annual energy
28.8 / 28.8 MBtu +0.2%
conditioning 8,077 h vs 7,964 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,183 Btu/h · vs E+ +60.3%
Walker Ceiling Option 1 +6.6%
Walker Ceiling Option 1IECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
12,778 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
11,984 Btu/h · Aris +6.6%
peak hour: Aris 07/29 15:00 · E+ 07/29 17:00
Annual energy
38.1 / 37.1 MBtu +2.7%
conditioning 7,678 h vs 7,753 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
16,963 Btu/h · vs E+ +41.5%
Walker Ceiling Option 2 +10.2%
Walker Ceiling Option 2IECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
12,769 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
11,585 Btu/h · Aris +10.2%
peak hour: Aris 07/29 15:00 · E+ 07/29 17:00
Annual energy
38.1 / 36.5 MBtu +4.4%
conditioning 7,675 h vs 7,751 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
16,517 Btu/h · vs E+ +42.6%
Walker Residence +9.1%
Walker ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
12,528 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
11,484 Btu/h · Aris +9.1%
peak hour: Aris 07/29 15:00 · E+ 07/29 16:00
Annual energy
37.6 / 36.8 MBtu +2.1%
conditioning 7,665 h vs 7,741 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
16,295 Btu/h · vs E+ +41.9%
Gulf muggy · 2A
Vatilo ± improved ducts ×2 -4.8%
Vatilo ± improved ducts ×2IECC 2A · hot · humid · cooling
Vatilo Improved DuctsAris 16,633 · E+ 17,468 (-4.8%) · energy 30.5/31.6 MBtu (-3.4%) · MJ 15,146 (-13.3%)
Vatilo ResidenceAris 16,633 · E+ 17,468 (-4.8%) · energy 30.5/31.6 MBtu (-3.4%) · MJ 15,145 (-13.3%)
Vatilo Improved Ducts -4.8%
Vatilo Improved DuctsIECC 2A · hot · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
16,633 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
17,468 Btu/h · Aris -4.8%
peak hour: Aris 08/02 16:00 · E+ 08/02 17:00
Annual energy
30.5 / 31.6 MBtu -3.4%
conditioning 5,467 h vs 5,552 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
15,146 Btu/h · vs E+ -13.3%
Vatilo Residence -4.8%
Vatilo ResidenceIECC 2A · hot · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
16,633 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
17,468 Btu/h · Aris -4.8%
peak hour: Aris 08/02 16:00 · E+ 08/02 17:00
Annual energy
30.5 / 31.6 MBtu -3.4%
conditioning 5,467 h vs 5,552 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
15,145 Btu/h · vs E+ -13.3%
The humid South · 3A
Bell Residence +2.8%
Bell ResidenceIECC 3A · warm · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
25,780 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
25,070 Btu/h · Aris +2.8%
peak hour: Aris 09/02 15:00 · E+ 09/02 17:00
Annual energy
35.0 / 33.1 MBtu +5.5%
conditioning 4,301 h vs 4,177 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
29,481 Btu/h · vs E+ +17.6%
High desert · 3B
HVAC1a–b ×2 -3.6%
HVAC1a–b ×2IECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
all 2 housesAris 32,197 · E+ 33,396 (-3.6%) · energy 50.9/52.3 MBtu (-2.6%) · MJ 39,442 (+18.1%)
HVAC1a -3.6%
HVAC1aIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Aris annual peak
32,197 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
33,396 Btu/h · Aris -3.6%
peak hour: Aris 07/04 16:00 · E+ 07/04 17:00
Annual energy
50.9 / 52.3 MBtu -2.6%
conditioning 4,066 h vs 4,241 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
39,442 Btu/h · vs E+ +18.1%
HVAC1b -3.6%
HVAC1bIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Aris annual peak
32,197 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
33,396 Btu/h · Aris -3.6%
peak hour: Aris 07/04 16:00 · E+ 07/04 17:00
Annual energy
50.9 / 52.3 MBtu -2.6%
conditioning 4,066 h vs 4,241 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
39,442 Btu/h · vs E+ +18.1%
HVAC2a–e ×5 -10.6%
HVAC2a–e ×5IECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
all 5 housesAris 21,613 · E+ 24,171 (-10.6%) · energy 12.4/13.8 MBtu (-10.6%) · MJ 22,228 (-8.0%)
HVAC2a -10.6%
HVAC2aIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Aris annual peak
21,613 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
24,171 Btu/h · Aris -10.6%
peak hour: Aris 07/18 16:00 · E+ 08/30 16:00
Annual energy
12.4 / 13.8 MBtu -10.6%
conditioning 1,537 h vs 1,708 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,228 Btu/h · vs E+ -8.0%
HVAC2b -10.6%
HVAC2bIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Aris annual peak
21,613 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
24,171 Btu/h · Aris -10.6%
peak hour: Aris 07/18 16:00 · E+ 08/30 16:00
Annual energy
12.4 / 13.8 MBtu -10.6%
conditioning 1,537 h vs 1,708 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,228 Btu/h · vs E+ -8.0%
HVAC2c -10.6%
HVAC2cIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Aris annual peak
21,613 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
24,171 Btu/h · Aris -10.6%
peak hour: Aris 07/18 16:00 · E+ 08/30 16:00
Annual energy
12.4 / 13.8 MBtu -10.6%
conditioning 1,537 h vs 1,708 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,228 Btu/h · vs E+ -8.0%
HVAC2d -10.6%
HVAC2dIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Aris annual peak
21,613 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
24,171 Btu/h · Aris -10.6%
peak hour: Aris 07/18 16:00 · E+ 08/30 16:00
Annual energy
12.4 / 13.8 MBtu -10.6%
conditioning 1,537 h vs 1,708 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,228 Btu/h · vs E+ -8.0%
HVAC2e -10.6%
HVAC2eIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Aris annual peak
21,613 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
24,171 Btu/h · Aris -10.6%
peak hour: Aris 07/18 16:00 · E+ 08/30 16:00
Annual energy
12.4 / 13.8 MBtu -10.6%
conditioning 1,537 h vs 1,708 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,228 Btu/h · vs E+ -8.0%
All four seasons · 4A
Bob Ross 3-1 -3.5%
Bob Ross 3-1IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
24,605 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
25,493 Btu/h · Aris -3.5%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
36.2 / 36.8 MBtu -1.4%
conditioning 4,191 h vs 3,722 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
20,993 Btu/h · vs E+ -17.7%
Bob Ross 3-10 -2.9%
Bob Ross 3-10IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
26,265 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
27,051 Btu/h · Aris -2.9%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.2 / 38.6 MBtu -0.9%
conditioning 4,254 h vs 3,740 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,879 Btu/h · vs E+ -15.4%
Bob Ross 3-11 -2.9%
Bob Ross 3-11IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
26,188 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
26,977 Btu/h · Aris -2.9%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.4 / 38.7 MBtu -0.9%
conditioning 4,275 h vs 3,761 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,879 Btu/h · vs E+ -15.2%
Bob Ross 3-12 -2.9%
Bob Ross 3-12IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
28,428 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
29,285 Btu/h · Aris -2.9%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.3 / 38.8 MBtu -1.2%
conditioning 3,976 h vs 3,562 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
24,250 Btu/h · vs E+ -17.2%
Bob Ross 3-13 -2.7%
Bob Ross 3-13IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
26,892 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
27,651 Btu/h · Aris -2.7%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.3 / 38.7 MBtu -1.1%
conditioning 4,162 h vs 3,663 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
24,573 Btu/h · vs E+ -11.1%
Bob Ross 3-14 -5.8%
Bob Ross 3-14IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
27,902 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
29,619 Btu/h · Aris -5.8%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
40.3 / 41.2 MBtu -2.1%
conditioning 4,276 h vs 3,763 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
28,127 Btu/h · vs E+ -5.0%
Bob Ross 3-15 +0.8%
Bob Ross 3-15IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
23,939 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
23,749 Btu/h · Aris +0.8%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 07/27 17:00
Annual energy
36.9 / 37.0 MBtu -0.3%
conditioning 4,271 h vs 3,808 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
21,962 Btu/h · vs E+ -7.5%
Bob Ross 3-16 -4.1%
Bob Ross 3-16IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
21,151 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
22,052 Btu/h · Aris -4.1%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
29.1 / 29.2 MBtu -0.3%
conditioning 3,647 h vs 3,683 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
20,256 Btu/h · vs E+ -8.1%
Bob Ross 3-17 -3.0%
Bob Ross 3-17IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
28,422 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
29,295 Btu/h · Aris -3.0%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.1 / 38.3 MBtu -0.7%
conditioning 3,916 h vs 3,526 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
24,288 Btu/h · vs E+ -17.1%
Bob Ross 3-18 -1.8%
Bob Ross 3-18IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
25,570 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
26,033 Btu/h · Aris -1.8%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.3 / 38.1 MBtu +0.5%
conditioning 4,299 h vs 3,696 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
23,127 Btu/h · vs E+ -11.2%
Bob Ross 3-19 -2.0%
Bob Ross 3-19IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
27,250 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
27,802 Btu/h · Aris -2.0%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
37.7 / 37.8 MBtu -0.3%
conditioning 3,990 h vs 3,520 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
24,288 Btu/h · vs E+ -12.6%
Bob Ross 3-2 -3.1%
Bob Ross 3-2IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
26,167 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
27,015 Btu/h · Aris -3.1%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.2 / 38.6 MBtu -1.1%
conditioning 4,255 h vs 3,742 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,946 Btu/h · vs E+ -15.1%
Bob Ross 3-20 -3.0%
Bob Ross 3-20IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
28,422 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
29,295 Btu/h · Aris -3.0%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.1 / 38.3 MBtu -0.7%
conditioning 3,916 h vs 3,526 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
24,288 Btu/h · vs E+ -17.1%
Bob Ross 3-21 -1.8%
Bob Ross 3-21IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
25,842 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
26,311 Btu/h · Aris -1.8%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.2 / 38.0 MBtu +0.5%
conditioning 4,255 h vs 3,665 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
23,184 Btu/h · vs E+ -11.9%
Bob Ross 3-22 -4.8%
Bob Ross 3-22IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
32,818 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
34,474 Btu/h · Aris -4.8%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
48.3 / 48.0 MBtu +0.6%
conditioning 4,181 h vs 3,775 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
25,344 Btu/h · vs E+ -26.5%
Bob Ross 3-23 -5.6%
Bob Ross 3-23IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
23,403 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
24,791 Btu/h · Aris -5.6%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
32.7 / 34.5 MBtu -5.1%
conditioning 3,684 h vs 3,708 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
21,609 Btu/h · vs E+ -12.8%
Bob Ross 3-3 -3.5%
Bob Ross 3-3IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
28,455 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
29,500 Btu/h · Aris -3.5%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
41.3 / 41.6 MBtu -0.8%
conditioning 4,371 h vs 3,833 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
24,139 Btu/h · vs E+ -18.2%
Bob Ross 3-4 -2.1%
Bob Ross 3-4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
24,470 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
25,004 Btu/h · Aris -2.1%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
36.0 / 36.4 MBtu -1.1%
conditioning 4,142 h vs 3,660 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,120 Btu/h · vs E+ -11.5%
Bob Ross 3-5 -3.2%
Bob Ross 3-5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
30,638 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
31,656 Btu/h · Aris -3.2%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
44.7 / 45.1 MBtu -1.0%
conditioning 4,521 h vs 3,943 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
26,835 Btu/h · vs E+ -15.2%
Bob Ross 3-6 -2.3%
Bob Ross 3-6IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
26,166 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
26,777 Btu/h · Aris -2.3%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.7 / 38.7 MBtu -0.1%
conditioning 4,274 h vs 3,765 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
23,017 Btu/h · vs E+ -14.0%
Bob Ross 3-7 -2.2%
Bob Ross 3-7IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
29,497 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
30,161 Btu/h · Aris -2.2%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
40.8 / 40.7 MBtu +0.3%
conditioning 4,201 h vs 3,645 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
25,808 Btu/h · vs E+ -14.4%
Bob Ross 3-8 -2.9%
Bob Ross 3-8IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
26,513 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
27,298 Btu/h · Aris -2.9%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.8 / 39.1 MBtu -0.9%
conditioning 4,280 h vs 3,771 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,879 Btu/h · vs E+ -16.2%
Bob Ross 3-9 -2.9%
Bob Ross 3-9IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
26,680 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
27,465 Btu/h · Aris -2.9%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
39.1 / 39.5 MBtu -0.9%
conditioning 4,300 h vs 3,796 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,880 Btu/h · vs E+ -16.7%
Bob Ross 4 -0.6%
Bob Ross 4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
26,107 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
26,262 Btu/h · Aris -0.6%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
39.9 / 40.0 MBtu -0.4%
conditioning 4,274 h vs 3,782 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
23,708 Btu/h · vs E+ -9.7%
Bob Ross 5 -1.5%
Bob Ross 5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
28,578 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
29,022 Btu/h · Aris -1.5%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
41.9 / 42.2 MBtu -0.6%
conditioning 4,338 h vs 3,790 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
25,343 Btu/h · vs E+ -12.7%
Bob Ross Residence -2.9%
Bob Ross ResidenceIECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
26,272 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
27,057 Btu/h · Aris -2.9%
peak hour: Aris 09/05 16:00 · E+ 09/05 17:00
Annual energy
38.3 / 38.6 MBtu -0.9%
conditioning 4,255 h vs 3,741 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
22,879 Btu/h · vs E+ -15.4%
Snow belt · 5A
Long Residence -3.3%
Long ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
17,232 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
17,814 Btu/h · Aris -3.3%
peak hour: Aris 08/06 17:00 · E+ 08/06 17:00
Annual energy
13.8 / 14.1 MBtu -2.0%
conditioning 2,850 h vs 2,528 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
17,766 Btu/h · vs E+ -0.3%
Smith Residence +4.6%
Smith ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
19,622 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
18,766 Btu/h · Aris +4.6%
peak hour: Aris 08/06 15:00 · E+ 08/06 16:00
Annual energy
14.1 / 11.7 MBtu +20.8%
conditioning 2,751 h vs 2,122 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
23,077 Btu/h · vs E+ +23.0%
Victor ± improved ducts ×2 +0.7%
Victor ± improved ducts ×2IECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Victor Improved DuctsAris 22,564 · E+ 22,401 (+0.7%) · energy 14.7/15.8 MBtu (-6.8%) · MJ 19,275 (-14.0%)
Victor ResidenceAris 22,564 · E+ 22,401 (+0.7%) · energy 14.7/15.8 MBtu (-6.8%) · MJ 19,276 (-14.0%)
Victor Improved Ducts +0.7%
Victor Improved DuctsIECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
22,564 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
22,401 Btu/h · Aris +0.7%
peak hour: Aris 07/26 16:00 · E+ 07/26 17:00
Annual energy
14.7 / 15.8 MBtu -6.8%
conditioning 2,356 h vs 2,384 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
19,275 Btu/h · vs E+ -14.0%
Victor Residence +0.7%
Victor ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Aris annual peak
22,564 Btu/h
EnergyPlus native annual peak
22,401 Btu/h · Aris +0.7%
peak hour: Aris 07/26 16:00 · E+ 07/26 17:00
Annual energy
14.7 / 15.8 MBtu -6.8%
conditioning 2,356 h vs 2,384 h
Manual J worksheet (no ducts)
19,276 Btu/h · vs E+ -14.0%
The axis clamps at ±60%, with true values printed past the edge. Identical variants collapse into one ×N row; expand for the houses.
The fine print behind this chart

A family collapses only when every member's deltas agree within 0.5 points: the HVAC steps, the ±duct pairs, Walker's ceiling options. A “reference near zero” row prints its absolute values, since a percentage of almost-zero means nothing.

Both sides report the same 8,760 measured weather hours and each reports its own peak: nothing selects days, nothing zeroes gains, and nothing offsets a design temperature. The RunPeriod differs by design — the 36 ground-coupled cases run an audited 29-year ground prefix ahead of the measured year, because EnergyPlus warmup converges zone air but not the Kiva ground domain, while the 8 foundation-free cases run the measured year alone. The founded prefix preserves the source RunPeriod’s pinned weekday under EnergyPlus’s 8,760-hour TMY-year repetition. EnergyPlus solves OpenStudio-HPXML’s own ideal-loads IDF with 6 zone timesteps per hour, timestep Kiva updates, a 0.02 m minimum cell, and 1.5 maximum growth coefficient. The capacity-capped wind tunnel stays at one year on every case and is a capacity-policy sensitivity experiment, never a second annual reference. Each side peaks where it peaks; forcing both onto one hour would re-introduce the selection rule this lane exists to remove. The Manual J worksheet total rides beside each house rather than on this rail, because it pairs a design load against an annual extreme: read it as spread, not accuracy.

Worksheet, design day, real weather

Three ways to size the same house

Manual J is worksheet arithmetic with its conservatism built in. EnergyPlus sizes from a synthetic worst day and multiplies by the industry's customary safety factor. Aris simulates the real weather year at the design conditions, with no factor at all. Same houses, three answers — the rails below put them on one axis, and each house's card counts the hours of its year the load sits above each number.

The three disagree before they compute anything, about what the coldest hour of a house even is: how rare a cold hour they pick, and where they look it up. Manual J and the EnergyPlus design day use the conditions each house's worksheet states. Aris uses the weather station, at the rarer 99.6% winter and 0.4% summer values, because we expect extremes to keep getting worse. That is a choice about the weather we design against, not about the physics. At that hour Aris credits real coincident solar and a floor of occupancy gain, Manual J credits neither, and EnergyPlus runs with no solar and its schedules zeroed. Only EnergyPlus multiplies by the industry's sizing factor. Much of the spread below is those choices, not a disagreement about the building.

The three recipes · absolute Btu/h, one axis for both modes44 houses
Manual J worksheet EnergyPlus design-day raw peak × sizing factor (1.25 / 1.15) Aris production design load (99.6/0.4) Zero at the left edge. The full table, each recipe's basis card, and the flat-cap experiment sit in the expert layer below.
Heating
44 houses · absolute Btu/h, shared axis
Btu/h ▸ 010k20k30k40k50k60k
Sauna country · 1A
Cobb Residence
Cobb ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
6,426 Btu/h
EnergyPlus design day
2,323 raw, ×1.25 = 2,904 Btu/h
Aris production
0 Btu/h
Walker Ceiling Option 1
Walker Ceiling Option 1IECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
8,726 Btu/h
EnergyPlus design day
2,396 raw, ×1.25 = 2,995 Btu/h
Aris production
7,640 Btu/h
Walker Ceiling Option 2
Walker Ceiling Option 2IECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
8,726 Btu/h
EnergyPlus design day
2,282 raw, ×1.25 = 2,853 Btu/h
Aris production
7,640 Btu/h
Walker Residence
Walker ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
8,726 Btu/h
EnergyPlus design day
2,410 raw, ×1.25 = 3,013 Btu/h
Aris production
7,712 Btu/h
Gulf muggy · 2A
Vatilo Improved Ducts
Vatilo Improved DuctsIECC 2A · hot · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
12,042 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
19,636 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
10,958 raw, ×1.25 = 13,698 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
9,325 Btu/h · load above it 18 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Vatilo Residence
Vatilo ResidenceIECC 2A · hot · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
12,042 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
19,636 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
10,958 raw, ×1.25 = 13,698 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
9,325 Btu/h · load above it 18 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
The humid South · 3A
Bell Residence
Bell ResidenceIECC 3A · warm · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
18,717 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
27,037 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
19,119 raw, ×1.25 = 23,899 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
17,671 Btu/h · load above it 11 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
High desert · 3B
HVAC1a
HVAC1aIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Year’s peak load
21,845 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
25,158 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
19,216 raw, ×1.25 = 24,020 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
19,337 Btu/h · load above it 13 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC1b
HVAC1bIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Year’s peak load
21,845 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
25,158 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
19,216 raw, ×1.25 = 24,020 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
19,337 Btu/h · load above it 13 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC2a
HVAC2aIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Year’s peak load
35,339 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
45,169 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
33,793 raw, ×1.25 = 42,241 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
36,523 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC2b
HVAC2bIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Year’s peak load
35,339 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
45,169 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
33,793 raw, ×1.25 = 42,241 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
36,523 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC2c
HVAC2cIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Year’s peak load
35,339 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
45,169 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
33,793 raw, ×1.25 = 42,241 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
36,523 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC2d
HVAC2dIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Year’s peak load
35,339 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
45,169 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
33,793 raw, ×1.25 = 42,241 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
36,523 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC2e
HVAC2eIECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Year’s peak load
35,339 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
45,169 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
33,793 raw, ×1.25 = 42,241 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
36,523 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
All four seasons · 4A
Bob Ross 3-1
Bob Ross 3-1IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
39,350 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
35,980 Btu/h · load above it 7 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
34,116 raw, ×1.25 = 42,645 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
30,591 Btu/h · load above it 27 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-10
Bob Ross 3-10IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
40,504 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
35,145 raw, ×1.25 = 43,931 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,451 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-11
Bob Ross 3-11IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
39,319 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h · load above it 5 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
34,488 raw, ×1.25 = 43,110 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
30,695 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-12
Bob Ross 3-12IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
57,700 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
45,463 Btu/h · load above it 23 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
46,476 raw, ×1.25 = 58,095 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
42,783 Btu/h · load above it 30 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-13
Bob Ross 3-13IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
43,248 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
47,634 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
37,967 raw, ×1.25 = 47,459 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
38,361 Btu/h · load above it 12 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-14
Bob Ross 3-14IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
41,497 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
39,876 Btu/h · load above it 4 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
36,293 raw, ×1.25 = 45,366 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
32,558 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-15
Bob Ross 3-15IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
36,702 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
34,424 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
32,307 raw, ×1.25 = 40,384 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
28,307 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-16
Bob Ross 3-16IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
31,705 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
46,837 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
26,933 raw, ×1.25 = 33,666 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
34,413 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-17
Bob Ross 3-17IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
48,211 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
43,346 Btu/h · load above it 11 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
40,304 raw, ×1.25 = 50,380 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
37,550 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-18
Bob Ross 3-18IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
40,001 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
38,415 Btu/h · load above it 4 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
35,752 raw, ×1.25 = 44,690 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
30,606 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-19
Bob Ross 3-19IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
47,422 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
43,346 Btu/h · load above it 8 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
40,730 raw, ×1.25 = 50,913 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
36,254 Btu/h · load above it 27 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-2
Bob Ross 3-2IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
40,496 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
35,130 raw, ×1.25 = 43,913 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,450 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-20
Bob Ross 3-20IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
48,211 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
43,346 Btu/h · load above it 11 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
40,304 raw, ×1.25 = 50,380 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
37,550 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-21
Bob Ross 3-21IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
41,120 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
39,102 Btu/h · load above it 5 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
36,504 raw, ×1.25 = 45,630 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,461 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-22
Bob Ross 3-22IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
49,797 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
49,223 Btu/h · load above it 2 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
42,273 raw, ×1.25 = 52,841 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
38,974 Btu/h · load above it 27 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-23
Bob Ross 3-23IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
35,639 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
29,338 Btu/h · load above it 22 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
29,408 raw, ×1.25 = 36,760 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
27,570 Btu/h · load above it 28 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-3
Bob Ross 3-3IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
40,365 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
35,106 raw, ×1.25 = 43,883 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,342 Btu/h · load above it 24 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-4
Bob Ross 3-4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
40,697 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h · load above it 7 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
35,154 raw, ×1.25 = 43,943 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,630 Btu/h · load above it 28 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-5
Bob Ross 3-5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
40,134 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
35,038 raw, ×1.25 = 43,798 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,176 Btu/h · load above it 24 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-6
Bob Ross 3-6IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
39,591 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,251 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
34,748 raw, ×1.25 = 43,435 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
30,782 Btu/h · load above it 25 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-7
Bob Ross 3-7IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
46,128 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
42,579 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
38,714 raw, ×1.25 = 48,393 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
36,449 Btu/h · load above it 25 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-8
Bob Ross 3-8IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
40,306 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
34,948 raw, ×1.25 = 43,685 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,451 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-9
Bob Ross 3-9IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
40,173 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
34,815 raw, ×1.25 = 43,519 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,451 Btu/h · load above it 25 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 4
Bob Ross 4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
40,762 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
35,123 raw, ×1.25 = 43,904 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,725 Btu/h · load above it 25 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 5
Bob Ross 5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
42,242 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
39,328 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
36,443 raw, ×1.25 = 45,554 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
32,739 Btu/h · load above it 25 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross Residence
Bob Ross ResidenceIECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
40,498 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
35,140 raw, ×1.25 = 43,925 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,451 Btu/h · load above it 26 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Snow belt · 5A
Long Residence
Long ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
48,547 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
41,746 Btu/h · load above it 63 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
43,991 raw, ×1.25 = 54,989 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
40,000 Btu/h · load above it 100 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Smith Residence
Smith ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
58,226 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
54,479 Btu/h · load above it 10 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
44,240 raw, ×1.25 = 55,300 Btu/h · load above it 8 h/yr
Aris production
47,088 Btu/h · load above it 144 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Victor Improved Ducts
Victor Improved DuctsIECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
51,708 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
52,493 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
43,980 raw, ×1.25 = 54,975 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
45,852 Btu/h · load above it 41 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Victor Residence
Victor ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Year’s peak load
51,708 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
52,493 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
43,980 raw, ×1.25 = 54,975 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
45,852 Btu/h · load above it 41 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Cooling
44 houses · absolute Btu/h, shared axis
Btu/h ▸ 010k20k30k40k50k60k
Sauna country · 1A
Cobb Residence
Cobb ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
12,195 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
20,476 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
14,682 raw, ×1.15 = 16,884 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
14,865 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Walker Ceiling Option 1
Walker Ceiling Option 1IECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
12,778 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
15,255 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
7,653 raw, ×1.15 = 8,801 Btu/h · load above it 638 h/yr
Aris production
14,814 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Walker Ceiling Option 2
Walker Ceiling Option 2IECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
12,769 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
14,811 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
7,377 raw, ×1.15 = 8,484 Btu/h · load above it 777 h/yr
Aris production
14,814 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Walker Residence
Walker ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
12,528 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
14,588 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
7,200 raw, ×1.15 = 8,280 Btu/h · load above it 827 h/yr
Aris production
14,585 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Gulf muggy · 2A
Vatilo Improved Ducts
Vatilo Improved DuctsIECC 2A · hot · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
16,633 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
13,438 Btu/h · load above it 104 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
9,015 raw, ×1.15 = 10,367 Btu/h · load above it 578 h/yr
Aris production
14,752 Btu/h · load above it 20 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Vatilo Residence
Vatilo ResidenceIECC 2A · hot · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
16,633 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
13,438 Btu/h · load above it 104 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
9,015 raw, ×1.15 = 10,367 Btu/h · load above it 578 h/yr
Aris production
14,752 Btu/h · load above it 20 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
The humid South · 3A
Bell Residence
Bell ResidenceIECC 3A · warm · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
25,780 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
27,774 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
16,354 raw, ×1.15 = 18,807 Btu/h · load above it 263 h/yr
Aris production
27,003 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
High desert · 3B
HVAC1a
HVAC1aIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Year’s peak load
32,197 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
35,229 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
28,695 raw, ×1.15 = 32,999 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,255 Btu/h · load above it 8 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC1b
HVAC1bIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Year’s peak load
32,197 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
35,229 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
28,695 raw, ×1.15 = 32,999 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
Aris production
31,255 Btu/h · load above it 8 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC2a
HVAC2aIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Year’s peak load
21,613 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,626 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
17,414 raw, ×1.15 = 20,026 Btu/h · load above it 12 h/yr
Aris production
19,602 Btu/h · load above it 19 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC2b
HVAC2bIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Year’s peak load
21,613 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,626 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
17,414 raw, ×1.15 = 20,026 Btu/h · load above it 12 h/yr
Aris production
19,602 Btu/h · load above it 19 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC2c
HVAC2cIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Year’s peak load
21,613 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,626 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
17,414 raw, ×1.15 = 20,026 Btu/h · load above it 12 h/yr
Aris production
19,602 Btu/h · load above it 19 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC2d
HVAC2dIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Year’s peak load
21,613 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,626 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
17,414 raw, ×1.15 = 20,026 Btu/h · load above it 12 h/yr
Aris production
19,602 Btu/h · load above it 19 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
HVAC2e
HVAC2eIECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Year’s peak load
21,613 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,626 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
17,414 raw, ×1.15 = 20,026 Btu/h · load above it 12 h/yr
Aris production
19,602 Btu/h · load above it 19 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
All four seasons · 4A
Bob Ross 3-1 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-1IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
24,605 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
19,284 Btu/h · load above it 189 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,205 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
18,829 Btu/h · load above it 230 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-10 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-10IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
26,265 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,171 Btu/h · load above it 155 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,269 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
20,294 Btu/h · load above it 212 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-11 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-11IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
26,188 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,171 Btu/h · load above it 149 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,294 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
20,215 Btu/h · load above it 216 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-12 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-12IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
28,428 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
22,541 Btu/h · load above it 154 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 3,985 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
21,700 Btu/h · load above it 195 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-13 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-13IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
26,892 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
22,864 Btu/h · load above it 75 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,183 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
21,284 Btu/h · load above it 170 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-14 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-14IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
27,902 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
26,417 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,303 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
21,732 Btu/h · load above it 189 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-15 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-15IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
23,939 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
20,253 Btu/h · load above it 101 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,280 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
18,698 Btu/h · load above it 215 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-16
Bob Ross 3-16IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
21,151 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
18,544 Btu/h · load above it 52 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
3,014 raw, ×1.15 = 3,466 Btu/h · load above it 2,987 h/yr
Aris production
17,173 Btu/h · load above it 146 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-17 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-17IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
28,422 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
22,579 Btu/h · load above it 160 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 3,927 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
22,028 Btu/h · load above it 193 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-18 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-18IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
25,570 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
20,965 Btu/h · load above it 145 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,315 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
20,171 Btu/h · load above it 198 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-19 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-19IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
27,250 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
22,579 Btu/h · load above it 117 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,003 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
21,501 Btu/h · load above it 186 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-2 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-2IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
26,167 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,237 Btu/h · load above it 146 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,270 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
20,324 Btu/h · load above it 207 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-20 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-20IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
28,422 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
22,579 Btu/h · load above it 160 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 3,927 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
22,028 Btu/h · load above it 193 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-21 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-21IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
25,842 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,190 Btu/h · load above it 141 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,274 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
20,379 Btu/h · load above it 197 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-22
Bob Ross 3-22IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
32,818 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
23,635 Btu/h · load above it 355 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
5,084 raw, ×1.15 = 5,847 Btu/h · load above it 3,066 h/yr
Aris production
26,331 Btu/h · load above it 188 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-23 E+ 1,972
Bob Ross 3-23IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
23,403 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
19,898 Btu/h · load above it 95 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
1,972 raw, ×1.15 = 2,268 Btu/h · load above it 3,366 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
19,344 Btu/h · load above it 138 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-3 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-3IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
28,455 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
22,430 Btu/h · load above it 177 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,386 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
22,222 Btu/h · load above it 188 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-4 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
24,470 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
20,412 Btu/h · load above it 122 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,165 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
18,768 Btu/h · load above it 240 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-5 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
30,638 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
25,126 Btu/h · load above it 119 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,538 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
24,100 Btu/h · load above it 178 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-6 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-6IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
26,166 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,308 Btu/h · load above it 145 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,288 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
20,277 Btu/h · load above it 213 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-7 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-7IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
29,497 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
24,098 Btu/h · load above it 137 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,256 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
23,221 Btu/h · load above it 191 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-8 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-8IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
26,513 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,171 Btu/h · load above it 160 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,296 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
20,294 Btu/h · load above it 219 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 3-9 E+ 0
Bob Ross 3-9IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
26,680 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,171 Btu/h · load above it 163 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,318 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
20,294 Btu/h · load above it 225 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 4 E+ 0
Bob Ross 4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
26,107 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,998 Btu/h · load above it 116 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,294 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
20,396 Btu/h · load above it 227 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross 5 E+ 0
Bob Ross 5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
28,578 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
23,634 Btu/h · load above it 113 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,365 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
22,196 Btu/h · load above it 205 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Bob Ross Residence E+ 0
Bob Ross ResidenceIECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
26,272 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,171 Btu/h · load above it 155 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
0 raw, ×1.15 = 0 Btu/h · load above it 4,270 h/yr
near zero: Kiva's design-day ground initialization sinks the load
Aris production
20,294 Btu/h · load above it 212 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Snow belt · 5A
Long Residence
Long ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
17,232 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
16,059 Btu/h · load above it 7 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
2,686 raw, ×1.15 = 3,089 Btu/h · load above it 1,698 h/yr
Aris production
17,363 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Smith Residence
Smith ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
19,622 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
21,334 Btu/h · load above it 0 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
4,715 raw, ×1.15 = 5,422 Btu/h · load above it 1,121 h/yr
Aris production
18,511 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Victor Improved Ducts
Victor Improved DuctsIECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
22,564 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
17,567 Btu/h · load above it 32 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
12,517 raw, ×1.15 = 14,395 Btu/h · load above it 171 h/yr
Aris production
20,131 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Victor Residence
Victor ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Year’s peak load
22,564 Btu/h
Manual J worksheet
17,567 Btu/h · load above it 32 h/yr
EnergyPlus design day
12,517 raw, ×1.15 = 14,395 Btu/h · load above it 171 h/yr
Aris production
20,131 Btu/h · load above it 6 h/yr
“load above it” counts hours of the uncapped year, a house-and-weather property, not a comfort claim
Each recipe runs at its own prescribed design conditions, printed in the data table. The worksheet and the EnergyPlus design day share one anchor on every house: the design temperature the fixture's own Manual J inputs state, or the EPW header's 99%/1% where the fixture states none. Aris is the one that differs, anchoring at the station's 99.6%/0.4% the way a shipped design does. That is usually the colder anchor, though not always. On two houses the published worksheet condition is colder still. The cooling panel's near-zero diamonds are the Kiva design-day ground story in the sidebar below, printed as EnergyPlus's answer because they are EnergyPlus's answer.

Room by room is where the worksheet falls apart

Right house, wrong rooms

This figure is the case for physics, not a scorecard. A worksheet can approximate a house and still miss its rooms: half the houses land within 6% of the hourly model's heating total while their rooms scatter from -100.0% to +89.9%. The cause is cancellation. A west room's missed afternoon nets against an east room's morning surplus. Comfort is delivered room by room, and there nothing cancels. Everyone has lived in the result: the bedroom that swelters in July, the room over the garage that never warms in January, in a house whose load calculation passed on the total. Any hourly simulation would draw this picture. The model is the instrument here, not the contestant.

Manual J is practiced at two grains, and the strips draw both against the same per-room physics: ACCA's room-by-room procedure, which Manual D requires for duct design, and the block load apportioned by floor area. Half the rooms miss by more than 11% on heating and 17% on cooling; the block load widens that to 17% and 36%. Hollow dots are below-grade rooms, where the worksheet books surfaces at the outdoor design ΔT and the solver conducts them to ~55°F ground. The claim stands on the solid dots.

And every dot shows the worksheet at its best: exact take-offs, actual R‑values, the true orientation. The field starts further back. 1 in 4 contractors sizes by square‑feet‑per‑ton rules with no load calculation at all, 38% admit padding the answer on purpose (FSEC, 489 contractors), and across nine field studies 31–93% of installed systems carry a sizing fault (DOE, 2018).

Heating
◂ over-booksunder-books ▸ -100%0%+100%
house totals median -5.2%
room-by-room MJ half miss ≥ 11%
block ÷ floor area half miss ≥ 17%
House by house · each gray dot one room, the orange tick the house total, hollow dots below grade
◂ over-booksunder-books ▸ -100%0%+100%
Walker Ceiling Option 1 house -77.3%
Walker Ceiling Option 1IECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Whole house
-77.3% (worksheet 8,726 vs Aris 1,977 Btu/h)
Room spread
-100.0% to -42.6% across 4 rooms
Median room miss
100% in either direction
Walker Ceiling Option 2 house -77.3%
Walker Ceiling Option 2IECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Whole house
-77.3% (worksheet 8,726 vs Aris 1,977 Btu/h)
Room spread
-100.0% to -42.6% across 4 rooms
Median room miss
100% in either direction
Walker Residence house -77.1%
Walker ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · heating
Whole house
-77.1% (worksheet 8,726 vs Aris 1,999 Btu/h)
Room spread
-100.0% to -42.1% across 4 rooms
Median room miss
100% in either direction
Bell Residence house -27.2%
Bell ResidenceIECC 3A · warm · humid · heating
Whole house
-27.2% (worksheet 27,038 vs Aris 19,693 Btu/h)
Room spread
-34.3% to -16.5% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
22% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-1 house -2.4%
Bob Ross 3-1IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-2.4% (worksheet 35,980 vs Aris 35,107 Btu/h)
Room spread
-19.2% to +53.6% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
11% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-10 house -4.9%
Bob Ross 3-10IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-4.9% (worksheet 37,647 vs Aris 35,810 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.7% to +50.9% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
10% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-11 house -6.5%
Bob Ross 3-11IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-6.5% (worksheet 37,647 vs Aris 35,208 Btu/h)
Room spread
-21.7% to +47.4% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
9% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-12 house -1.2%
Bob Ross 3-12IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-1.2% (worksheet 45,463 vs Aris 44,940 Btu/h)
Room spread
-25.7% to +89.9% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
18% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-13 house -11.8%
Bob Ross 3-13IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-11.8% (worksheet 47,634 vs Aris 42,027 Btu/h)
Room spread
-34.4% to +71.4% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
18% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-14 house -0.7%
Bob Ross 3-14IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-0.7% (worksheet 39,875 vs Aris 39,581 Btu/h)
Room spread
-22.7% to +80.1% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
13% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-15 house -4.0%
Bob Ross 3-15IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-4.0% (worksheet 34,424 vs Aris 33,033 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.9% to +50.2% across 11 rooms
Median room miss
9% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-16 house -25.2%
Bob Ross 3-16IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-25.2% (worksheet 46,837 vs Aris 35,051 Btu/h)
Room spread
-36.0% to +12.0% across 7 rooms
Median room miss
12% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-17 house -4.9%
Bob Ross 3-17IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-4.9% (worksheet 43,346 vs Aris 41,209 Btu/h)
Room spread
-19.1% to +76.6% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
14% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-18 house -11.2%
Bob Ross 3-18IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-11.2% (worksheet 39,392 vs Aris 34,994 Btu/h)
Room spread
-27.4% to +42.9% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
13% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-19 house -7.9%
Bob Ross 3-19IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-7.9% (worksheet 43,346 vs Aris 39,912 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.9% to +69.6% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
14% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-2 house -4.9%
Bob Ross 3-2IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-4.9% (worksheet 37,647 vs Aris 35,810 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.8% to +50.9% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
10% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-20 house -4.9%
Bob Ross 3-20IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-4.9% (worksheet 43,346 vs Aris 41,209 Btu/h)
Room spread
-19.1% to +76.6% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
14% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-21 house -9.8%
Bob Ross 3-21IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-9.8% (worksheet 39,624 vs Aris 35,738 Btu/h)
Room spread
-26.5% to +47.0% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
13% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-22 house -12.7%
Bob Ross 3-22IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-12.7% (worksheet 49,223 vs Aris 42,965 Btu/h)
Room spread
-26.0% to +23.3% across 14 rooms
Median room miss
11% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-23 house -17.2%
Bob Ross 3-23IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-17.2% (worksheet 29,337 vs Aris 24,302 Btu/h)
Room spread
-18.1% to +15.6% across 7 rooms
Median room miss
9% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-3 house -5.2%
Bob Ross 3-3IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-5.2% (worksheet 37,647 vs Aris 35,697 Btu/h)
Room spread
-21.0% to +50.5% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
10% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-4 house -4.4%
Bob Ross 3-4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-4.4% (worksheet 37,647 vs Aris 35,986 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.3% to +51.6% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
11% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-5 house -5.6%
Bob Ross 3-5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-5.6% (worksheet 37,647 vs Aris 35,533 Btu/h)
Room spread
-21.5% to +49.8% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
9% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-6 house -5.5%
Bob Ross 3-6IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-5.5% (worksheet 37,251 vs Aris 35,197 Btu/h)
Room spread
-25.5% to +50.8% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
11% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-7 house -5.0%
Bob Ross 3-7IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-5.0% (worksheet 42,579 vs Aris 40,440 Btu/h)
Room spread
-14.4% to +50.9% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
10% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-8 house -4.9%
Bob Ross 3-8IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-4.9% (worksheet 37,647 vs Aris 35,810 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.7% to +50.9% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
10% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-9 house -4.9%
Bob Ross 3-9IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-4.9% (worksheet 37,647 vs Aris 35,810 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.7% to +50.9% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
10% in either direction
Bob Ross 4 house -4.1%
Bob Ross 4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-4.1% (worksheet 37,647 vs Aris 36,090 Btu/h)
Room spread
-18.7% to +52.0% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
10% in either direction
Bob Ross 5 house -6.0%
Bob Ross 5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-6.0% (worksheet 39,328 vs Aris 36,967 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.4% to +46.2% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
8% in either direction
Bob Ross Residence house -4.9%
Bob Ross ResidenceIECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Whole house
-4.9% (worksheet 37,647 vs Aris 35,810 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.7% to +50.9% across 12 rooms
Median room miss
10% in either direction
Cooling
◂ over-booksunder-books ▸ -100%0%+100%
house totals median +21.0%
room-by-room MJ half miss ≥ 17%
block ÷ floor area half miss ≥ 36%
House by house · each gray dot one room, the orange tick the house total, hollow dots below grade
◂ over-booksunder-books ▸ -100%0%+100%
Walker Ceiling Option 1 house -7.8%
Walker Ceiling Option 1IECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Whole house
-7.8% (worksheet 16,963 vs Aris 15,638 Btu/h)
Room spread
+5.5% to +14.7% across 4 rooms
Median room miss
14% in either direction
Walker Ceiling Option 2 house -5.3%
Walker Ceiling Option 2IECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Whole house
-5.3% (worksheet 16,517 vs Aris 15,638 Btu/h)
Room spread
+7.1% to +21.1% across 4 rooms
Median room miss
20% in either direction
Walker Residence house -5.5%
Walker ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Whole house
-5.5% (worksheet 16,295 vs Aris 15,400 Btu/h)
Room spread
+6.9% to +22.5% across 4 rooms
Median room miss
21% in either direction
Bell Residence house -4.9%
Bell ResidenceIECC 3A · warm · humid · cooling
Whole house
-4.9% (worksheet 29,481 vs Aris 28,042 Btu/h)
Room spread
-41.0% to -13.2% across 7 rooms
Median room miss
24% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-1 house +26.5%
Bob Ross 3-1IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+26.5% (worksheet 20,993 vs Aris 26,558 Btu/h)
Room spread
-19.7% to +245.5% across 5 rooms
Median room miss
14% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-10 house +22.7%
Bob Ross 3-10IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+22.7% (worksheet 22,879 vs Aris 28,077 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.9% to +231.7% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
21% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-11 house +22.5%
Bob Ross 3-11IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+22.5% (worksheet 22,879 vs Aris 28,017 Btu/h)
Room spread
-21.1% to +230.6% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
21% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-12 house +20.2%
Bob Ross 3-12IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+20.2% (worksheet 24,250 vs Aris 29,148 Btu/h)
Room spread
-21.2% to +238.9% across 7 rooms
Median room miss
14% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-13 house +17.7%
Bob Ross 3-13IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+17.7% (worksheet 24,573 vs Aris 28,927 Btu/h)
Room spread
-22.8% to +232.0% across 7 rooms
Median room miss
15% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-14 house +11.7%
Bob Ross 3-14IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+11.7% (worksheet 28,127 vs Aris 31,425 Btu/h)
Room spread
-33.3% to +304.4% across 7 rooms
Median room miss
26% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-15 house +19.5%
Bob Ross 3-15IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+19.5% (worksheet 21,962 vs Aris 26,241 Btu/h)
Room spread
-21.6% to +232.1% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
22% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-16 house -0.6%
Bob Ross 3-16IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
-0.6% (worksheet 20,256 vs Aris 20,136 Btu/h)
Room spread
-5.5% to +38.7% across 5 rooms
Median room miss
12% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-17 house +21.7%
Bob Ross 3-17IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+21.7% (worksheet 24,288 vs Aris 29,553 Btu/h)
Room spread
-17.9% to +252.8% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
18% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-18 house +21.0%
Bob Ross 3-18IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+21.0% (worksheet 23,127 vs Aris 27,989 Btu/h)
Room spread
-22.4% to +226.7% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
22% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-19 house +19.8%
Bob Ross 3-19IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+19.8% (worksheet 24,288 vs Aris 29,100 Btu/h)
Room spread
-19.2% to +245.3% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
19% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-2 house +22.5%
Bob Ross 3-2IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+22.5% (worksheet 22,946 vs Aris 28,100 Btu/h)
Room spread
-21.0% to +227.0% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
21% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-20 house +21.7%
Bob Ross 3-20IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+21.7% (worksheet 24,288 vs Aris 29,553 Btu/h)
Room spread
-17.9% to +252.8% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
18% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-21 house +21.5%
Bob Ross 3-21IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+21.5% (worksheet 23,184 vs Aris 28,167 Btu/h)
Room spread
-21.9% to +229.4% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
22% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-22 house +34.1%
Bob Ross 3-22IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+34.1% (worksheet 25,344 vs Aris 33,980 Btu/h)
Room spread
-21.0% to +257.4% across 7 rooms
Median room miss
21% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-23 house -12.9%
Bob Ross 3-23IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
-12.9% (worksheet 21,609 vs Aris 18,820 Btu/h)
Room spread
-17.2% to +14.0% across 5 rooms
Median room miss
14% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-3 house +25.7%
Bob Ross 3-3IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+25.7% (worksheet 24,139 vs Aris 30,333 Btu/h)
Room spread
-21.4% to +221.6% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
21% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-4 house +18.8%
Bob Ross 3-4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+18.8% (worksheet 22,120 vs Aris 26,269 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.6% to +240.0% across 5 rooms
Median room miss
14% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-5 house +20.7%
Bob Ross 3-5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+20.7% (worksheet 26,835 vs Aris 32,378 Btu/h)
Room spread
-23.9% to +206.6% across 7 rooms
Median room miss
24% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-6 house +22.5%
Bob Ross 3-6IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+22.5% (worksheet 23,017 vs Aris 28,187 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.9% to +230.5% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
21% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-7 house +22.2%
Bob Ross 3-7IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+22.2% (worksheet 25,808 vs Aris 31,534 Btu/h)
Room spread
-13.8% to +231.9% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
14% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-8 house +22.7%
Bob Ross 3-8IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+22.7% (worksheet 22,879 vs Aris 28,077 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.9% to +232.0% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
21% in either direction
Bob Ross 3-9 house +22.7%
Bob Ross 3-9IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+22.7% (worksheet 22,880 vs Aris 28,077 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.9% to +232.0% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
21% in either direction
Bob Ross 4 house +18.1%
Bob Ross 4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+18.1% (worksheet 23,708 vs Aris 28,004 Btu/h)
Room spread
-22.8% to +169.3% across 8 rooms
Median room miss
18% in either direction
Bob Ross 5 house +18.0%
Bob Ross 5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+18.0% (worksheet 25,343 vs Aris 29,903 Btu/h)
Room spread
-23.3% to +117.4% across 8 rooms
Median room miss
19% in either direction
Bob Ross Residence house +22.7%
Bob Ross ResidenceIECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Whole house
+22.7% (worksheet 22,879 vs Aris 28,077 Btu/h)
Room spread
-20.9% to +231.7% across 6 rooms
Median room miss
21% in either direction

Read the scatter above as the best-case scenario for Manual J. Approximations and shortcuts taken in the field make the real discrepancies worse. Accuracy requires both good data and good physics.

A separate per-space run, so these totals move slightly against the committed whole-house ledgers. 14 cases ship no per-space worksheet and are declared as gaps in the expert layer. Rooms under 1,000 Btu/h stay out of the dots as denominator noise, but stay in every total. No industry per-room reference exists to referee the physics side: the corpus's reference EnergyPlus pipeline models the conditioned space as a single zone.

Why the E+ design-day answer installs zero cooling

Not a bug, but a convention anyone sizing from design days in EnergyPlus inherits. Kiva, its ground model, starts design-day runs on spring-cold soil and holds it frozen through the warmup. The July slab then drinks the cooling load, and 24 of 44 houses get a near-zero cooling answer, most of the Bob Ross family among them. Against the year the house actually runs, those answers sit under the load for roughly four thousand hours. The annual runs are spared because their soil moves with the weather. The full design-day record, raw and factored, is one layer down.

Expert layer: every number, each recipe's basis, the flat-cap experiment, and the second referee

Manual J worksheet

Steady-state worksheet, ducts and blower heat excluded, at Manual J's own prescribed 99%/1% design conditions — the number the book's recipe would install (a re-evaluation at the shared 99.6%/0.4% header sits in the data table). No safety factor by design: ACCA frames Manual J as right-sizing and hands oversizing latitude to Manual S equipment selection. No warmup, because a worksheet has no state.

EnergyPlus design day

SizingPeriod:DesignDay built from the weather file's own ASHRAE design conditions, repeat-day warmup to convergence, Kiva ground frozen at its design-day initialization (EnergyPlus 25.2.0-cf7368216c). Diamond marks the raw ideal-loads peak; the tick marks ×1.25 heating / ×1.15 cooling, the ASHRAE 90.1 Appendix G oversizing convention, applied as a labelled arithmetic step because it is common practice, not an EnergyPlus default (the IDD default is 1.0). Exceedance and the flat-cap experiment count against the factored value, the capacity this recipe would actually install.

Aris production

The shipped design load: the hourly room solver over the real weather sequence, with the design-day snap and occupancy-floor gains conventions, sized per room and summed here. No explicit safety factor; the conservatism lives in the percentile choice and the snap convention. The anchor is the station's 99.6%/0.4% pair, the same one a drawn design gets, rather than the condition each fixture's worksheet was written at. Both are printed in the data table. Those worksheet conditions are published per house rather than derived from the weather file, so they carry no single percentile: two of these houses share a weather file and still state design temperatures five degrees apart.

Full data table: all three answers per house, plus the worksheet re-evaluated at the shared basis
Three sizing answers (Btu/h) · each recipe at its own design conditions · E+ raw / ×factor · exceedance in h/yr (MJ / E+ / Aris)44 houses
HouseZoneMJ htgE+ htg raw/×1.25Aris htgMJ clgE+ clg raw/×1.15Aris clgWorksheet basis °F · Aris basis °F · MJ re-run at Aris'sLoad above each, htg · clg
Cobb Residence 1A 6,426 2,323 / 2,904 0 20,476 14,682 / 16,884 14,865 47 / 93°F · Aris 48 / 92°F · MJ re-run there: 6,242 / 20,239 no test · 0 / 0 / 0
Walker Ceiling Option 1 1A 8,726 2,396 / 2,995 7,640 15,255 7,653 / 8,801 14,814 52 / 90°F · Aris 48 / 92°F · MJ re-run there: 10,488 / 15,800 no test · 0 / 638 / 0
Walker Ceiling Option 2 1A 8,726 2,282 / 2,853 7,640 14,811 7,377 / 8,484 14,814 52 / 90°F · Aris 48 / 92°F · MJ re-run there: 10,488 / 15,355 no test · 0 / 777 / 0
Walker Residence 1A 8,726 2,410 / 3,013 7,712 14,588 7,200 / 8,280 14,585 52 / 90°F · Aris 48 / 92°F · MJ re-run there: 10,488 / 15,133 no test · 0 / 827 / 0
Vatilo Improved Ducts 2A 19,636 10,958 / 13,698 9,325 13,438 9,015 / 10,367 14,752 31 / 94°F · Aris 29 / 97°F · MJ re-run there: 20,582 / 14,106 0 / 0 / 18 · 104 / 578 / 20
Vatilo Residence 2A 19,636 10,958 / 13,698 9,325 13,438 9,015 / 10,367 14,752 31 / 94°F · Aris 29 / 97°F · MJ re-run there: 20,582 / 14,106 0 / 0 / 18 · 104 / 578 / 20
Bell Residence 3A 27,037 19,119 / 23,899 17,671 27,774 16,354 / 18,807 27,003 9 / 97°F · Aris 12 / 100°F · MJ re-run there: 25,619 / 28,489 0 / 0 / 11 · 0 / 263 / 0
HVAC1a 3B 25,158 19,216 / 24,020 19,337 35,229 28,695 / 32,999 31,255 33 / 106°F · Aris 31 / 108°F · MJ re-run there: 27,145 / 36,766 0 / 0 / 13 · 0 / 0 / 8
HVAC1b 3B 25,158 19,216 / 24,020 19,337 35,229 28,695 / 32,999 31,255 33 / 106°F · Aris 31 / 108°F · MJ re-run there: 27,145 / 36,766 0 / 0 / 13 · 0 / 0 / 8
HVAC2a 3B 45,169 33,793 / 42,241 36,523 21,626 17,414 / 20,026 19,602 6 / 88°F · Aris -1 / 90°F · MJ re-run there: 49,853 / 23,862 0 / 0 / 0 · 0 / 12 / 19
HVAC2b 3B 45,169 33,793 / 42,241 36,523 21,626 17,414 / 20,026 19,602 6 / 88°F · Aris -1 / 90°F · MJ re-run there: 49,853 / 23,862 0 / 0 / 0 · 0 / 12 / 19
HVAC2c 3B 45,169 33,793 / 42,241 36,523 21,626 17,414 / 20,026 19,602 6 / 88°F · Aris -1 / 90°F · MJ re-run there: 49,853 / 23,862 0 / 0 / 0 · 0 / 12 / 19
HVAC2d 3B 45,169 33,793 / 42,241 36,523 21,626 17,414 / 20,026 19,602 6 / 88°F · Aris -1 / 90°F · MJ re-run there: 49,853 / 23,862 0 / 0 / 0 · 0 / 12 / 19
HVAC2e 3B 45,169 33,793 / 42,241 36,523 21,626 17,414 / 20,026 19,602 6 / 88°F · Aris -1 / 90°F · MJ re-run there: 49,853 / 23,862 0 / 0 / 0 · 0 / 12 / 19
Bob Ross 3-1 4A 35,980 34,116 / 42,645 30,591 19,284 0 / 0 18,829 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 40,520 / 20,360 7 / 0 / 27 · 189 / 4205 / 230
Bob Ross 3-10 4A 37,647 35,145 / 43,931 31,451 21,171 0 / 0 20,294 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 42,397 / 22,302 6 / 0 / 26 · 155 / 4269 / 212
Bob Ross 3-11 4A 37,647 34,488 / 43,110 30,695 21,171 0 / 0 20,215 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 42,397 / 22,302 5 / 0 / 26 · 149 / 4294 / 216
Bob Ross 3-12 4A 45,463 46,476 / 58,095 42,783 22,541 0 / 0 21,700 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 51,199 / 23,838 23 / 0 / 30 · 154 / 3985 / 195
Bob Ross 3-13 4A 47,634 37,967 / 47,459 38,361 22,864 0 / 0 21,284 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 53,811 / 24,233 0 / 0 / 12 · 75 / 4183 / 170
Bob Ross 3-14 4A 39,876 36,293 / 45,366 32,558 26,417 0 / 0 21,732 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 44,907 / 27,637 4 / 0 / 26 · 6 / 4303 / 189
Bob Ross 3-15 4A 34,424 32,307 / 40,384 28,307 20,253 0 / 0 18,698 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 38,767 / 21,257 6 / 0 / 26 · 101 / 4280 / 215
Bob Ross 3-16 4A 46,837 26,933 / 33,666 34,413 18,544 3,014 / 3,466 17,173 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 51,894 / 19,515 0 / 0 / 0 · 52 / 2987 / 146
Bob Ross 3-17 4A 43,346 40,304 / 50,380 37,550 22,579 0 / 0 22,028 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 48,815 / 23,881 11 / 0 / 26 · 160 / 3927 / 193
Bob Ross 3-18 4A 38,415 35,752 / 44,690 30,606 20,965 0 / 0 20,171 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 43,262 / 22,072 4 / 0 / 26 · 145 / 4315 / 198
Bob Ross 3-19 4A 43,346 40,730 / 50,913 36,254 22,579 0 / 0 21,501 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 48,815 / 23,881 8 / 0 / 27 · 117 / 4003 / 186
Bob Ross 3-2 4A 37,647 35,130 / 43,913 31,450 21,237 0 / 0 20,324 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 42,397 / 22,341 6 / 0 / 26 · 146 / 4270 / 207
Bob Ross 3-20 4A 43,346 40,304 / 50,380 37,550 22,579 0 / 0 22,028 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 48,815 / 23,881 11 / 0 / 26 · 160 / 3927 / 193
Bob Ross 3-21 4A 39,102 36,504 / 45,630 31,461 21,190 0 / 0 20,379 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 44,036 / 22,324 5 / 0 / 26 · 141 / 4274 / 197
Bob Ross 3-22 4A 49,223 42,273 / 52,841 38,974 23,635 5,084 / 5,847 26,331 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 55,434 / 25,033 2 / 0 / 27 · 355 / 3066 / 188
Bob Ross 3-23 4A 29,338 29,408 / 36,760 27,570 19,898 1,972 / 2,268 19,344 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 33,039 / 21,032 22 / 0 / 28 · 95 / 3366 / 138
Bob Ross 3-3 4A 37,647 35,106 / 43,883 31,342 22,430 0 / 0 22,222 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 42,397 / 23,497 6 / 0 / 24 · 177 / 4386 / 188
Bob Ross 3-4 4A 37,647 35,154 / 43,943 31,630 20,412 0 / 0 18,768 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 42,397 / 21,572 7 / 0 / 28 · 122 / 4165 / 240
Bob Ross 3-5 4A 37,647 35,038 / 43,798 31,176 25,126 0 / 0 24,100 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 42,397 / 26,228 6 / 0 / 24 · 119 / 4538 / 178
Bob Ross 3-6 4A 37,251 34,748 / 43,435 30,782 21,308 0 / 0 20,277 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 41,952 / 22,408 6 / 0 / 25 · 145 / 4288 / 213
Bob Ross 3-7 4A 42,579 38,714 / 48,393 36,449 24,098 0 / 0 23,221 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 47,951 / 25,425 6 / 0 / 25 · 137 / 4256 / 191
Bob Ross 3-8 4A 37,647 34,948 / 43,685 31,451 21,171 0 / 0 20,294 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 42,397 / 22,302 6 / 0 / 26 · 160 / 4296 / 219
Bob Ross 3-9 4A 37,647 34,815 / 43,519 31,451 21,171 0 / 0 20,294 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 42,397 / 22,302 6 / 0 / 25 · 163 / 4318 / 225
Bob Ross 4 4A 37,647 35,123 / 43,904 31,725 21,998 0 / 0 20,396 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 42,397 / 23,130 6 / 0 / 25 · 116 / 4294 / 227
Bob Ross 5 4A 39,328 36,443 / 45,554 32,739 23,634 0 / 0 22,196 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 44,291 / 24,822 6 / 0 / 25 · 113 / 4365 / 205
Bob Ross Residence 4A 37,647 35,140 / 43,925 31,451 21,171 0 / 0 20,294 15 / 93°F · Aris 8 / 95°F · MJ re-run there: 42,397 / 22,302 6 / 0 / 26 · 155 / 4270 / 212
Long Residence 5A 41,746 43,991 / 54,989 40,000 16,059 2,686 / 3,089 17,363 -5 / 89°F · Aris -10 / 92°F · MJ re-run there: 44,295 / 17,111 63 / 0 / 100 · 7 / 1698 / 0
Smith Residence 5A 54,479 44,240 / 55,300 47,088 21,334 4,715 / 5,422 18,511 -6 / 90°F · Aris -10 / 92°F · MJ re-run there: 57,171 / 22,128 10 / 8 / 144 · 0 / 1121 / 6
Victor Improved Ducts 5A 52,493 43,980 / 54,975 45,852 17,567 12,517 / 14,395 20,131 3 / 90°F · Aris -2 / 93°F · MJ re-run there: 56,708 / 19,107 0 / 0 / 41 · 32 / 171 / 6
Victor Residence 5A 52,493 43,980 / 54,975 45,852 17,567 12,517 / 14,395 20,131 3 / 90°F · Aris -2 / 93°F · MJ re-run there: 56,708 / 19,107 0 / 0 / 41 · 32 / 171 / 6
The flat-cap experiment · a stated fiction, measured exactly44 houses

These charts cap ideal-loads delivery at each answer's number and re-run the full year. The machine they model does not exist, and that is worth stating plainly: a flat Btu/h ceiling with no heat-pump capacity droop at low ambient, no emitters, no auxiliary heat, no storage, capacity split across rooms in fixed shares of their uncapped peaks. The counts are therefore capped-delivery exceedance under that fiction, not comfort predictions; answering it properly means simulating the actual selected hardware, and that instrument is future work (see the plan doc). Within the fiction the numbers are exact, and a second referee broadly agrees with them: EnergyPlus, capped at the same capacities in a deliberately cheaper one-year sensitivity run, lands within tens of hours on every arm it can test, with the one substantive spread sitting on Bob Ross heating, where the two solvers disagree about the basement load itself. This is not the v6 annual-energy basis: founded annual comparisons use their audited 29-year, source-weekday-preserving ground prefix. Headlines under the fiction: the factored E+ heating answer never binds and leaves a median 3,417 Btu/h never drawn; the Manual J worksheet binds only briefly anywhere; the leaner Aris loads bind on 34 of 40 heating houses for up to 174 hours; and the near-zero E+ cooling answers run beyond target for thousands of hours (4,790 at worst).

Manual J worksheet E+ design day ×1.25/1.15 Aris production Capped-delivery exceedance hours out of 8,760, zero at the left edge; the axis caps at 200 h and anything beyond draws at the edge with its true value printed. An exceedance hour ends with at least one room more than 0.5°F beyond its thermostat target under the cap (recorded as unmetHours in the ledger; the field name promises more than a flat ceiling can know, which is why it does not lead this section).
Heating
44 houses · capped-delivery exceedance hours per answer, shared axis
exceedance hours ▸ 050100150200+
Sauna country · 1A
Cobb Residence no test: the house needs no heating (0.00 MBtu, 0 active hours all year)
Walker Ceiling Option 1 no test: the house needs no heating (0.01 MBtu, 8 active hours all year)
Walker Ceiling Option 2 no test: the house needs no heating (0.01 MBtu, 8 active hours all year)
Walker Residence no test: the house needs no heating (0.01 MBtu, 8 active hours all year)
Gulf muggy · 2A
Vatilo Residence ×2
Vatilo Residence ×2IECC 2A · hot · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
19,636 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 7,594 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
13,698 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 1,656 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
9,325 Btu/h → 12 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
The humid South · 3A
Bell Residence
Bell ResidenceIECC 3A · warm · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
27,037 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 8,320 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
23,899 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 5,182 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
17,671 Btu/h → 1 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
High desert · 3B
HVAC1a ×2
HVAC1a ×2IECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Manual J worksheet
25,158 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,313 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
24,020 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,175 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
19,337 Btu/h → 8 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
HVAC2a ×5
HVAC2a ×5IECC 3B · warm · dry · heating
Manual J worksheet
45,169 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 9,830 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
42,241 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 6,902 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
36,523 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 1,184 Btu/h never drawn
All four seasons · 4A
Bob Ross 3-1
Bob Ross 3-1IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
35,980 Btu/h → 4 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
42,645 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,295 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
30,591 Btu/h → 61 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-10
Bob Ross 3-10IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h → 2 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,931 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,427 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,451 Btu/h → 62 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-11
Bob Ross 3-11IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,110 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,791 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
30,695 Btu/h → 63 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-12
Bob Ross 3-12IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
45,463 Btu/h → 30 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
58,095 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
42,783 Btu/h → 54 exceedance h · deepest excursion 4.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-13
Bob Ross 3-13IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
47,634 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 4,386 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
47,459 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 4,211 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
38,361 Btu/h → 7 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-14
Bob Ross 3-14IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
39,876 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
45,366 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,869 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
32,558 Btu/h → 62 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-15
Bob Ross 3-15IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
34,424 Btu/h → 1 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
40,384 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,682 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
28,307 Btu/h → 64 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-16
Bob Ross 3-16IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
46,837 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 15,132 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
33,666 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 1,961 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
34,413 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,708 Btu/h never drawn
Bob Ross 3-17 ×2
Bob Ross 3-17 ×2IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
43,346 Btu/h → 5 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
50,380 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,169 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
37,550 Btu/h → 57 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-18
Bob Ross 3-18IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
38,415 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
44,690 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 4,689 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
30,606 Btu/h → 64 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-19
Bob Ross 3-19IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
43,346 Btu/h → 4 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
50,913 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,491 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
36,254 Btu/h → 61 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-2
Bob Ross 3-2IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h → 2 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,913 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,417 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,450 Btu/h → 62 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-21
Bob Ross 3-21IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
39,102 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
45,630 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 4,510 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,461 Btu/h → 63 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-22
Bob Ross 3-22IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
49,223 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
52,841 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,044 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
38,974 Btu/h → 48 exceedance h · deepest excursion 4.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-23
Bob Ross 3-23IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
29,338 Btu/h → 19 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
36,760 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 1,121 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
27,570 Btu/h → 28 exceedance h · deepest excursion 4.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-3
Bob Ross 3-3IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h → 2 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,883 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,518 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,342 Btu/h → 63 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-4
Bob Ross 3-4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h → 2 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.8°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,943 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,246 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,630 Btu/h → 62 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-5
Bob Ross 3-5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h → 2 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,798 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,664 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,176 Btu/h → 63 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-6
Bob Ross 3-6IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,251 Btu/h → 1 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,435 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,844 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
30,782 Btu/h → 62 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-7
Bob Ross 3-7IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
42,579 Btu/h → 4 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
48,393 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,265 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
36,449 Btu/h → 60 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-8
Bob Ross 3-8IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h → 2 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,685 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,379 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,451 Btu/h → 61 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-9
Bob Ross 3-9IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h → 2 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,519 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,346 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,451 Btu/h → 61 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 4
Bob Ross 4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h → 3 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.8°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,904 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,142 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,725 Btu/h → 40 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 5
Bob Ross 5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
39,328 Btu/h → 2 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
45,554 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,312 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
32,739 Btu/h → 50 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross Residence
Bob Ross ResidenceIECC 4A · mixed · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
37,647 Btu/h → 2 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
43,925 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,427 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,451 Btu/h → 62 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Snow belt · 5A
Long Residence
Long ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
41,746 Btu/h → 43 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
54,989 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 6,442 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
40,000 Btu/h → 103 exceedance h · deepest excursion 5.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Smith Residence
Smith ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
54,479 Btu/h → 5 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.8°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
55,300 Btu/h → 1 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
47,088 Btu/h → 174 exceedance h · deepest excursion 4.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
Victor Residence ×2
Victor Residence ×2IECC 5A · cool · humid · heating
Manual J worksheet
52,493 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 785 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
54,975 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,267 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
45,852 Btu/h → 25 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Cooling
44 houses · capped-delivery exceedance hours per answer, shared axis
exceedance hours ▸ 050100150200+
Sauna country · 1A
Cobb Residence
Cobb ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
20,476 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 8,281 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
16,884 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 4,689 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
14,865 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,670 Btu/h never drawn
Walker Ceiling Option 1 E+ 311 h
Walker Ceiling Option 1IECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
15,255 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,477 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
8,801 Btu/h → 311 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
14,814 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,036 Btu/h never drawn
Walker Ceiling Option 2 E+ 468 h
Walker Ceiling Option 2IECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
14,811 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,042 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
8,484 Btu/h → 468 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
14,814 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,045 Btu/h never drawn
Walker Residence E+ 495 h
Walker ResidenceIECC 1A · very hot · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
14,588 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,060 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
8,280 Btu/h → 495 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
14,585 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 2,057 Btu/h never drawn
Gulf muggy · 2A
Vatilo Residence ×2 E+ 514 h
Vatilo Residence ×2IECC 2A · hot · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
13,438 Btu/h → 42 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
10,367 Btu/h → 514 exceedance h · deepest excursion 5.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
14,752 Btu/h → 7 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
The humid South · 3A
Bell Residence E+ 236 h
Bell ResidenceIECC 3A · warm · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
27,774 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 1,994 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
18,807 Btu/h → 236 exceedance h · deepest excursion 4.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
27,003 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 1,223 Btu/h never drawn
High desert · 3B
HVAC1a ×2
HVAC1a ×2IECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Manual J worksheet
35,229 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 3,032 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
32,999 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 802 Btu/h never drawn
Aris production
31,255 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
HVAC2a ×5
HVAC2a ×5IECC 3B · warm · dry · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,626 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
20,026 Btu/h → 3 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.8°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
19,602 Btu/h → 5 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
All four seasons · 4A
Bob Ross 3-1 MJ 1,058 h · E+ 4,431 h · Aris 1,159 h
Bob Ross 3-1IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
19,284 Btu/h → 1058 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4431 exceedance h · deepest excursion 23.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
18,829 Btu/h → 1159 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.8°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-10 MJ 858 h · E+ 4,487 h · Aris 1,148 h
Bob Ross 3-10IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,171 Btu/h → 858 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4487 exceedance h · deepest excursion 24.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,294 Btu/h → 1148 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.8°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-11 MJ 858 h · E+ 4,519 h · Aris 1,156 h
Bob Ross 3-11IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,171 Btu/h → 858 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4519 exceedance h · deepest excursion 24.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,215 Btu/h → 1156 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.8°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-12 MJ 598 h · E+ 4,214 h · Aris 856 h
Bob Ross 3-12IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
22,541 Btu/h → 598 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4214 exceedance h · deepest excursion 23.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
21,700 Btu/h → 856 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-13 MJ 362 h · E+ 4,379 h · Aris 878 h
Bob Ross 3-13IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
22,864 Btu/h → 362 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4379 exceedance h · deepest excursion 23.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
21,284 Btu/h → 878 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-14 E+ 4,546 h · Aris 1,067 h
Bob Ross 3-14IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
26,417 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4546 exceedance h · deepest excursion 25.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
21,732 Btu/h → 1067 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-15 MJ 507 h · E+ 4,514 h · Aris 1,118 h
Bob Ross 3-15IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
20,253 Btu/h → 507 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4514 exceedance h · deepest excursion 23.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
18,698 Btu/h → 1118 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-16 E+ 3,285 h
Bob Ross 3-16IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
18,544 Btu/h → 7 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
3,466 Btu/h → 3285 exceedance h · deepest excursion 18.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
17,173 Btu/h → 51 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-17 ×2 MJ 605 h · E+ 4,186 h · Aris 749 h
Bob Ross 3-17 ×2IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
22,579 Btu/h → 605 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4186 exceedance h · deepest excursion 23.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
22,028 Btu/h → 749 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-18 MJ 781 h · E+ 4,545 h · Aris 1,114 h
Bob Ross 3-18IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
20,965 Btu/h → 781 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4545 exceedance h · deepest excursion 24.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,171 Btu/h → 1114 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-19 MJ 473 h · E+ 4,237 h · Aris 803 h
Bob Ross 3-19IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
22,579 Btu/h → 473 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4237 exceedance h · deepest excursion 23.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
21,501 Btu/h → 803 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-2 MJ 801 h · E+ 4,486 h · Aris 1,128 h
Bob Ross 3-2IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,237 Btu/h → 801 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4486 exceedance h · deepest excursion 24.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,324 Btu/h → 1128 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-21 MJ 745 h · E+ 4,494 h · Aris 1,091 h
Bob Ross 3-21IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,190 Btu/h → 745 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4494 exceedance h · deepest excursion 24.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,379 Btu/h → 1091 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-22 MJ 875 h · E+ 3,691 h · Aris 379 h
Bob Ross 3-22IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
23,635 Btu/h → 875 exceedance h · deepest excursion 4.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
5,847 Btu/h → 3691 exceedance h · deepest excursion 19.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
26,331 Btu/h → 379 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-23 E+ 3,539 h
Bob Ross 3-23IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
19,898 Btu/h → 19 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
2,268 Btu/h → 3539 exceedance h · deepest excursion 22.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
19,344 Btu/h → 43 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-3 MJ 1,115 h · E+ 4,629 h · Aris 1,160 h
Bob Ross 3-3IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
22,430 Btu/h → 1115 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4629 exceedance h · deepest excursion 25.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
22,222 Btu/h → 1160 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-4 MJ 482 h · E+ 4,303 h · Aris 1,117 h
Bob Ross 3-4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
20,412 Btu/h → 482 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4303 exceedance h · deepest excursion 23.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
18,768 Btu/h → 1117 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-5 MJ 852 h · E+ 4,790 h · Aris 1,163 h
Bob Ross 3-5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
25,126 Btu/h → 852 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4790 exceedance h · deepest excursion 27.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
24,100 Btu/h → 1163 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.8°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-6 MJ 745 h · E+ 4,537 h · Aris 1,132 h
Bob Ross 3-6IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,308 Btu/h → 745 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4537 exceedance h · deepest excursion 24.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,277 Btu/h → 1132 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-7 MJ 727 h · E+ 4,474 h · Aris 1,056 h
Bob Ross 3-7IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
24,098 Btu/h → 727 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4474 exceedance h · deepest excursion 24.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
23,221 Btu/h → 1056 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-8 MJ 921 h · E+ 4,532 h · Aris 1,177 h
Bob Ross 3-8IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,171 Btu/h → 921 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4532 exceedance h · deepest excursion 24.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,294 Btu/h → 1177 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 3-9 MJ 966 h · E+ 4,553 h · Aris 1,197 h
Bob Ross 3-9IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,171 Btu/h → 966 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4553 exceedance h · deepest excursion 24.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,294 Btu/h → 1197 exceedance h · deepest excursion 3.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 4 MJ 540 h · E+ 4,549 h · Aris 1,148 h
Bob Ross 4IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,998 Btu/h → 540 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4549 exceedance h · deepest excursion 25.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,396 Btu/h → 1148 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.7°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross 5 MJ 813 h · E+ 4,619 h · Aris 1,198 h
Bob Ross 5IECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
23,634 Btu/h → 813 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4619 exceedance h · deepest excursion 25.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
22,196 Btu/h → 1198 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.9°F · ceiling fully drawn
Bob Ross Residence MJ 862 h · E+ 4,488 h · Aris 1,148 h
Bob Ross ResidenceIECC 4A · mixed · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,171 Btu/h → 862 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.3°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
0 Btu/h → 4488 exceedance h · deepest excursion 24.2°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,294 Btu/h → 1148 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.8°F · ceiling fully drawn
Snow belt · 5A
Long Residence E+ 2,717 h
Long ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
16,059 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.5°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
3,089 Btu/h → 2717 exceedance h · deepest excursion 13.8°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
17,363 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
Smith Residence E+ 2,344 h
Smith ResidenceIECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
21,334 Btu/h → 0 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.0°F · 1,712 Btu/h never drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
5,422 Btu/h → 2344 exceedance h · deepest excursion 9.1°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
18,511 Btu/h → 1 exceedance h · deepest excursion 0.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
Victor Residence ×2
Victor Residence ×2IECC 5A · cool · humid · cooling
Manual J worksheet
17,567 Btu/h → 16 exceedance h · deepest excursion 2.4°F · ceiling fully drawn
E+ design day ×1.25/1.15
14,395 Btu/h → 121 exceedance h · deepest excursion 4.6°F · ceiling fully drawn
Aris production
20,131 Btu/h → 4 exceedance h · deepest excursion 1.0°F · ceiling fully drawn
Flat-cap runs, all numbers · capacity → exceedance h / deepest °F / never drawn / max delivered44 houses
HouseZoneModeUncapped peak / annualManual JE+ DD ×factorAris
Cobb Residence 1A heating no test no test no test no test
Cobb Residence 1A cooling 12,195 / 28.8 MBtu 20,476 → 0h / 0.0°F / 8,281 unused / max 12,195 16,884 → 0h / 0.0°F / 4,689 unused / max 12,195 14,865 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,670 unused / max 12,195
Walker Ceiling Option 1 1A heating no test no test no test no test
Walker Ceiling Option 1 1A cooling 12,778 / 38.1 MBtu 15,255 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,477 unused / max 12,778 8,801 → 311h / 2.5°F / 0 unused / max 8,801 14,814 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,036 unused / max 12,778
Walker Ceiling Option 2 1A heating no test no test no test no test
Walker Ceiling Option 2 1A cooling 12,769 / 38.1 MBtu 14,811 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,042 unused / max 12,769 8,484 → 468h / 2.7°F / 0 unused / max 8,484 14,814 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,045 unused / max 12,769
Walker Residence 1A heating no test no test no test no test
Walker Residence 1A cooling 12,528 / 37.6 MBtu 14,588 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,060 unused / max 12,528 8,280 → 495h / 2.7°F / 0 unused / max 8,280 14,585 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,057 unused / max 12,528
Vatilo Residence ×2 2A heating 12,042 / 4.6 MBtu 19,636 → 0h / 0.0°F / 7,594 unused / max 12,042 13,698 → 0h / 0.0°F / 1,656 unused / max 12,042 9,325 → 12h / 1.9°F / 0 unused / max 9,325
Vatilo Residence ×2 2A cooling 16,633 / 30.5 MBtu 13,438 → 42h / 2.2°F / 0 unused / max 13,438 10,367 → 514h / 5.1°F / 0 unused / max 10,367 14,752 → 7h / 1.2°F / 0 unused / max 14,752
Bell Residence 3A heating 18,717 / 17.8 MBtu 27,037 → 0h / 0.0°F / 8,320 unused / max 18,717 23,899 → 0h / 0.0°F / 5,182 unused / max 18,717 17,671 → 1h / 0.6°F / 0 unused / max 17,671
Bell Residence 3A cooling 25,780 / 35.0 MBtu 27,774 → 0h / 0.0°F / 1,994 unused / max 25,780 18,807 → 236h / 4.4°F / 0 unused / max 18,807 27,003 → 0h / 0.0°F / 1,223 unused / max 25,780
HVAC1a ×2 3B heating 21,845 / 14.2 MBtu 25,158 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,313 unused / max 21,845 24,020 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,175 unused / max 21,845 19,337 → 8h / 1.4°F / 0 unused / max 19,337
HVAC1a ×2 3B cooling 32,197 / 50.9 MBtu 35,229 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,032 unused / max 32,197 32,999 → 0h / 0.0°F / 802 unused / max 32,197 31,255 → 0h / 0.3°F / 0 unused / max 31,255
HVAC2a ×5 3B heating 35,339 / 49.4 MBtu 45,169 → 0h / 0.0°F / 9,830 unused / max 35,339 42,241 → 0h / 0.0°F / 6,902 unused / max 35,339 36,523 → 0h / 0.0°F / 1,184 unused / max 35,339
HVAC2a ×5 3B cooling 21,613 / 12.4 MBtu 21,626 → 0h / 0.0°F / 13 unused / max 21,613 20,026 → 3h / 0.8°F / 0 unused / max 20,026 19,602 → 5h / 1.0°F / 0 unused / max 19,602
Bob Ross 3-1 4A heating 39,350 / 33.4 MBtu 35,980 → 4h / 0.9°F / 0 unused / max 35,980 42,645 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,295 unused / max 39,350 30,591 → 61h / 3.1°F / 0 unused / max 30,591
Bob Ross 3-1 4A cooling 24,605 / 36.2 MBtu 19,284 → 1058h / 2.5°F / 0 unused / max 19,284 0 → 4431h / 23.3°F / 0 unused / max 0 18,829 → 1159h / 2.8°F / 0 unused / max 18,829
Bob Ross 3-10 4A heating 40,504 / 33.9 MBtu 37,647 → 2h / 0.7°F / 0 unused / max 37,647 43,931 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,427 unused / max 40,504 31,451 → 62h / 3.2°F / 0 unused / max 31,451
Bob Ross 3-10 4A cooling 26,265 / 38.3 MBtu 21,171 → 858h / 2.3°F / 0 unused / max 21,171 0 → 4487h / 24.2°F / 0 unused / max 0 20,294 → 1148h / 2.8°F / 0 unused / max 20,294
Bob Ross 3-11 4A heating 39,319 / 32.9 MBtu 37,647 → 0h / 0.4°F / 0 unused / max 37,647 43,110 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,791 unused / max 39,319 30,695 → 63h / 3.1°F / 0 unused / max 30,695
Bob Ross 3-11 4A cooling 26,188 / 38.4 MBtu 21,171 → 858h / 2.2°F / 0 unused / max 21,171 0 → 4519h / 24.3°F / 0 unused / max 0 20,215 → 1156h / 2.8°F / 0 unused / max 20,215
Bob Ross 3-12 4A heating 57,700 / 46.7 MBtu 45,463 → 30h / 3.6°F / 0 unused / max 45,463 58,095 → 0h / 0.0°F / 395 unused / max 57,700 42,783 → 54h / 4.9°F / 0 unused / max 42,783
Bob Ross 3-12 4A cooling 28,428 / 38.3 MBtu 22,541 → 598h / 2.2°F / 0 unused / max 22,541 0 → 4214h / 23.5°F / 0 unused / max 0 21,700 → 856h / 2.6°F / 0 unused / max 21,700
Bob Ross 3-13 4A heating 43,248 / 36.5 MBtu 47,634 → 0h / 0.0°F / 4,386 unused / max 43,248 47,459 → 0h / 0.0°F / 4,211 unused / max 43,248 38,361 → 7h / 1.4°F / 0 unused / max 38,361
Bob Ross 3-13 4A cooling 26,892 / 38.3 MBtu 22,864 → 362h / 1.4°F / 0 unused / max 22,864 0 → 4379h / 23.9°F / 0 unused / max 0 21,284 → 878h / 2.4°F / 0 unused / max 21,284
Bob Ross 3-14 4A heating 41,497 / 35.1 MBtu 39,876 → 0h / 0.3°F / 0 unused / max 39,876 45,366 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,869 unused / max 41,497 32,558 → 62h / 3.1°F / 0 unused / max 32,558
Bob Ross 3-14 4A cooling 27,902 / 40.3 MBtu 26,417 → 0h / 0.3°F / 0 unused / max 26,417 0 → 4546h / 25.2°F / 0 unused / max 0 21,732 → 1067h / 2.6°F / 0 unused / max 21,732
Bob Ross 3-15 4A heating 36,702 / 30.0 MBtu 34,424 → 1h / 0.5°F / 0 unused / max 34,424 40,384 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,682 unused / max 36,702 28,307 → 64h / 2.9°F / 0 unused / max 28,307
Bob Ross 3-15 4A cooling 23,939 / 36.9 MBtu 20,253 → 507h / 1.6°F / 0 unused / max 20,253 0 → 4514h / 23.9°F / 0 unused / max 0 18,698 → 1118h / 2.7°F / 0 unused / max 18,698
Bob Ross 3-16 4A heating 31,705 / 28.5 MBtu 46,837 → 0h / 0.0°F / 15,132 unused / max 31,705 33,666 → 0h / 0.0°F / 1,961 unused / max 31,705 34,413 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,708 unused / max 31,705
Bob Ross 3-16 4A cooling 21,151 / 29.1 MBtu 18,544 → 7h / 0.9°F / 0 unused / max 18,544 3,466 → 3285h / 18.1°F / 0 unused / max 3,466 17,173 → 51h / 1.5°F / 0 unused / max 17,173
Bob Ross 3-17 ×2 4A heating 48,211 / 44.1 MBtu 43,346 → 5h / 1.3°F / 0 unused / max 43,346 50,380 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,169 unused / max 48,211 37,550 → 57h / 3.6°F / 0 unused / max 37,550
Bob Ross 3-17 ×2 4A cooling 28,422 / 38.1 MBtu 22,579 → 605h / 2.1°F / 0 unused / max 22,579 0 → 4186h / 23.2°F / 0 unused / max 0 22,028 → 749h / 2.4°F / 0 unused / max 22,028
Bob Ross 3-18 4A heating 40,001 / 32.8 MBtu 38,415 → 0h / 0.4°F / 0 unused / max 38,415 44,690 → 0h / 0.0°F / 4,689 unused / max 40,001 30,606 → 64h / 3.4°F / 0 unused / max 30,606
Bob Ross 3-18 4A cooling 25,570 / 38.3 MBtu 20,965 → 781h / 2.0°F / 0 unused / max 20,965 0 → 4545h / 24.5°F / 0 unused / max 0 20,171 → 1114h / 2.5°F / 0 unused / max 20,171
Bob Ross 3-19 4A heating 47,422 / 41.8 MBtu 43,346 → 4h / 1.0°F / 0 unused / max 43,346 50,913 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,491 unused / max 47,422 36,254 → 61h / 3.9°F / 0 unused / max 36,254
Bob Ross 3-19 4A cooling 27,250 / 37.7 MBtu 22,579 → 473h / 1.7°F / 0 unused / max 22,579 0 → 4237h / 23.5°F / 0 unused / max 0 21,501 → 803h / 2.4°F / 0 unused / max 21,501
Bob Ross 3-2 4A heating 40,496 / 33.9 MBtu 37,647 → 2h / 0.7°F / 0 unused / max 37,647 43,913 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,417 unused / max 40,496 31,450 → 62h / 3.2°F / 0 unused / max 31,450
Bob Ross 3-2 4A cooling 26,167 / 38.2 MBtu 21,237 → 801h / 2.2°F / 0 unused / max 21,237 0 → 4486h / 24.2°F / 0 unused / max 0 20,324 → 1128h / 2.7°F / 0 unused / max 20,324
Bob Ross 3-21 4A heating 41,120 / 34.1 MBtu 39,102 → 0h / 0.5°F / 0 unused / max 39,102 45,630 → 0h / 0.0°F / 4,510 unused / max 41,120 31,461 → 63h / 3.5°F / 0 unused / max 31,461
Bob Ross 3-21 4A cooling 25,842 / 38.2 MBtu 21,190 → 745h / 2.0°F / 0 unused / max 21,190 0 → 4494h / 24.3°F / 0 unused / max 0 20,379 → 1091h / 2.5°F / 0 unused / max 20,379
Bob Ross 3-22 4A heating 49,797 / 43.8 MBtu 49,223 → 0h / 0.1°F / 0 unused / max 49,223 52,841 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,044 unused / max 49,797 38,974 → 48h / 4.0°F / 0 unused / max 38,974
Bob Ross 3-22 4A cooling 32,818 / 48.3 MBtu 23,635 → 875h / 4.2°F / 0 unused / max 23,635 5,847 → 3691h / 19.1°F / 0 unused / max 5,847 26,331 → 379h / 2.9°F / 0 unused / max 26,331
Bob Ross 3-23 4A heating 35,639 / 32.9 MBtu 29,338 → 19h / 3.0°F / 0 unused / max 29,338 36,760 → 0h / 0.0°F / 1,121 unused / max 35,639 27,570 → 28h / 4.2°F / 0 unused / max 27,570
Bob Ross 3-23 4A cooling 23,403 / 32.7 MBtu 19,898 → 19h / 1.2°F / 0 unused / max 19,898 2,268 → 3539h / 22.4°F / 0 unused / max 2,268 19,344 → 43h / 1.4°F / 0 unused / max 19,344
Bob Ross 3-3 4A heating 40,365 / 32.5 MBtu 37,647 → 2h / 0.7°F / 0 unused / max 37,647 43,883 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,518 unused / max 40,365 31,342 → 63h / 3.2°F / 0 unused / max 31,342
Bob Ross 3-3 4A cooling 28,455 / 41.3 MBtu 22,430 → 1115h / 2.7°F / 0 unused / max 22,430 0 → 4629h / 25.6°F / 0 unused / max 0 22,222 → 1160h / 2.9°F / 0 unused / max 22,222
Bob Ross 3-4 4A heating 40,697 / 36.1 MBtu 37,647 → 2h / 0.8°F / 0 unused / max 37,647 43,943 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,246 unused / max 40,697 31,630 → 62h / 3.3°F / 0 unused / max 31,630
Bob Ross 3-4 4A cooling 24,470 / 36.0 MBtu 20,412 → 482h / 1.6°F / 0 unused / max 20,412 0 → 4303h / 23.1°F / 0 unused / max 0 18,768 → 1117h / 2.6°F / 0 unused / max 18,768
Bob Ross 3-5 4A heating 40,134 / 30.6 MBtu 37,647 → 2h / 0.6°F / 0 unused / max 37,647 43,798 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,664 unused / max 40,134 31,176 → 63h / 3.1°F / 0 unused / max 31,176
Bob Ross 3-5 4A cooling 30,638 / 44.7 MBtu 25,126 → 852h / 2.3°F / 0 unused / max 25,126 0 → 4790h / 27.1°F / 0 unused / max 0 24,100 → 1163h / 2.8°F / 0 unused / max 24,100
Bob Ross 3-6 4A heating 39,591 / 32.5 MBtu 37,251 → 1h / 0.6°F / 0 unused / max 37,251 43,435 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,844 unused / max 39,591 30,782 → 62h / 3.1°F / 0 unused / max 30,782
Bob Ross 3-6 4A cooling 26,166 / 38.7 MBtu 21,308 → 745h / 2.1°F / 0 unused / max 21,308 0 → 4537h / 24.5°F / 0 unused / max 0 20,277 → 1132h / 2.7°F / 0 unused / max 20,277
Bob Ross 3-7 4A heating 46,128 / 40.8 MBtu 42,579 → 4h / 1.0°F / 0 unused / max 42,579 48,393 → 0h / 0.0°F / 2,265 unused / max 46,128 36,449 → 60h / 3.5°F / 0 unused / max 36,449
Bob Ross 3-7 4A cooling 29,497 / 40.9 MBtu 24,098 → 727h / 2.1°F / 0 unused / max 24,098 0 → 4474h / 24.9°F / 0 unused / max 0 23,221 → 1056h / 2.6°F / 0 unused / max 23,221
Bob Ross 3-8 4A heating 40,306 / 33.3 MBtu 37,647 → 2h / 0.7°F / 0 unused / max 37,647 43,685 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,379 unused / max 40,306 31,451 → 61h / 3.1°F / 0 unused / max 31,451
Bob Ross 3-8 4A cooling 26,513 / 38.8 MBtu 21,171 → 921h / 2.4°F / 0 unused / max 21,171 0 → 4532h / 24.3°F / 0 unused / max 0 20,294 → 1177h / 2.9°F / 0 unused / max 20,294
Bob Ross 3-9 4A heating 40,173 / 32.9 MBtu 37,647 → 2h / 0.6°F / 0 unused / max 37,647 43,519 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,346 unused / max 40,173 31,451 → 61h / 3.1°F / 0 unused / max 31,451
Bob Ross 3-9 4A cooling 26,680 / 39.1 MBtu 21,171 → 966h / 2.4°F / 0 unused / max 21,171 0 → 4553h / 24.4°F / 0 unused / max 0 20,294 → 1197h / 3.0°F / 0 unused / max 20,294
Bob Ross 4 4A heating 40,762 / 34.3 MBtu 37,647 → 3h / 0.8°F / 0 unused / max 37,647 43,904 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,142 unused / max 40,762 31,725 → 40h / 3.2°F / 0 unused / max 31,725
Bob Ross 4 4A cooling 26,107 / 39.9 MBtu 21,998 → 540h / 1.7°F / 0 unused / max 21,998 0 → 4549h / 25.1°F / 0 unused / max 0 20,396 → 1148h / 2.7°F / 0 unused / max 20,396
Bob Ross 5 4A heating 42,242 / 33.9 MBtu 39,328 → 2h / 0.7°F / 0 unused / max 39,328 45,554 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,312 unused / max 42,242 32,739 → 50h / 3.4°F / 0 unused / max 32,739
Bob Ross 5 4A cooling 28,578 / 42.0 MBtu 23,634 → 813h / 2.1°F / 0 unused / max 23,634 0 → 4619h / 25.6°F / 0 unused / max 0 22,196 → 1198h / 2.9°F / 0 unused / max 22,196
Bob Ross Residence 4A heating 40,498 / 33.9 MBtu 37,647 → 2h / 0.7°F / 0 unused / max 37,647 43,925 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,427 unused / max 40,498 31,451 → 62h / 3.2°F / 0 unused / max 31,451
Bob Ross Residence 4A cooling 26,272 / 38.3 MBtu 21,171 → 862h / 2.3°F / 0 unused / max 21,171 0 → 4488h / 24.2°F / 0 unused / max 0 20,294 → 1148h / 2.8°F / 0 unused / max 20,294
Long Residence 5A heating 48,547 / 75.6 MBtu 41,746 → 43h / 3.6°F / 0 unused / max 41,746 54,989 → 0h / 0.0°F / 6,442 unused / max 48,547 40,000 → 103h / 5.2°F / 0 unused / max 40,000
Long Residence 5A cooling 17,232 / 13.8 MBtu 16,059 → 0h / 0.5°F / 0 unused / max 16,059 3,089 → 2717h / 13.8°F / 0 unused / max 3,089 17,363 → 0h / 0.0°F / 134 unused / max 17,229
Smith Residence 5A heating 58,226 / 91.5 MBtu 54,479 → 5h / 0.8°F / 0 unused / max 54,479 55,300 → 1h / 0.7°F / 0 unused / max 55,300 47,088 → 174h / 4.3°F / 0 unused / max 47,088
Smith Residence 5A cooling 19,622 / 14.1 MBtu 21,334 → 0h / 0.0°F / 1,712 unused / max 19,622 5,422 → 2344h / 9.1°F / 0 unused / max 5,422 18,511 → 1h / 0.6°F / 0 unused / max 18,511
Victor Residence ×2 5A heating 51,708 / 75.6 MBtu 52,493 → 0h / 0.0°F / 785 unused / max 51,708 54,975 → 0h / 0.0°F / 3,267 unused / max 51,708 45,852 → 25h / 3.1°F / 0 unused / max 45,852
Victor Residence ×2 5A cooling 22,564 / 14.7 MBtu 17,567 → 16h / 2.4°F / 0 unused / max 17,567 14,395 → 121h / 4.6°F / 0 unused / max 14,395 20,131 → 4h / 1.0°F / 0 unused / max 20,131
Second referee · the same capped years in EnergyPlus (EnergyPlus 25.2.0-cf7368216c, same run-period and ground basis as the annual lane)3 flagships
HouseAnswerHeating: cap → both refereesCooling: cap → both referees
Bob Ross Residence Manual J worksheet 37,647 → Aris 2h (0.7°F) · E+ 8h (1.6°F) 21,171 → Aris 862h (2.3°F) · E+ 0h (0.5°F)
Bob Ross Residence E+ design day ×1.25/1.15 43,925 → Aris 0h (0.0°F) · E+ 0h (0.1°F) 0 → Aris 4488h (24.2°F) · E+ 3671h (20.2°F)
Bob Ross Residence Aris production 31,451 → Aris 62h (3.2°F) · E+ 40h (4.1°F) 20,294 → Aris 1148h (2.8°F) · E+ 7h (0.7°F)
Long Residence Manual J worksheet 41,746 → Aris 43h (3.6°F) · E+ 53h (3.6°F) 16,059 → Aris 0h (0.5°F) · E+ 0h (0.0°F)
Long Residence E+ design day ×1.25/1.15 54,989 → Aris 0h (0.0°F) · E+ 0h (0.0°F) 3,089 → Aris 2717h (13.8°F) · E+ 2167h (10.6°F)
Long Residence Aris production 40,000 → Aris 103h (5.2°F) · E+ 103h (5.0°F) 17,363 → Aris 0h (0.0°F) · E+ 0h (0.0°F)
Walker Residence Manual J worksheet no test 14,588 → Aris 0h (0.0°F) · E+ 0h (0.0°F)
Walker Residence E+ design day ×1.25/1.15 no test 8,280 → Aris 495h (2.7°F) · E+ 67h (1.6°F)
Walker Residence Aris production no test 14,585 → Aris 0h (0.0°F) · E+ 0h (0.0°F)

Second-referee recipe (recorded in full in the cross-check ledger's basis field): the corpus's own ideal-loads IDF with ZoneHVAC:IdealLoadsAirSystem limits set to LimitCapacity at the answer's capacity (heating as sensible W; cooling as the sensible answer divided by the object's constant SHR, because the E+ cooling limit is a total capacity), the RunPeriod left untouched so this referee flies the same 1-year basis as the annual lane rather than a converged-soil one of its own, exceedance counted from hourly zone mean air temperature against the thermostat targets with the same 0.5°F band the Aris arm uses. Known convention differences: hour-average vs end-of-hour temperature, and one conditioned zone vs per-room fixed capacity shares.

Per-room worksheet vs Aris design peaks (Btu/h) · rooms over 1,000 Btu/h on the worksheet30 houses
HouseRoomMJ htgAris htgΔ htgMJ clgAris clgΔ clgAED row
Walker Ceiling Option 1 bedroom_1 1,089 0 -100.0% 1,178 1,351 +14.7% 9
Walker Ceiling Option 1 bedroom_2 1,022 469 -54.1% 1,121 1,276 +13.8% 3
Walker Ceiling Option 1 living_dining 2,472 0 -100.0% 5,463 5,870 +7.5%
Walker Ceiling Option 1 kitchen_utility 1,595 916 -42.6% 4,852 5,120 +5.5%
Walker Ceiling Option 2 bedroom_1 1,089 0 -100.0% 1,116 1,351 +21.1% 9
Walker Ceiling Option 2 bedroom_2 1,022 469 -54.1% 1,067 1,276 +19.6% 3
Walker Ceiling Option 2 living_dining 2,472 0 -100.0% 5,349 5,870 +9.7%
Walker Ceiling Option 2 kitchen_utility 1,595 916 -42.6% 4,779 5,120 +7.1%
Walker Residence bedroom_1 1,089 0 -100.0% 1,085 1,329 +22.5% 9
Walker Residence bedroom_2 1,022 478 -53.2% 1,039 1,256 +20.9% 3
Walker Residence living_dining 2,472 0 -100.0% 5,291 5,779 +9.2%
Walker Residence kitchen_utility 1,595 924 -42.1% 4,743 5,069 +6.9%
Bell Residence bedroom_1 3,725 2,907 -22.0% 4,041 2,383 -41.0%
Bell Residence bedroom_2 2,418 1,720 -28.9% 2,748 2,101 -23.5%
Bell Residence bedroom_3 1,269 1,059 -16.5% 1,732 1,375 -20.6%
Bell Residence kitchen_entry 2,893 2,325 -19.6% 3,304 2,092 -36.7%
Bell Residence family_room 8,554 6,661 -22.1% 17,740 15,396 -13.2%
Bell Residence dining 4,592 3,016 -34.3% 3,704 2,806 -24.2%
Bob Ross 3-1 primary_bedroom 4,133 4,020 -2.7% 2,909 3,157 +8.5% 464
Bob Ross 3-1 primary_bathroom 1,122 1,215 +8.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-1 bedroom_1 2,734 2,516 -8.0% 2,222 2,380 +7.1% 538
Bob Ross 3-1 bathroom_1 1,101 1,267 +15.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-1 family_room 6,778 6,486 -4.3% 5,559 4,462 -19.7%
Bob Ross 3-1 kitchen 3,556 2,872 -19.2% 2,682 2,309 -13.9%
Bob Ross 3-1 foyer 1,474 1,661 +12.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-1 bedroom_2 2,132 2,203 +3.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-1 bedroom_3 2,423 2,700 +11.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-1 craft 1,002 1,259 +25.6% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-1 utility_room 1,286 1,226 -4.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-1 recroom 3,798 5,832 +53.6% 1,307 4,516 +245.5% 69
Bob Ross 3-10 primary_bedroom 4,569 4,219 -7.7% 3,324 3,443 +3.6% 590
Bob Ross 3-10 primary_bathroom 1,200 1,251 +4.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-10 bedroom_1 2,952 2,614 -11.4% 2,577 2,594 +0.7% 685
Bob Ross 3-10 bathroom_1 1,178 1,300 +10.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-10 family_room 7,041 6,604 -6.2% 6,222 4,919 -20.9%
Bob Ross 3-10 kitchen 3,691 2,926 -20.7% 3,082 2,712 -12.0%
Bob Ross 3-10 foyer 1,474 1,656 +12.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-10 bedroom_2 2,286 2,273 -0.6% 1,010 1,892 +87.3% 208
Bob Ross 3-10 bedroom_3 2,538 2,744 +8.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-10 craft 1,079 1,295 +20.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-10 utility_room 1,286 1,220 -5.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-10 recroom 3,875 5,847 +50.9% 1,356 4,498 +231.7% 88
Bob Ross 3-11 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,165 -8.9% 3,323 3,440 +3.5% 590
Bob Ross 3-11 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,232 +2.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-11 bedroom_1 2,952 2,583 -12.5% 2,577 2,592 +0.6% 685
Bob Ross 3-11 bathroom_1 1,178 1,283 +8.9% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-11 family_room 7,041 6,502 -7.7% 6,222 4,907 -21.1%
Bob Ross 3-11 kitchen 3,692 2,891 -21.7% 3,082 2,708 -12.1%
Bob Ross 3-11 foyer 1,474 1,624 +10.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-11 bedroom_2 2,285 2,234 -2.2% 1,010 1,889 +87.0% 208
Bob Ross 3-11 bedroom_3 2,537 2,692 +6.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-11 craft 1,080 1,270 +17.6% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-11 utility_room 1,285 1,198 -6.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-11 recroom 3,875 5,713 +47.4% 1,356 4,483 +230.6% 88
Bob Ross 3-12 primary_bedroom 6,141 5,051 -17.7% 3,599 3,503 -2.7% 590
Bob Ross 3-12 primary_bathroom 1,648 1,547 -6.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-12 bedroom_1 4,150 3,083 -25.7% 2,787 2,628 -5.7% 685
Bob Ross 3-12 bathroom_1 1,628 1,571 -3.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-12 family_room 8,612 8,150 -5.4% 6,497 5,119 -21.2%
Bob Ross 3-12 kitchen 4,477 3,436 -23.3% 3,219 2,777 -13.7%
Bob Ross 3-12 foyer 1,961 2,158 +10.0% 1,016 1,056 +3.9%
Bob Ross 3-12 bedroom_2 2,547 2,859 +12.2% 1,056 1,956 +85.2% 208
Bob Ross 3-12 bedroom_3 2,845 3,547 +24.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-12 craft 1,192 1,671 +40.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-12 utility_room 1,481 1,546 +4.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-12 recroom 4,137 7,857 +89.9% 1,402 4,752 +238.9% 88
Bob Ross 3-13 primary_bedroom 6,578 4,785 -27.3% 3,664 3,505 -4.3% 590
Bob Ross 3-13 primary_bathroom 1,773 1,452 -18.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-13 bedroom_1 4,482 2,938 -34.4% 2,837 2,629 -7.3% 685
Bob Ross 3-13 bathroom_1 1,752 1,486 -15.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-13 family_room 9,049 7,655 -15.4% 6,562 5,069 -22.8%
Bob Ross 3-13 kitchen 4,696 3,278 -30.2% 3,251 2,760 -15.1%
Bob Ross 3-13 foyer 2,096 1,996 -4.8% 1,036 1,051 +1.4%
Bob Ross 3-13 bedroom_2 2,620 2,671 +1.9% 1,067 1,945 +82.3% 208
Bob Ross 3-13 bedroom_3 2,930 3,289 +12.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-13 craft 1,223 1,550 +26.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-13 utility_room 1,534 1,441 -6.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-13 recroom 4,210 7,215 +71.4% 1,412 4,688 +232.0% 88
Bob Ross 3-14 primary_bedroom 4,981 4,441 -10.8% 4,291 3,675 -14.4% 590
Bob Ross 3-14 primary_bathroom 1,345 1,331 -1.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-14 bedroom_1 3,187 2,741 -14.0% 3,131 2,726 -12.9% 685
Bob Ross 3-14 bathroom_1 1,313 1,450 +10.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-14 family_room 7,766 6,965 -10.3% 7,929 5,289 -33.3%
Bob Ross 3-14 kitchen 3,920 3,030 -22.7% 3,619 2,869 -20.7%
Bob Ross 3-14 foyer 1,721 1,795 +4.3% 1,511 1,119 -25.9%
Bob Ross 3-14 bedroom_2 2,286 2,582 +12.9% 1,010 2,124 +110.3% 208
Bob Ross 3-14 bedroom_3 2,537 3,179 +25.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-14 craft 1,080 1,503 +39.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-14 utility_room 1,286 1,383 +7.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-14 recroom 3,876 6,982 +80.1% 1,355 5,480 +304.4% 88
Bob Ross 3-15 primary_bedroom 3,949 3,621 -8.3% 3,195 2,963 -7.3% 590
Bob Ross 3-15 primary_bathroom 1,011 1,075 +6.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-15 bedroom_1 2,455 2,117 -13.8% 2,474 2,114 -14.6% 685
Bob Ross 3-15 family_room 6,083 5,899 -3.0% 5,876 4,605 -21.6%
Bob Ross 3-15 kitchen 3,105 2,456 -20.9% 2,856 2,427 -15.0%
Bob Ross 3-15 foyer 1,288 1,484 +15.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-15 bedroom_2 2,286 2,285 -0.0% 1,010 1,900 +88.1% 208
Bob Ross 3-15 bedroom_3 2,538 2,761 +8.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-15 craft 1,080 1,303 +20.6% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-15 utility_room 1,286 1,226 -4.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-15 recroom 3,875 5,821 +50.2% 1,356 4,503 +232.1% 88
Bob Ross 3-16 primary_bedroom 9,112 7,034 -22.8% 3,563 4,210 +18.2% 590
Bob Ross 3-16 primary_bathroom 2,497 2,201 -11.9% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-16 bedroom_1 6,414 4,268 -33.5% 2,717 3,037 +11.8% 685
Bob Ross 3-16 bathroom_1 2,476 2,200 -11.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-16 family_room 13,098 11,473 -12.4% 6,651 6,283 -5.5%
Bob Ross 3-16 kitchen 7,261 4,648 -36.0% 3,221 3,180 -1.3%
Bob Ross 3-16 foyer 2,880 3,227 +12.0% 1,074 1,490 +38.7%
Bob Ross 3-17 primary_bedroom 5,131 4,719 -8.0% 3,415 3,547 +3.9% 590
Bob Ross 3-17 primary_bathroom 1,360 1,428 +5.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-17 bedroom_1 3,380 2,900 -14.2% 2,647 2,653 +0.2% 685
Bob Ross 3-17 bathroom_1 1,338 1,464 +9.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-17 family_room 7,602 7,512 -1.2% 6,313 5,181 -17.9%
Bob Ross 3-17 kitchen 3,972 3,212 -19.1% 3,127 2,796 -10.6%
Bob Ross 3-17 foyer 1,648 1,956 +18.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-17 bedroom_2 2,379 2,625 +10.3% 1,025 1,984 +93.6% 208
Bob Ross 3-17 bedroom_3 2,648 3,226 +21.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-17 craft 1,120 1,521 +35.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-17 utility_room 1,355 1,415 +4.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-17 recroom 3,968 7,008 +76.6% 1,370 4,833 +252.8% 88
Bob Ross 3-18 primary_bedroom 5,131 4,143 -19.3% 3,415 3,440 +0.7% 590
Bob Ross 3-18 primary_bathroom 1,360 1,224 -10.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-18 bedroom_1 3,380 2,570 -24.0% 2,647 2,592 -2.1% 685
Bob Ross 3-18 bathroom_1 1,338 1,275 -4.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-18 family_room 7,602 6,468 -14.9% 6,313 4,901 -22.4%
Bob Ross 3-18 kitchen 3,972 2,882 -27.4% 3,127 2,707 -13.4%
Bob Ross 3-18 foyer 1,648 1,611 -2.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-18 bedroom_2 2,379 2,220 -6.7% 1,025 1,887 +84.1% 208
Bob Ross 3-18 bedroom_3 2,648 2,672 +0.9% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-18 craft 1,120 1,261 +12.6% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-18 utility_room 1,355 1,190 -12.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-18 recroom 3,968 5,672 +42.9% 1,370 4,476 +226.7% 88
Bob Ross 3-19 primary_bedroom 5,131 4,598 -10.4% 3,415 3,514 +2.9% 590
Bob Ross 3-19 primary_bathroom 1,360 1,385 +1.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-19 bedroom_1 3,379 2,830 -16.2% 2,647 2,634 -0.5% 685
Bob Ross 3-19 bathroom_1 1,339 1,424 +6.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-19 family_room 7,603 7,295 -4.1% 6,314 5,101 -19.2%
Bob Ross 3-19 kitchen 3,972 3,142 -20.9% 3,127 2,771 -11.4%
Bob Ross 3-19 foyer 1,648 1,883 +14.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-19 bedroom_2 2,379 2,541 +6.8% 1,025 1,956 +90.8% 208
Bob Ross 3-19 bedroom_3 2,648 3,111 +17.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-19 craft 1,120 1,467 +31.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-19 utility_room 1,355 1,369 +1.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-19 recroom 3,969 6,731 +69.6% 1,370 4,731 +245.3% 88
Bob Ross 3-2 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,220 -7.7% 3,323 3,429 +3.2% 590
Bob Ross 3-2 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,251 +4.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-2 bedroom_1 2,952 2,614 -11.4% 2,577 2,594 +0.7% 685
Bob Ross 3-2 bathroom_1 1,178 1,301 +10.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-2 family_room 7,041 6,604 -6.2% 6,222 4,913 -21.0%
Bob Ross 3-2 kitchen 3,691 2,924 -20.8% 3,081 2,714 -11.9%
Bob Ross 3-2 foyer 1,474 1,656 +12.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-2 bedroom_2 2,286 2,273 -0.6% 1,010 1,891 +87.2% 208
Bob Ross 3-2 bedroom_3 2,538 2,744 +8.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-2 craft 1,080 1,295 +19.9% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-2 utility_room 1,286 1,220 -5.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-2 recroom 3,875 5,847 +50.9% 1,394 4,558 +227.0% 87
Bob Ross 3-20 primary_bedroom 5,131 4,719 -8.0% 3,415 3,547 +3.9% 590
Bob Ross 3-20 primary_bathroom 1,360 1,428 +5.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-20 bedroom_1 3,380 2,900 -14.2% 2,647 2,653 +0.2% 685
Bob Ross 3-20 bathroom_1 1,338 1,464 +9.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-20 family_room 7,602 7,512 -1.2% 6,313 5,181 -17.9%
Bob Ross 3-20 kitchen 3,972 3,212 -19.1% 3,127 2,796 -10.6%
Bob Ross 3-20 foyer 1,648 1,956 +18.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-20 bedroom_2 2,379 2,625 +10.3% 1,025 1,984 +93.6% 208
Bob Ross 3-20 bedroom_3 2,648 3,226 +21.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-20 craft 1,120 1,521 +35.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-20 utility_room 1,355 1,415 +4.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-20 recroom 3,968 7,008 +76.6% 1,370 4,833 +252.8% 88
Bob Ross 3-21 primary_bedroom 5,131 4,212 -17.9% 3,415 3,452 +1.1% 590
Bob Ross 3-21 primary_bathroom 1,359 1,248 -8.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-21 bedroom_1 3,380 2,609 -22.8% 2,647 2,599 -1.8% 685
Bob Ross 3-21 bathroom_1 1,338 1,298 -3.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-21 family_room 7,602 6,593 -13.3% 6,313 4,933 -21.9%
Bob Ross 3-21 kitchen 3,972 2,921 -26.5% 3,128 2,717 -13.1%
Bob Ross 3-21 foyer 1,648 1,652 +0.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-21 bedroom_2 2,380 2,269 -4.7% 1,026 1,898 +85.0% 208
Bob Ross 3-21 bedroom_3 2,647 2,738 +3.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-21 craft 1,120 1,292 +15.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-21 utility_room 1,355 1,217 -10.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-21 recroom 3,969 5,833 +47.0% 1,371 4,516 +229.4% 88
Bob Ross 3-22 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,184 -8.4% 3,324 3,441 +3.5% 590
Bob Ross 3-22 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,238 +3.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-22 bedroom_1 2,952 2,592 -12.2% 2,577 2,614 +1.4% 685
Bob Ross 3-22 bathroom_1 1,178 1,288 +9.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-22 family_room 7,041 6,495 -7.8% 6,222 4,916 -21.0%
Bob Ross 3-22 kitchen 3,691 2,851 -22.8% 3,081 2,689 -12.7%
Bob Ross 3-22 foyer 1,474 1,635 +10.9% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-22 bedroom_2 4,355 3,481 -20.1% 1,481 3,051 +106.0% 208
Bob Ross 3-22 bathroom_2 1,196 1,183 -1.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-22 bedroom_3 5,177 4,329 -16.4% 1,475 3,693 +150.4% 37
Bob Ross 3-22 craft 1,940 1,785 -8.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-22 workshop 1,688 1,557 -7.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-22 utility_room 3,182 2,355 -26.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-22 recroom 6,482 7,992 +23.3% 1,671 5,972 +257.4% 88
Bob Ross 3-23 primary_bedroom 5,327 4,836 -9.2% 3,812 3,874 +1.6% 590
Bob Ross 3-23 primary_bathroom 1,468 1,489 +1.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-23 bedroom_1 3,387 2,964 -12.5% 2,859 2,795 -2.2% 685
Bob Ross 3-23 bathroom_1 1,426 1,648 +15.6% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-23 family_room 8,392 7,884 -6.1% 7,092 5,873 -17.2%
Bob Ross 3-23 kitchen 4,125 3,378 -18.1% 3,363 2,891 -14.0%
Bob Ross 3-23 foyer 1,929 2,103 +9.0% 1,223 1,394 +14.0%
Bob Ross 3-3 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,205 -8.0% 3,790 4,328 +14.2% 737
Bob Ross 3-3 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,248 +4.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-3 bedroom_1 2,952 2,603 -11.8% 2,983 3,326 +11.5% 856
Bob Ross 3-3 bathroom_1 1,178 1,293 +9.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-3 family_room 7,041 6,598 -6.3% 6,222 4,889 -21.4%
Bob Ross 3-3 kitchen 3,691 2,917 -21.0% 3,112 2,749 -11.7%
Bob Ross 3-3 foyer 1,474 1,654 +12.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-3 bedroom_2 2,286 2,262 -1.0% 1,175 2,149 +82.9% 260
Bob Ross 3-3 bedroom_3 2,538 2,728 +7.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-3 craft 1,080 1,290 +19.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-3 utility_room 1,286 1,215 -5.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-3 recroom 3,875 5,830 +50.5% 1,409 4,532 +221.6% 110
Bob Ross 3-4 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,238 -7.3% 2,437 2,742 +12.5% 30
Bob Ross 3-4 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,253 +4.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-4 bedroom_1 2,952 2,631 -10.9% 1,690 1,921 +13.7% 125
Bob Ross 3-4 bathroom_1 1,178 1,313 +11.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-4 family_room 7,041 6,614 -6.1% 6,222 4,942 -20.6%
Bob Ross 3-4 kitchen 3,691 2,940 -20.3% 3,127 2,676 -14.4%
Bob Ross 3-4 foyer 1,474 1,659 +12.6% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-4 bedroom_2 2,286 2,290 +0.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-4 bedroom_3 2,538 2,772 +9.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-4 craft 1,080 1,301 +20.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-4 utility_room 1,286 1,227 -4.6% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-4 recroom 3,875 5,876 +51.6% 1,311 4,457 +240.0% 6
Bob Ross 3-5 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,189 -8.3% 4,630 5,006 +8.1% 764
Bob Ross 3-5 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,241 +3.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-5 bedroom_1 2,952 2,592 -12.2% 3,649 3,921 +7.5% 894
Bob Ross 3-5 bathroom_1 1,178 1,282 +8.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-5 family_room 7,041 6,603 -6.2% 6,530 4,971 -23.9%
Bob Ross 3-5 kitchen 3,691 2,899 -21.5% 3,325 2,904 -12.7% 61
Bob Ross 3-5 foyer 1,474 1,652 +12.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-5 bedroom_2 2,286 2,238 -2.1% 1,471 2,317 +57.5% 270
Bob Ross 3-5 bedroom_3 2,538 2,702 +6.5% 1,150 2,428 +111.1% 53
Bob Ross 3-5 craft 1,080 1,280 +18.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-5 utility_room 1,286 1,209 -6.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-5 recroom 3,875 5,803 +49.8% 1,513 4,639 +206.6% 68
Bob Ross 3-6 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,224 -7.6% 3,323 3,440 +3.5% 590
Bob Ross 3-6 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,252 +4.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-6 bedroom_1 2,952 2,616 -11.4% 2,576 2,592 +0.6% 685
Bob Ross 3-6 bathroom_1 1,178 1,304 +10.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-6 family_room 6,843 6,308 -7.8% 6,278 4,963 -20.9%
Bob Ross 3-6 kitchen 3,493 2,604 -25.5% 3,148 2,819 -10.5% 1
Bob Ross 3-6 foyer 1,474 1,659 +12.6% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-6 bedroom_2 2,286 2,272 -0.6% 1,010 1,889 +87.0% 208
Bob Ross 3-6 bedroom_3 2,538 2,743 +8.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-6 craft 1,080 1,294 +19.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-6 utility_room 1,286 1,219 -5.2% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-6 recroom 3,875 5,842 +50.8% 1,356 4,481 +230.5% 88
Bob Ross 3-7 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,202 -8.1% 3,323 3,437 +3.4% 590
Bob Ross 3-7 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,245 +3.8% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-7 bedroom_1 2,952 2,604 -11.8% 2,576 2,590 +0.5% 685
Bob Ross 3-7 bathroom_1 1,178 1,290 +9.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-7 family_room 9,506 8,943 -5.9% 7,686 6,626 -13.8%
Bob Ross 3-7 kitchen 6,157 5,270 -14.4% 4,545 4,474 -1.6%
Bob Ross 3-7 foyer 1,474 1,646 +11.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-7 bedroom_2 2,286 2,273 -0.6% 1,010 1,893 +87.4% 208
Bob Ross 3-7 bedroom_3 2,538 2,744 +8.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-7 craft 1,080 1,295 +19.9% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-7 utility_room 1,286 1,220 -5.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-7 recroom 3,875 5,847 +50.9% 1,356 4,500 +231.9% 88
Bob Ross 3-8 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,219 -7.7% 3,323 3,443 +3.6% 590
Bob Ross 3-8 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,251 +4.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-8 bedroom_1 2,952 2,614 -11.4% 2,576 2,594 +0.7% 685
Bob Ross 3-8 bathroom_1 1,178 1,300 +10.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-8 family_room 7,040 6,604 -6.2% 6,222 4,919 -20.9%
Bob Ross 3-8 kitchen 3,691 2,926 -20.7% 3,081 2,712 -12.0%
Bob Ross 3-8 foyer 1,474 1,656 +12.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-8 bedroom_2 2,286 2,273 -0.6% 1,011 1,892 +87.1% 208
Bob Ross 3-8 bedroom_3 2,538 2,744 +8.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-8 craft 1,080 1,295 +19.9% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-8 utility_room 1,286 1,220 -5.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-8 recroom 3,875 5,847 +50.9% 1,355 4,498 +232.0% 88
Bob Ross 3-9 primary_bedroom 4,569 4,219 -7.7% 3,323 3,443 +3.6% 590
Bob Ross 3-9 primary_bathroom 1,200 1,251 +4.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-9 bedroom_1 2,952 2,614 -11.4% 2,577 2,594 +0.7% 685
Bob Ross 3-9 bathroom_1 1,178 1,300 +10.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-9 family_room 7,041 6,604 -6.2% 6,222 4,919 -20.9%
Bob Ross 3-9 kitchen 3,691 2,926 -20.7% 3,081 2,712 -12.0%
Bob Ross 3-9 foyer 1,474 1,656 +12.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-9 bedroom_2 2,286 2,273 -0.6% 1,010 1,892 +87.3% 208
Bob Ross 3-9 bedroom_3 2,538 2,744 +8.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-9 craft 1,079 1,295 +20.0% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-9 utility_room 1,285 1,220 -5.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 3-9 recroom 3,875 5,847 +50.9% 1,355 4,498 +232.0% 88
Bob Ross 4 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,278 -6.4% 3,096 2,527 -18.4% 362
Bob Ross 4 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,232 +2.8% 1,047 808 -22.8% 227
Bob Ross 4 bedroom_1 2,952 2,720 -7.9% 1,293 1,496 +15.7%
Bob Ross 4 bathroom_1 1,178 1,339 +13.7% 1,036 1,149 +10.9% 242
Bob Ross 4 family_room 7,041 6,494 -7.8% 6,552 5,402 -17.6%
Bob Ross 4 kitchen 3,691 2,999 -18.7% 3,613 3,151 -12.8% 228
Bob Ross 4 foyer 1,474 1,694 +14.9% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 4 bedroom_2 2,286 2,289 +0.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 4 bedroom_3 2,538 2,800 +10.3% 1,091 2,308 +111.5% 225
Bob Ross 4 craft 1,080 1,290 +19.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 4 utility_room 1,286 1,195 -7.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 4 recroom 3,875 5,891 +52.0% 1,714 4,615 +169.3% 242
Bob Ross 5 primary_bedroom 4,570 4,266 -6.7% 3,095 2,512 -18.8% 362
Bob Ross 5 primary_bathroom 1,199 1,228 +2.4% 1,047 803 -23.3% 227
Bob Ross 5 bedroom_1 2,952 2,714 -8.1% 1,293 1,485 +14.8%
Bob Ross 5 bathroom_1 1,436 1,488 +3.6% 1,595 1,627 +2.0% 483
Bob Ross 5 family_room 7,729 6,887 -10.9% 7,115 5,834 -18.0% 108
Bob Ross 5 kitchen 3,949 3,145 -20.4% 4,197 3,505 -16.5% 559
Bob Ross 5 foyer 1,474 1,688 +14.5% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 5 bedroom_2 2,286 2,276 -0.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 5 bedroom_3 2,776 2,935 +5.7% 1,639 2,712 +65.5% 467
Bob Ross 5 craft 1,080 1,282 +18.7% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 5 utility_room 1,286 1,188 -7.6% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross 5 recroom 4,113 6,012 +46.2% 2,262 4,917 +117.4% 483
Bob Ross Residence primary_bedroom 4,570 4,219 -7.7% 3,323 3,443 +3.6% 590
Bob Ross Residence primary_bathroom 1,199 1,251 +4.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross Residence bedroom_1 2,952 2,614 -11.4% 2,577 2,594 +0.7% 685
Bob Ross Residence bathroom_1 1,178 1,300 +10.4% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross Residence family_room 7,041 6,604 -6.2% 6,222 4,919 -20.9%
Bob Ross Residence kitchen 3,691 2,926 -20.7% 3,081 2,712 -12.0%
Bob Ross Residence foyer 1,474 1,656 +12.3% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross Residence bedroom_2 2,286 2,273 -0.6% 1,010 1,892 +87.3% 208
Bob Ross Residence bedroom_3 2,538 2,744 +8.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross Residence craft 1,080 1,295 +19.9% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross Residence utility_room 1,286 1,220 -5.1% n/a n/a n/a
Bob Ross Residence recroom 3,875 5,847 +50.9% 1,356 4,498 +231.7% 88

Per-space run: the Aris side imports the HPXML with singleRoom: false so <Spaces> become individual rooms, a different import configuration from every committed whole-house ledger. The whole-house totals recorded here move slightly against the physics ledger and are NOT a decomposition of those numbers. The gold side is OS-HPXML’s own per-space worksheet (results_design_load_details.csv), Ducts row subtracted, at the fixtures’ native Manual J design temperatures, the same anchors the Aris sizing run uses on this corpus. Declared gaps (14 of 44 cases):

  • HVAC1a: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.
  • Smith Residence: The per-space Aris sizing run failed: Foundation enrollment refuses this production foundation: core-slab-area-exceeds-absorption-bound: Foundation group fdstrip:fp-import|slab|structure:building-import:conditioned|4|0|0|false|5|3|1.6 draws 1104.9 ft² of its 2079.0 ft² from rooms owning no exposed perimeter (53.1%, over the 25.0% bound), so its 9.041 ft representative width describes an interior depth its 229.9 ft of perimeter does not support; this needs a one-dimensional core-slab instance, not a wider strip.
  • Victor Residence: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.
  • HVAC1b: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.
  • HVAC2a: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.
  • HVAC2b: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.
  • HVAC2c: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.
  • HVAC2d: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.
  • HVAC2e: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.
  • Cobb Residence: The per-space Aris sizing run failed: Foundation enrollment refuses this production foundation: core-slab-area-exceeds-absorption-bound: Foundation group fdstrip:fp-import|slab|structure:building-import:conditioned|4|0|0|false|0|0|1.6 draws 478.9 ft² of its 1435.6 ft² from rooms owning no exposed perimeter (33.4%, over the 25.0% bound), so its 6.783 ft representative width describes an interior depth its 211.6 ft of perimeter does not support; this needs a one-dimensional core-slab instance, not a wider strip.
  • Long Residence: The per-space Aris sizing run failed: Foundation enrollment refuses this production foundation: core-slab-area-exceeds-absorption-bound: Foundation group fdstrip:fp-import|slab|structure:building-import:conditioned|4|0|0|false|0|0|1.6 draws 1566.4 ft² of its 2958.0 ft² from rooms owning no exposed perimeter (53.0%, over the 25.0% bound), so its 6.433 ft representative width describes an interior depth its 459.8 ft of perimeter does not support; this needs a one-dimensional core-slab instance, not a wider strip.
  • Vatilo Residence: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.
  • Vatilo Improved Ducts: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.
  • Victor Improved Ducts: The reference export writes per-space worksheet sections only for HPXML files carrying <Spaces>; this file has none, so there is no per-space Manual J reference to compare against.

Provenance: the exceedance counts, flat-cap runs, and room-divergence runs are solver output and carry the engine code hash e7873587baa7… in their recorded ledgers; the E+ cross-check pins the exact base IDF and EPW per flagship. The flat cap is an opt-in delivered-energy ceiling on the ideal-loads thermostat, proven byte-identical to the unclamped solver when off. Houses that need no equipment for a mode read "no test" (4 house-modes, all heating in zone 1A) instead of scoring a fake zero, and identical variants collapse to one ×N row.

Second question · all 8,760 hours

Annual energy

Energy is where the daylight is, and it is measured against each house's own year. The median house differs from EnergyPlus by 2.1 MBtu of heating over the year — a few percent of what it spends, signed median +1.9 MBtu, more heat than EnergyPlus — and by 0.4 MBtu of cooling, about one percent. A handful of basement-heavy variants stretch toward a fifth of their year, and they are where the open work lives. A few hot-climate rows have almost no heating year at all — one cold snap — and a percentage there would divide two near-zero numbers into a headline, so those rows carry their absolute gap instead of a bar. A model can pass the peak and miss the year: energy integrates all 8,760 hours, and the slowest thing under a house is the ground. Both columns are in the table below.

The ground is where this comparison is least settled. A simulator has to guess its starting soil temperature, and soil forgets slowly. A one-year founded EnergyPlus run carries a large, sign-sensitive Kiva startup distortion, so the adopted v6 oracle reports the final year of a calendar-safe 29-year prefix instead. That removes the known first-year bias without pretending the earth is settled: only 6 of 36 founded cases pass every registered 28→29 convergence channel, while 30 remain explicitly capped without convergence. Read those ground-coupled rows as a long-history comparison with a disclosed residual transient, not a mathematically converged account of the earth under a house.

Annual energy gap · Aris room solver vs EnergyPlus, as a share of each house's own year44 houses
Aris − EnergyPlus, % of that house's year Zero line = EnergyPlus; right of zero spends more. Full scale is ±25% of a house's own year, the margin ASHRAE 90.1's ×1.25 sizing factor already adds. Under 0.1 MBtu a year there is no denominator, so those houses print the absolute gap instead of a bar.
Heating
-20%E++20%
all houses median +5.6%
44 houses · median disagreement 2.12 MBtu · signed median +5.6% of a house's own year · 4 near zero
Sauna country · 1A
Cobb Residence near zero · 0.0 kBtu
Walker Ceiling Option 1 near zero · +8.4 kBtu
Walker Ceiling Option 2 near zero · +8.7 kBtu
Walker Residence near zero · +9.0 kBtu
Gulf muggy · 2A
Vatilo Improved Ducts +0.8% +37.7 kBtu
Vatilo Residence +0.8% +37.7 kBtu
The humid South · 3A
Bell Residence -12.9% -2.63 MBtu
High desert · 3B
HVAC1a -9.7% -1.53 MBtu
HVAC1b -9.7% -1.53 MBtu
HVAC2a -5.2% -2.70 MBtu
HVAC2b -5.2% -2.70 MBtu
HVAC2c -5.2% -2.70 MBtu
HVAC2d -5.2% -2.70 MBtu
HVAC2e -5.2% -2.70 MBtu
All four seasons · 4A
Bob Ross 3-1 +7.7% +2.38 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-10 +6.9% +2.19 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-11 +7.1% +2.18 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-12 +4.6% +2.05 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-13 +5.6% +1.95 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-14 +7.2% +2.37 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-15 +7.6% +2.11 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-16 +3.3% +0.92 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-17 +6.6% +2.72 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-18 +2.1% +0.67 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-19 +1.8% +0.72 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-2 +6.9% +2.19 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-20 +6.6% +2.72 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-21 +1.9% +0.65 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-22 +7.4% +3.03 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-23 +6.7% +2.07 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-3 +7.0% +2.12 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-4 +6.9% +2.33 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-5 +7.1% +2.04 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-6 +5.3% +1.62 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-7 +9.7% +3.60 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-8 +7.0% +2.18 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-9 +7.1% +2.19 MBtu
Bob Ross 4 +6.9% +2.20 MBtu
Bob Ross 5 +5.9% +1.90 MBtu
Bob Ross Residence +6.9% +2.18 MBtu
Snow belt · 5A
Long Residence -2.3% -1.75 MBtu
Smith Residence +4.5% +3.94 MBtu
Victor Improved Ducts -0.8% -0.60 MBtu
Victor Residence -0.8% -0.60 MBtu
Cooling
-20%E++20%
all houses median -0.9%
44 houses · median disagreement 0.41 MBtu · signed median -0.9% of a house's own year
Sauna country · 1A
Cobb Residence +0.2% +62.2 kBtu
Walker Ceiling Option 1 +2.7% +0.99 MBtu
Walker Ceiling Option 2 +4.4% +1.60 MBtu
Walker Residence +2.1% +0.78 MBtu
Gulf muggy · 2A
Vatilo Improved Ducts -3.4% -1.09 MBtu
Vatilo Residence -3.4% -1.09 MBtu
The humid South · 3A
Bell Residence +5.5% +1.83 MBtu
High desert · 3B
HVAC1a -2.6% -1.37 MBtu
HVAC1b -2.6% -1.37 MBtu
HVAC2a -10.6% -1.47 MBtu
HVAC2b -10.6% -1.47 MBtu
HVAC2c -10.6% -1.47 MBtu
HVAC2d -10.6% -1.47 MBtu
HVAC2e -10.6% -1.47 MBtu
All four seasons · 4A
Bob Ross 3-1 -1.4% -0.53 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-10 -0.9% -0.35 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-11 -0.9% -0.35 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-12 -1.2% -0.46 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-13 -1.1% -0.41 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-14 -2.1% -0.85 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-15 -0.3% -0.11 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-16 -0.3% -0.10 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-17 -0.7% -0.27 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-18 +0.5% +0.20 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-19 -0.3% -0.10 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-2 -1.1% -0.41 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-20 -0.7% -0.27 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-21 +0.5% +0.18 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-22 +0.6% +0.30 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-23 -5.1% -1.74 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-3 -0.8% -0.34 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-4 -1.1% -0.41 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-5 -1.0% -0.45 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-6 -0.1% -53.2 kBtu
Bob Ross 3-7 +0.3% +0.13 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-8 -0.9% -0.35 MBtu
Bob Ross 3-9 -0.9% -0.34 MBtu
Bob Ross 4 -0.4% -0.16 MBtu
Bob Ross 5 -0.6% -0.25 MBtu
Bob Ross Residence -0.9% -0.35 MBtu
Snow belt · 5A
Long Residence -2.0% -0.28 MBtu
Smith Residence +20.8% +2.43 MBtu
Victor Improved Ducts -6.8% -1.07 MBtu
Victor Residence -6.8% -1.07 MBtu
Full data table: every number in the cards above, copyable
Annual peaks (Btu/h) and annual energy (MBtu) · Aris room solver vs EnergyPlus ideal loads, same 8,760 hours44 houses
HouseZoneAris htg peakE+ htg peak (Δ)Htg energy ours / E+ (Δ)Aris clg peakE+ clg peak (Δ)Clg energy ours / E+ (Δ)Aris sizing peak htg / clg
HVAC1a * 3B 21,845 22,274 (-1.9%) 14.2 / 15.8 (-9.7%) 32,197 33,396 (-3.6%) 50.9 / 52.3 (-2.6%) 19,337 / 31,255
Bell Residence 3A 18,717 19,115 (-2.1%) 17.8 / 20.4 (-12.9%) 25,780 25,070 (+2.8%) 35.0 / 33.1 (+5.5%) 17,671 / 27,003
Bob Ross Residence 4A 40,498 39,877 (+1.6%) 33.9 / 31.7 (+6.9%) 26,272 27,057 (-2.9%) 38.3 / 38.6 (-0.9%) 31,451 / 20,294
Walker Residence 1A 2,587 1,113 (+132.4% · near-zero ref) 0.0 / 0.0 (+299.7%) 12,528 11,484 (+9.1%) 37.6 / 36.8 (+2.1%) 7,712 / 14,585
Smith Residence 5A 58,226 54,275 (+7.3%) 91.5 / 87.6 (+4.5%) 19,622 18,766 (+4.6%) 14.1 / 11.7 (+20.8%) 47,088 / 18,511
Victor Residence 5A 51,708 52,545 (-1.6%) 75.6 / 76.2 (-0.8%) 22,564 22,401 (+0.7%) 14.7 / 15.8 (-6.8%) 45,852 / 20,131
HVAC1b * 3B 21,845 22,274 (-1.9%) 14.2 / 15.8 (-9.7%) 32,197 33,396 (-3.6%) 50.9 / 52.3 (-2.6%) 19,337 / 31,255
HVAC2a * 3B 35,339 35,786 (-1.2%) 49.4 / 52.1 (-5.2%) 21,613 24,171 (-10.6%) 12.4 / 13.8 (-10.6%) 36,523 / 19,602
HVAC2b * 3B 35,339 35,786 (-1.2%) 49.4 / 52.1 (-5.2%) 21,613 24,171 (-10.6%) 12.4 / 13.8 (-10.6%) 36,523 / 19,602
HVAC2c * 3B 35,339 35,786 (-1.2%) 49.4 / 52.1 (-5.2%) 21,613 24,171 (-10.6%) 12.4 / 13.8 (-10.6%) 36,523 / 19,602
HVAC2d * 3B 35,339 35,786 (-1.2%) 49.4 / 52.1 (-5.2%) 21,613 24,171 (-10.6%) 12.4 / 13.8 (-10.6%) 36,523 / 19,602
HVAC2e * 3B 35,339 35,786 (-1.2%) 49.4 / 52.1 (-5.2%) 21,613 24,171 (-10.6%) 12.4 / 13.8 (-10.6%) 36,523 / 19,602
Bob Ross 3-1 4A 39,350 38,720 (+1.6%) 33.4 / 31.0 (+7.7%) 24,605 25,493 (-3.5%) 36.2 / 36.8 (-1.4%) 30,591 / 18,829
Bob Ross 3-2 4A 40,496 39,867 (+1.6%) 33.9 / 31.7 (+6.9%) 26,167 27,015 (-3.1%) 38.2 / 38.6 (-1.1%) 31,450 / 20,324
Bob Ross 3-3 4A 40,365 39,698 (+1.7%) 32.4 / 30.3 (+7.0%) 28,455 29,500 (-3.5%) 41.3 / 41.6 (-0.8%) 31,342 / 22,222
Bob Ross 3-4 4A 40,697 40,123 (+1.4%) 36.1 / 33.8 (+6.9%) 24,470 25,004 (-2.1%) 36.0 / 36.4 (-1.1%) 31,630 / 18,768
Bob Ross 3-5 4A 40,134 39,435 (+1.8%) 30.6 / 28.6 (+7.1%) 30,638 31,656 (-3.2%) 44.7 / 45.1 (-1.0%) 31,176 / 24,100
Bob Ross 3-6 4A 39,591 39,144 (+1.1%) 32.5 / 30.8 (+5.3%) 26,166 26,777 (-2.3%) 38.7 / 38.7 (-0.1%) 30,782 / 20,277
Bob Ross 3-7 4A 46,128 44,850 (+2.8%) 40.8 / 37.2 (+9.7%) 29,497 30,161 (-2.2%) 40.8 / 40.7 (+0.3%) 36,449 / 23,221
Bob Ross 3-8 4A 40,306 39,683 (+1.6%) 33.3 / 31.1 (+7.0%) 26,513 27,298 (-2.9%) 38.8 / 39.1 (-0.9%) 31,451 / 20,294
Bob Ross 3-9 4A 40,173 39,549 (+1.6%) 32.9 / 30.7 (+7.1%) 26,680 27,465 (-2.9%) 39.1 / 39.5 (-0.9%) 31,451 / 20,294
Bob Ross 3-10 4A 40,504 39,882 (+1.6%) 33.9 / 31.7 (+6.9%) 26,265 27,051 (-2.9%) 38.2 / 38.6 (-0.9%) 31,451 / 20,294
Bob Ross 3-11 4A 39,319 38,678 (+1.7%) 32.9 / 30.8 (+7.1%) 26,188 26,977 (-2.9%) 38.4 / 38.7 (-0.9%) 30,695 / 20,215
Bob Ross 3-12 4A 57,700 56,998 (+1.2%) 46.7 / 44.6 (+4.6%) 28,428 29,285 (-2.9%) 38.3 / 38.8 (-1.2%) 42,783 / 21,700
Bob Ross 3-13 4A 43,248 42,639 (+1.4%) 36.5 / 34.6 (+5.6%) 26,892 27,651 (-2.7%) 38.3 / 38.7 (-1.1%) 38,361 / 21,284
Bob Ross 3-14 4A 41,497 41,340 (+0.4%) 35.1 / 32.7 (+7.2%) 27,902 29,619 (-5.8%) 40.3 / 41.2 (-2.1%) 32,558 / 21,732
Bob Ross 3-15 4A 36,702 34,862 (+5.3%) 30.0 / 27.9 (+7.6%) 23,939 23,749 (+0.8%) 36.9 / 37.0 (-0.3%) 28,307 / 18,698
Bob Ross 3-16 4A 31,705 31,674 (+0.1%) 28.5 / 27.6 (+3.3%) 21,151 22,052 (-4.1%) 29.1 / 29.2 (-0.3%) 34,413 / 17,173
Bob Ross 3-17 4A 48,211 47,703 (+1.1%) 44.1 / 41.4 (+6.6%) 28,422 29,295 (-3.0%) 38.1 / 38.3 (-0.7%) 37,550 / 22,028
Bob Ross 3-18 4A 40,001 39,535 (+1.2%) 32.8 / 32.1 (+2.1%) 25,570 26,033 (-1.8%) 38.3 / 38.1 (+0.5%) 30,606 / 20,171
Bob Ross 3-19 4A 47,422 47,019 (+0.9%) 41.8 / 41.1 (+1.8%) 27,250 27,802 (-2.0%) 37.7 / 37.8 (-0.3%) 36,254 / 21,501
Bob Ross 3-20 4A 48,211 47,703 (+1.1%) 44.1 / 41.4 (+6.6%) 28,422 29,295 (-3.0%) 38.1 / 38.3 (-0.7%) 37,550 / 22,028
Bob Ross 3-21 4A 41,120 40,669 (+1.1%) 34.1 / 33.4 (+1.9%) 25,842 26,311 (-1.8%) 38.2 / 38.0 (+0.5%) 31,461 / 20,379
Bob Ross 3-22 4A 49,797 48,833 (+2.0%) 43.8 / 40.8 (+7.4%) 32,818 34,474 (-4.8%) 48.3 / 48.0 (+0.6%) 38,974 / 26,331
Bob Ross 3-23 4A 35,639 34,725 (+2.6%) 32.9 / 30.8 (+6.7%) 23,403 24,791 (-5.6%) 32.7 / 34.5 (-5.1%) 27,570 / 19,344
Bob Ross 4 4A 40,762 39,932 (+2.1%) 34.3 / 32.1 (+6.9%) 26,107 26,262 (-0.6%) 39.9 / 40.0 (-0.4%) 31,725 / 20,396
Bob Ross 5 4A 42,242 41,466 (+1.9%) 33.9 / 32.0 (+5.9%) 28,578 29,022 (-1.5%) 41.9 / 42.2 (-0.6%) 32,739 / 22,196
Cobb Residence 1A 0 0 (ref 0) 0.0 / 0.0 (ref 0) 12,195 13,835 (-11.9%) 28.8 / 28.8 (+0.2%) 0 / 14,865
Long Residence 5A 48,547 49,277 (-1.5%) 75.6 / 77.3 (-2.3%) 17,232 17,814 (-3.3%) 13.8 / 14.1 (-2.0%) 40,000 / 17,363
Vatilo Residence 2A 12,042 11,732 (+2.6%) 4.6 / 4.6 (+0.8%) 16,633 17,468 (-4.8%) 30.5 / 31.6 (-3.4%) 9,325 / 14,752
Vatilo Improved Ducts 2A 12,042 11,732 (+2.6%) 4.6 / 4.6 (+0.8%) 16,633 17,468 (-4.8%) 30.5 / 31.6 (-3.4%) 9,325 / 14,752
Victor Improved Ducts 5A 51,708 52,545 (-1.6%) 75.6 / 76.2 (-0.8%) 22,564 22,401 (+0.7%) 14.7 / 15.8 (-6.8%) 45,852 / 20,131
Walker Ceiling Option 1 1A 2,522 1,084 (+132.7% · near-zero ref) 0.0 / 0.0 (+295.4%) 12,778 11,984 (+6.6%) 38.1 / 37.1 (+2.7%) 7,640 / 14,814
Walker Ceiling Option 2 1A 2,539 990 (+156.5% · near-zero ref) 0.0 / 0.0 (+337.7%) 12,769 11,585 (+10.2%) 38.1 / 36.5 (+4.4%) 7,640 / 14,814

* no per-component reference worksheet ships for this house. The peak and energy columns are one comparison on one basis: the native annual lane, both sides over the same 8,760 hours. Hover any EnergyPlus peak cell for the hour each model peaked on; hover an energy cell for how many hours each side was conditioning. “near-zero ref” marks a reference below 3,000 Btu/h, where a percentage is an artifact of the denominator; “(ref 0)” marks a reference of exactly zero. The last column is a different quantity: the shipped Aris design load from production sizing, which carries the design-day snap and the occupancy floor and is what the Manual J worksheet comparison above is measured against. It is printed for reference and must never be read against an EnergyPlus column.

What this chapter claims, and what it does not

All thresholds in this chapter are self-imposed. ACCA publishes no software acceptance criteria analogous to ASHRAE Standard 140 Annex A3, and ACCA recognition ("Powered by Manual J") is a licensing program Aris has not entered. The per-component diagnostic tolerance is our own evidence bar, not a published one.

Aris follows the Manual J 8th-edition procedure and compares its arithmetic against the reference worksheets shipped with OS-HPXML (BSD-3). This is not an ACCA certification, approval, or compliance claim. ACCA®, Manual J®, and Manual D® are registered trademarks of the Air Conditioning Contractors of America, used here nominatively to identify the procedure being followed.

Sources and reproducibility

Test homes and their reference worksheets come from a fixed OpenStudio-HPXML export, hashed file by file, with each home's HPXML digest recorded per case in the raw chapter JSON. Pinning the export rather than tracking the upstream checkout is deliberate: the homes a result was measured on must not change because a dependency moved. The whole-house component table is read from OpenStudio-HPXML revision 3f95dc7a0711, SHA-256 0dd9090b8912dee7…. Physics reference: EnergyPlus 25.2.0-cf7368216c ideal-loads exports of the same homes.

Every number in this chapter is read from recorded runs committed alongside the code, each stamped with a hash of the engine source that produced it. A run whose engine has moved fails its freshness check rather than being quietly reported, and the report is assembled from those records rather than recomputed for the page, so what you see here is what the committed evidence says.

Chapter · IIIall chapters

RESNET ratings

How close is our score to the score the industry would issue? This chapter checks two ways: RESNET’s published software test, and a home-by-home comparison against the rating engine most of the industry runs.

An Energy Rating Index is the miles-per-gallon sticker of a house: one score for the whole home, and the energy code in much of the country accepts it outright. ANSI/RESNET/ICC Standard 301 prescribes how it is computed. Build a digital reference twin of the home, the same size and shape but with standard-issue insulation, windows, and equipment. Simulate the real home and the twin through the same year, under operating conditions the rulebook dictates down to the thermostat schedules and the hot-water draws. The score is the ratio of the two: 100 means the home performs like its twin, 0 means it needs no net energy at all, and lower is better.

A rating is an unusual instrument, because it is real physics run inside a prescriptive frame. The simulation is genuine building science. Everything around it is dictated. And in practice the number has a reference implementation: most of the industry’s rating software runs OpenStudio-ERI (OS-ERI), an EnergyPlus pipeline tuned to turn ratings around quickly, so the score a house is expected to get is whatever that pipeline computes. That decides what correct means here. The goal is not to out-model the consensus; our rating is right when it matches the rating the industry would issue for the same house. Chapter II made this argument about a worksheet. A rating is the same logic wrapped around a full simulation.

Jurisdictional targets · same comparison shape, different rulebooks

What the result can be tested against

The ERI calculation is not itself a pass mark; each code or program supplies its own target. These are the programs the current Aris stack can judge a design against.

  • IECC-adopting jurisdictions2021 IECC · R406.5ERI ≤ 51–55 by climate zone
  • Oregon2023 ORSC · NA1109ERI ≤ 54–55 by climate zone
  • Washington2021 WSEC-R · R405site-energy ratio ≤ 0.41–0.64 by home size

What Aris reports is a modeled estimate, not a certified rating. An official ERI is issued by a certified RESNET rater working through an accredited provider, and whether a design complies is the decision of the authority having jurisdiction.

Published criteria · RESNET Publication 002-2024

220 of 220 applicable published rows pass

Publication 002 is RESNET's own software test for rating engines, and its bands are published: every criterion below was set by the standard's authors, not by us. All six suites are executable here. A pass means one value matches its published criterion and nothing more; this technical result is not RESNET accreditation.

All six suites, one verdict

6 of 6 suites with every applicable row inside its published band.

Passes
  • §4.1 · Tier 1 annual loads50 of 50 rows in band — 26 of 26 absolute, 24 of 24 case-to-case deltas
  • §4.2 · Reference-home auto-generation118 of 118 Table 4-1 cells match (14 published n/a) · 4 of 4 e-Ratio cases in the 0.995–1.005 band
  • §4.3 · HERS method5 of 5 cases within 0.5% of the published workbook
  • §4.4 · HVAC4 of 4 efficiency comparisons in band
  • §4.5 · Duct distribution efficiency6 of 6 distribution-system comparisons in band
  • §4.6 · Hot water systems33 of 33 absolute and delta rows in band
All 50 Tier 1 rows against the published bands
RowModeAris, MBtu/yPublished bandVerdict
26 absolute annual loads
L100AC heating 53.77 48.07 to 61.35 In
L110AC heating 79.72 74.30 to 82.96 In
L120AC heating 42.12 35.98 to 48.09 In
L130AC heating 46.50 39.74 to 49.95 In
L140AC heating 48.46 45.72 to 51.97 In
L150AC heating 47.49 39.13 to 55.54 In
L155AC heating 49.79 42.17 to 58.15 In
L160AC heating 54.77 48.30 to 63.40 In
L170AC heating 66.44 58.15 to 74.24 In
L200AC heating 131.73 121.76 to 137.68 In
L202AC heating 138.23 126.71 to 146.84 In
L302XC heating 42.13 24.59 to 81.73 In
L304XC heating 40.43 27.72 to 70.27 In
L322XC heating 65.37 57.57 to 91.66 In
L324XC heating 52.76 48.33 to 56.47 In
L100AL cooling 50.68 42.50 to 58.66 In
L110AL cooling 54.37 47.72 to 61.33 In
L120AL cooling 46.41 41.15 to 51.69 In
L130AL cooling 35.83 31.54 to 41.85 In
L140AL cooling 25.73 21.03 to 29.35 In
L150AL cooling 62.73 50.55 to 73.48 In
L155AL cooling 48.53 36.63 to 59.72 In
L160AL cooling 59.99 52.26 to 68.60 In
L170AL cooling 40.13 34.16 to 47.58 In
L200AL cooling 63.68 57.07 to 73.51 In
L202AL cooling 54.74 50.19 to 60.72 In
24 case-to-case deltas
L110AC-L100AC heating 25.95 17.53 to 29.62 In
L120AC-L100AC heating -11.65 -16.08 to -9.44 In
L130AC-L100AC heating -7.27 -12.92 to -5.89 In
L140AC-L100AC heating -5.30 -12.14 to 0.24 In
L150AC-L100AC heating -6.27 -10.90 to -3.37 In
L155AC-L150AC heating 2.30 -0.56 to 6.42 In
L160AC-L100AC heating 1.00 -1.96 to 4.54 In
L170AC-L100AC heating 12.67 8.15 to 15.14 In
L200AC-L100AC heating 77.97 71.16 to 79.06 In
L202AC-L200AC heating 6.50 3.20 to 11.26 In
L302XC-L100AC heating -11.64 -25.78 to 22.68 In
L302XC-L304XC heating 1.69 -3.14 to 11.47 In
L322XC-L100AC heating 11.60 7.79 to 32.01 In
L322XC-L324XC heating 12.60 5.49 to 38.95 In
L110AL-L100AL cooling 3.69 0.69 to 6.91 In
L120AL-L100AL cooling -4.27 -8.24 to -0.22 In
L130AL-L100AL cooling -14.85 -18.53 to -9.74 In
L140AL-L100AL cooling -24.95 -30.58 to -20.48 In
L150AL-L100AL cooling 12.06 7.51 to 15.77 In
L155AL-L150AL cooling -14.20 -16.52 to -11.15 In
L160AL-L100AL cooling 9.31 6.75 to 12.76 In
L170AL-L100AL cooling -10.54 -12.95 to -6.58 In
L200AL-L100AL cooling 13.00 11.62 to 17.59 In
L200AL-L202AL cooling 8.94 5.12 to 14.14 In

Publication 002-2024, PDF SHA-256 9899bc3d7645e730… · suites recorded against engine e7873587baa7 with the native annual solver; no EnergyPlus in this section.

Then we went further. Publication 002 checks each subsystem against published bands on a fixed set of test homes; it never asks whether two implementations give the same final score to a new house. So we made that the test. We picked 12 homes ahead of time, spread across sizes, foundations, and climates from Phoenix to Duluth, wrote down how close the scores had to be before running anything, and then rated every home with both engines end to end. Every modeling difference in every subsystem lands in one final number, so there is no partial credit.

12/ 12
pre-registered corpus homes measured
3/ 3
registered gates met
Median absolute error0.30 pts
p90 absolute error1.28 pts
Maximum absolute error1.35 pts

Registered gates · frozen before measurement

All three met.

Case identity, strata, and the three gate thresholds were committed before any OS-ERI results were generated or used to select model changes, and remain unchanged while missed. The measurements came back median 0.301, p90 1.282, maximum 1.353 ERI points, inside every gate.

These gates are ours alone: no one publishes acceptance criteria for ERI agreement between implementations, so there is no external bar to borrow, and we do not present ours as one. The direction is consistent: Aris scores 10 of the 12 homes lower (more efficient) than OpenStudio-ERI, and the ones that tip the other way are in Phoenix, AZ and Seattle, WA. OS-ERI is the answer we score against, not the truth: for an ERI there is no truth, just two implementations of the same rulebook.

Median absolute ERI error

Met
0.301ERI points, measured
Registered target ≤ 1 · self-set, no published criteria exist

p90 absolute ERI error (nearest rank)

Met
1.282ERI points, measured
Registered target ≤ 2 · self-set, no published criteria exist

Maximum absolute ERI error

Met
1.353ERI points, measured
Registered target ≤ 3 · self-set, no published criteria exist

Gate colors state provenance, not severity. Green: gate met. Red: missed a published-standard acceptance range (as in the Annex A3 lane of Chapter I). Amber: missed a self-set target, where no published acceptance criteria exist for this comparison.

Per-case evidence · whole-home index

Every home, both scores

Each row is one frozen home run through both implementations from the same canonical input: Aris generates deterministic HPXML, OpenStudio-ERI (3.11.0+241b8abb4d) rates it, and the Aris ratings layer rates the identical home natively. The signed delta is Aris minus OS-ERI; negative means Aris scores the home as more efficient.

Foundation type varies against climate on purpose. Heat into the ground is the term two implementations are most likely to disagree on, so the corpus crosses slab, crawlspace, and basement with hot, mild, and cold climates to see whether the gaps follow the dirt. They barely do: every home lands within 1.4 points and no single foundation leads every climate.

Both implementations rate against the same edition of the rulebook — ANSI/RESNET/ICC 301-2022 with Addendum C — so none of the remaining gap is edition bookkeeping. What separates the two scores is implementation: two independent physics engines and reference-home assemblers reading the same standard.

Energy Rating Index · Aris vs OpenStudio-ERI 2022C, same HPXML, same weather12 homes
HomeAris ERIOS-ERIΔ · Aris − OS-ERI, bar to the 3-point gate
Oven dry · Phoenix, AZ · 2B
Small slab 47.8 48.1 -0.26
Medium crawlspace 51.2 51.4 -0.21
Large basement 50.4 50.6 -0.19
Large slab 51.0 50.9 +0.04
Drizzle country · Seattle, WA · 4C
Small slab 57.7 57.4 +0.34
Medium crawlspace 58.5 59.8 -1.28
Large basement 56.4 57.5 -1.16
Medium slab 58.0 58.2 -0.23
The deep freeze · Duluth, MN · 7
Small slab 56.0 56.1 -0.07
Medium crawlspace 55.8 57.2 -1.35
Large basement 51.7 53.0 -1.26
Small crawlspace 56.4 57.4 -0.97

RESNET's Standard-140 software test for accreditation is HERS BESTEST (Class II, Tier 1): a different test class, with different test homes and reference results, from the ASHRAE 140 Section 7 / Annex A3 (Class I) thermal-fabric lane Chapter I evaluates. Chapter I's acceptance result satisfies no RESNET requirement, and this report runs no HERS BESTEST suite.

What this chapter claims, and what it does not

RESNET software accreditation is a formal registry program (ANSI/RESNET/ICC Standard 301 with RESNET Publication 002); Aris has not entered it, and nothing in this chapter is a RESNET rating, a HERS Index, or an accreditation result. The corpus is comparative evidence against one reference implementation, OpenStudio-ERI. RESNET® and HERS® are registered trademarks of the Residential Energy Services Network, used here nominatively to identify the standard being implemented.

The gates were registered before measurement and stay as registered, met or missed, without fitting.

Sources and reproducibility

Aris ratings identity aris-eri-2026.07-ratings-v35, measured at aris-cloud revision 6f509e30bb61. OpenStudio-ERI revision db74d7ade178 (3.11.0+241b8abb4d). Every case pins SHA-256 digests for its canonical Aris input, generated HPXML, TMY3 weather file, and OS-ERI result vector in the raw chapter JSON.

The chapter artifact is assembled from the measurement records committed to the repository, so this report rebuilds without an OpenStudio-ERI checkout; regenerating the measurements requires one (scripts/validate-hpxml-eri/run-eri-oracle-corpus.sh with OS_ERI_ROOT).

Chapter · IVall chapters

Speed

Speed is the reason Talos exists. Physics this fast makes a new approach to HVAC design possible: every wall moved, window swapped, and system option tried is answered by a full simulation in the moment, so the physics shapes the design instead of grading it afterward.

A model that takes minutes is a compliance check: you run it once, at the end, to bless a design you already committed to. A model that answers while you are still drawing is a different tool entirely. Move a wall. Swap a window. Try the cheaper insulation. When each answer costs nothing, you actually ask, and the physics gets a vote before the decision instead of after it.

There is nothing magical about the speed of Talos. The math is the math: a year of building physics is the same heat balance whichever engine runs it. The speed comes from optimizing the entire engine around it. That starts with a compiled Rust kernel and runs all the way down to scope: we solve exactly one problem, homes with our hydronic hardware. And it means being thoughtful about where we are willing to take marginally less accuracy in exchange. Research simulators make different choices for good reasons: they are general instruments, built to model any building and any equipment, and that generality is exactly what makes them the referees in the chapters above. Chapters I through III audit what our choices cost, misses included. This chapter reports what they bought.

55years
of simulated room physics in the Standard 140 battery of Chapter I, re-run live while this page was built
31.0seconds
of solver time those years cost, summed per case on the build machine
562ms
for one simulated year of one room, at the battery’s measured rate

Measured during this build on Apple M3 Max (16 cores, darwin/arm64), 51 cases measured, 1 declared gap. Wall-clock is the minimum across samples on this machine, measured under the test runner and therefore subject to parallel-worker load. It is a published figure, not a CI gate. Solver counts are deterministic and are the gateable quantity.

The other half · what never runs twice

Solve it once, then stop solving it

The design loop, measured while this page was built. Handed Bob Ross 3-19, one of ACCA’s published Manual J worked examples (10 rooms, ground-coupled), the engine ran its first complete 8,760-hour year cold, foundation compile and a year of sun included, in 4.1 s. Then the design loop began: after a thermostat edit the same house re-solved its entire year in 2.6 s, and the sizing answer refreshed in 702 ms. The difference between the first run and every run after it is the caches below.

Then a full energy rating. An ERI means more year-long simulations (Chapter III): the home itself and the reference home it is scored against. Computed fresh on our test home, the whole rating took 6.8 s, both years running at the same time. Then an edit: add R-10 to the walls, and the new score came back in 906 ms, 58.6 down from 59.8 (estimates, not certified ratings). Only the edited home was re-simulated; everything the edit could not touch came from cache.

Raw solver speed is only half of that. The other half is everything the engine refuses to recompute: each expensive result carries an exact signature of the inputs it depends on, and an edit re-runs only the work whose signature actually moved. A batch simulator has no use for any of this, and that is the right design for its job: its unit of work is one complete run. These caches exist because Talos’s unit of work is a single edit. A few of the tricks, in order of how much they save:

The ground is paid for once

Chapter I called soil the slowest physics in the building, and it is also the most expensive thing this engine builds: a finite-difference model of the earth under every foundation. So a design compiles it exactly once and caches it, with room controls and equipment deliberately left out of the cache key. Change a setpoint, swap an emitter, resize the equipment, and the ground never rebuilds. A portable seed store even lets a fresh browser session warm-start from a previous compile instead of starting the soil cold.

The sun is computed per geometry, not per question

A year of sun positions, shading, and per-surface gains depends on the geometry and the weather, not on what question is being asked. Those tables are prepared once per set of inputs and shared across all 8,760 hours the solver visits, and the design workers start with them already warm, so an equipment question never pays for astronomy.

A rating evolves instead of restarting

An energy rating is several year-long simulations: the home as designed, its standard-issue reference twin, and their adjustment pair. Each leg is cached under a signature of everything it depends on, so editing an input recomputes only the legs that input touches, and the score updates as the design changes instead of starting the whole rating over. Hot-water equipment dispatch gets the same treatment.

None of this trades accuracy for speed: a cache entry returns the exact result the full computation would produce, keyed by a complete signature of its inputs, or it does not return at all. The tricks buy time, never answers.

What this chapter claims, and what it does not

Every number in this chapter is a measurement taken while this page was built, on the machine named above: the battery figures from Chapter I’s live re-run, and the design-loop bench, which runs the engine serially in one process against an openly published fixture. The caching mechanisms themselves are architecture, verifiable in the repository. One latency is deliberately absent: the design tool’s worker-orchestrated edit response, the number the hands-on experience actually rides on, has no committed harness yet, and we would rather print nothing than an estimate.

No comparison to any other tool’s speed appears here. The research simulators in this report solve a more general problem than Talos does, and timing their validation workloads would misstate what they cost at their own job.

Chapter · Vall chapters

Run it yourself

Every number in this report so far was measured on our machines, against references we chose. This chapter is the same engine handed to you: it downloads into this page and runs in your browser, with a stopwatch on every stage, on a sample home or on any residential HPXML file you drop in. The file never leaves your machine; only the weather year is downloaded.

A dropped file walks the same pipeline the design tool runs: parse and import, fetch the weather year, build the thermal model, simulate all 8,760 hours, size the equipment two ways — the Manual J worksheet and the physics — and score a full energy rating, reference home and all. Then it hands you the controls, and every number on the page re-answers as you drag.

The interactive runner loads when this report is viewed on the live page.

What is still open

  • Annual heating energy. The room solver spends 6% more heat than EnergyPlus over the year while agreeing on the worst hour (Chapter II). The gap points at the slow physics, not the envelope.
  • The ground. Neither side's soil is demonstrated converged, and running the same corpus until it settles moves heating energy by roughly a third. Closing that is the work we most want to show here next.
  • Sizing margin. On one house, both referees put the shipped heating figure inside the annual demand curve (the flat-cap experiment in Chapter II). Whether the leanest answers leave enough margin is an open question about the sizing chain.
  • The interactive number. Chapter IV’s design-loop bench measures the engine serially in one process, and Chapter V now runs the worker-orchestrated edit loop live — but only on whatever machine is reading. A committed, tracked benchmark of that edit latency does not exist yet, so no headline figure is printed for it.

When one of these closes, the numbers above move, and this page moves with them.

Aris Hydronics · Chapter I: ANSI/ASHRAE Standard 140-2023 · Informative Annex B8 reference-program range · Chapter II: Manual J 8th-edition procedure vs the OS-HPXML reference worksheets (BSD-3) · Chapter III: Standard 301 ERI vs OpenStudio-ERI on the pre-registered corpus, all self-registered gates met · Chapter IV: engine runtime cost, measured only, no gates · Chapter V: the same engine run live in the reader’s browser, estimates only